Estac Troyes v Le Havre · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Estac Troyes win
How the match could end · our estimate
- 48%Estac Troyes win
- 27%Draw
- 25%Le Havre win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Estac TroyesLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- won2–0v Le Mans
- drew0–0at Toulouse
- lost1–3v Lens
- lost0–2v Marseille
- lost0–2at Angers
Le HavreLast 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats
- lost1–5v Paris Saint Germain
- lost3–4at Marseille
- lost1–3v Auxerre
- lost0–1at Lille
- lost2–3at Toulouse
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Ligue 1, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 186 of 238.
- Le Havre won 11 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Le Havre's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Le Havre's last 10 away league games.
Home and away
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonLe Mans31 Oct 20262–0
- LostLens17 Oct 20261–3
- LostMarseille11 Oct 20260–2
- LostStrasbourg6 Sep 20262–6
- DrawnParis FC22 Aug 20260–0
Estac Troyes: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Le HavreLe Havre away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostMarseille25 Oct 20263–4
- LostLille10 Oct 20260–1
- LostToulouse19 Sep 20262–3
- DrawnLyon29 Aug 20261–1
- WonLorient17 May 20262–0
Le Havre: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Estac Troyes- Last match
- 20 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Le Mans · Ligue 1
- Next match
- Not known
Le Havre- Last match
- 21 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 24 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Le Havre
| Score | Le Havre | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 11 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 650 won, 168 drawn, 116 lost in 934 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 7 drawn, 29 lost in 39 matches | 116 won, 168 drawn, 650 lost in 934 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 14 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 258 won, 282 drawn, 258 lost in 798 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches | 180 won, 288 drawn, 180 lost in 648 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 22 matches | 31 won, 84 drawn, 317 lost in 432 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches | 144 won, 304 drawn, 144 lost in 592 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 22 won, 80 drawn, 324 lost in 426 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 121 won, 342 drawn, 121 lost in 584 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 9 won, 14 drawn, 22 lost in 45 matches | 527 won, 362 drawn, 527 lost in 1416 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 32 matches | 361 won, 320 drawn, 361 lost in 1042 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 2 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches | 62 won, 70 drawn, 268 lost in 400 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Le Havre | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 18 scored, 24 conceded (66) | 668 scored, 668 conceded (2010) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 5 conceded (22) | 161 scored, 161 conceded (568) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 11 conceded (30) | 225 scored, 282 conceded (721) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 15(league sides: 1,088 times, within 15 minutes 166, by full time 475)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 24 Nov 2024
| Estac Troyes | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| — | Matches with xG | 66 |
| — | xG for | 83.51 |
| — | Goals scored | 73 |
| — | xG against | 113.25 |
| — | Goals conceded | 112 |
Le Havre
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | v Paris Saint Germain | 2.04 | 3.99 | 1–5 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Marseille | 3.16 | 1.63 | 3–4 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | v Auxerre | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Lille | 1.28 | 1.26 | 0–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Toulouse | 2.34 | 1.95 | 2–3 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Angers | 1.31 | 0.59 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Stade Brestois 29 | 2.02 | 2.37 | 1–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Lyon | 0.69 | 1.75 | 1–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Monaco | 0.60 | 1.39 | 0–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Lorient | 1.25 | 1.30 | 2–0 |
This league season
Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.
| Estac Troyes | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 2 |
| 10.89 | xPts | 11.02 |
| 11.68 | xG for | 14.84 |
| 13.65 | xG against | 17.63 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Estac Troyes and Le Havre
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:08 GMT
All fixtures