Estac Troyes v Le Mans match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 40%Estac Troyes win
- 28%Draw
- 32%Le Mans win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Estac TroyesLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- drew0–0at Toulouse
- lost1–3v Lens
- lost0–2v Marseille
- lost0–2at Angers
- lost0–2at Lille
Le MansLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- drew1–1at Auxerre
- lost0–3v Toulouse
- lost1–3at Paris Saint Germain
- won2–1v Lorient
- drew2–2v Lens
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Ligue 1, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 183 of 235.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Le Mans's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Estac Troyes 0, draws 1, Le Mans 1
Goals: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Estac Troyes v Le MansLigue 2 | 0–2 |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Le Mans v Estac TroyesLigue 2 | 2–2 |
Home and away
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostLens17 Oct 20261–3
- LostMarseille11 Oct 20260–2
- LostStrasbourg6 Sep 20262–6
- DrawnParis FC22 Aug 20260–0
- WonLavalLigue 22 May 20264–0
Estac Troyes: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Le MansLe Mans away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnAuxerre25 Oct 20261–1
- LostParis Saint Germain10 Oct 20261–3
- DrawnNice5 Sep 20261–1
- LostRennes30 Aug 20262–3
- WonBastiaLigue 29 May 20262–0
Le Mans: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Estac Troyes- Last match
- 6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Toulouse · Ligue 1
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
Le Mans- Last match
- 6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Auxerre · Ligue 1
- Next match
- 8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Monaco · Ligue 1
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
This league season
Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.
| Estac Troyes | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 5 | Points in those matches | 7 |
| 8.29 | xPts | 8.95 |
| 9.62 | xG for | 12.27 |
| 13.43 | xG against | 16.95 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Y. Kone (Knee Injury) · A. Ouzenadji (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- A. Bourabaa (Ankle Injury) · E. Colas (Injury) · D. Sidibe (Foot Injury)
Published 31 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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