LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO

Kicked off — this analysis is locked.

Premier League
Everton
20:00
Coventry
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 10 · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Everton v Coventry · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

No signal on this match

Most likely: Everton win

Everton host Coventry with the model giving the home side a 53% chance of winning. Everton's expected goals (1.65) exceed Coventry's (0.98), a gap of 0.67. Both teams have mixed recent form with two wins in their last five, though Coventry finished their sequence with consecutive victories.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 53%Everton win
  • 26%Draw
  • 21%Coventry win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

EvertonEverton

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won1–0at Newcastle
  2. won3–1v Newcastle
  3. lost0–2at Arsenal
  4. lost0–2v Chelsea
  5. drew2–2at Hull City
CoventryCoventry

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. won3–1v Sunderland
  2. lost0–1v Fulham
  3. lost1–3at Tottenham
  4. won4–1v Newcastle
  5. won1–0at Nottingham Forest

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Everton won 23 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Coventry won 42 of 53 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of Coventry's last 10 away league games.

Home and away

Everton

Everton at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonNewcastleLeague Cup29 Oct 20263–1
  • LostChelsea17 Oct 20260–2
  • WonIpswich19 Sep 20261–0
  • WonWolvesLeague Cup16 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnManchester United6 Sep 20262–2

Everton: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Coventry

Coventry away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostTottenham19 Oct 20261–3
  • WonNottingham Forest19 Sep 20261–0
  • LostManchester City5 Sep 20260–1
  • WonPlymouthLeague Cup25 Aug 20264–2
  • LostArsenal21 Aug 20260–3

Coventry: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Everton
Last match
4 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Newcastle · Premier League
Next match
Not known
Coventry
Last match
6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Sunderland · Premier League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Everton

ScoreEvertonLeague sides
Scored first23 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 33 matches757 won, 244 drawn, 169 lost in 1170 matches
Conceded first3 won, 11 drawn, 22 lost in 36 matches169 won, 244 drawn, 757 lost in 1170 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches306 won, 330 drawn, 306 lost in 942 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches211 won, 330 drawn, 211 lost in 752 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 17 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches166 won, 364 drawn, 166 lost in 696 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 19 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches124 won, 400 drawn, 124 lost in 648 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 21 drawn, 19 lost in 59 matches628 won, 464 drawn, 628 lost in 1720 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 18 drawn, 14 lost in 46 matches437 won, 390 drawn, 437 lost in 1264 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEvertonLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 25 conceded (76)880 scored, 880 conceded (2460)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 10 conceded (25)317 scored, 327 conceded (897)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 10 conceded (25)236 scored, 236 conceded (666)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 5 conceded (26)327 scored, 317 conceded (897)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 17(league sides: 1,385 times, within 15 minutes 232, by full time 660)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Coventry

ScoreCoventryLeague sides
Scored first42 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 53 matches757 won, 244 drawn, 169 lost in 1170 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 18 lost in 30 matches169 won, 244 drawn, 757 lost in 1170 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches334 won, 129 drawn, 74 lost in 537 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 34 matches306 won, 330 drawn, 306 lost in 942 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches295 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 310 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 32 matches211 won, 330 drawn, 211 lost in 752 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes20 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches365 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 375 matches
Level after 70 minutes12 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches166 won, 364 drawn, 166 lost in 696 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches416 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 422 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches124 won, 400 drawn, 124 lost in 648 matches
Level after 15 minutes32 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 65 matches628 won, 464 drawn, 628 lost in 1720 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches321 won, 106 drawn, 78 lost in 505 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 46 matches437 won, 390 drawn, 437 lost in 1264 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCoventryLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 22 conceded (89)880 scored, 880 conceded (2460)
When leading after 75 minutes14 scored, 10 conceded (41)317 scored, 327 conceded (897)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 4 conceded (24)236 scored, 236 conceded (666)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 8 conceded (24)327 scored, 317 conceded (897)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,385 times, within 15 minutes 232, by full time 660)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

EvertonCoventry
75Matches with xG88
90.38xG for146.30
88Goals scored153
101.04xG against103.05
86Goals conceded102

Everton

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Everton: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026at Newcastle2.361.331–0
24 Oct 2026at Arsenal0.541.850–2
17 Oct 2026v Chelsea0.541.590–2
11 Oct 2026at Hull City1.681.332–2
19 Sep 2026v Ipswich2.241.441–0
12 Sep 2026at Tottenham1.110.690–0
6 Sep 2026v Manchester United1.010.692–2
29 Aug 2026at Bournemouth1.842.161–1
22 Aug 2026v Crystal Palace1.121.962–0
24 May 2026at Tottenham0.411.150–1

Coventry

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Coventry: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v Sunderland0.771.883–1
24 Oct 2026v Fulham0.580.610–1
19 Oct 2026at Tottenham0.790.901–3
12 Oct 2026v Newcastle1.471.844–1
19 Sep 2026at Nottingham Forest0.671.101–0
13 Sep 2026v Brighton1.332.810–5
5 Sep 2026at Manchester City1.372.120–1
29 Aug 2026v Hull City1.290.720–1
21 Aug 2026at Arsenal0.201.880–3
2 May 2026at Watford1.391.704–0

Coventry: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

EvertonCoventry
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
13Points in those matches9
11.96xPts8.94
12.44xG for8.47
13.04xG against13.86

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Everton and Coventry

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • EvertonEverton
    Doubtful
    T. George (Injury) · J. Grealish (Coach's decision)
  • CoventryCoventry
    Ruled out
    A. Amenda (Calf Injury) · H. Wright (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Eccles (Ankle Injury) · B. Thomas (Calf Injury) · L. Woolfenden (Knee Injury)

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 18:57 GMT

All fixtures