Süper Lig0–4Finished

Göztepe

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 18:00 BSTMatchday 7

Eyüpspor v Göztepe match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 12 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Göztepe are slight favourites in this Süper Lig encounter, but the model sees a competitive match with all three outcomes plausible. Göztepe's injury crisis—five players ruled out—could undermine their performance despite their marginally higher win probability.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

34%Eyüpspor win
28%Draw
38%Göztepe win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Eyüpspor

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

Göztepe

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Eyüpspor won 18 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
Göztepe won 21 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
Eyüpspor won 1 of the last 4 meetings.
Göztepe without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Eyüpspor 1, draws 3, Göztepe 0

Goals: Eyüpspor 2, Göztepe 1

Date	Match	Score
28 Feb 2026	Göztepe v Eyüpspor	0–0
27 Sep 2025	Eyüpspor v Göztepe	0–0
16 Mar 2025	Göztepe v Eyüpspor	1–1
19 Oct 2024	Eyüpspor v Göztepe	1–0

Home and away

Eyüpspor

Eyüpspor at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

LostRizespor12 Sep 20260–2
WonAlanyaspor30 Aug 20262–1
LostGaziantep FK23 Aug 20260–1
WonRizespor9 May 20264–0
WonGaziantep FK25 Apr 20263–0

Eyüpspor: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Göztepe

Göztepe away

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

DrawnAlanyaspor12 Sep 20262–2
LostGalatasaray29 Aug 20262–3
DrawnSamsunspor17 Aug 20263–3
LostSamsunspor16 May 20260–3
DrawnTrabzonspor2 May 20261–1

Göztepe: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Eyüpspor

Last match: 22 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Next match: 5 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig

Göztepe

Last match: 22 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
Next match: 6 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Eyüpspor

Score	Eyüpspor	League sides
Scored first	18 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches	662 won, 198 drawn, 145 lost in 1005 matches
Conceded first	3 won, 1 drawn, 30 lost in 34 matches	145 won, 198 drawn, 662 lost in 1005 matches
Level at half-time	5 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 28 matches	270 won, 326 drawn, 270 lost in 866 matches
Level after 60 minutes	6 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches	196 won, 338 drawn, 196 lost in 730 matches
Level after 70 minutes	5 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches	155 won, 380 drawn, 155 lost in 690 matches
Level after 15 minutes	11 won, 11 drawn, 24 lost in 46 matches	541 won, 460 drawn, 541 lost in 1542 matches
Level after 30 minutes	7 won, 8 drawn, 20 lost in 35 matches	393 won, 356 drawn, 393 lost in 1142 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Eyüpspor	League sides
All matches	16 scored, 32 conceded (68)	738 scored, 738 conceded (2180)
When leading after 75 minutes	7 scored, 10 conceded (22)	291 scored, 259 conceded (759)
When trailing after 75 minutes	3 scored, 16 conceded (27)	259 scored, 291 conceded (759)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 8(league sides: 1,163 times, within 15 minutes 203, by full time 521)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Göztepe

Score	Göztepe	League sides
Scored first	21 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 38 matches	662 won, 198 drawn, 145 lost in 1005 matches
Conceded first	3 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 24 matches	145 won, 198 drawn, 662 lost in 1005 matches
1 goal up at half-time	13 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches	308 won, 109 drawn, 55 lost in 472 matches
Level at half-time	6 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches	270 won, 326 drawn, 270 lost in 866 matches
Level after 60 minutes	6 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches	196 won, 338 drawn, 196 lost in 730 matches
Level after 70 minutes	5 won, 14 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches	155 won, 380 drawn, 155 lost in 690 matches
Level after 80 minutes	4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches	116 won, 416 drawn, 116 lost in 648 matches
Level after 15 minutes	16 won, 19 drawn, 13 lost in 48 matches	541 won, 460 drawn, 541 lost in 1542 matches
Level after 30 minutes	14 won, 18 drawn, 12 lost in 44 matches	393 won, 356 drawn, 393 lost in 1142 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Göztepe	League sides
All matches	25 scored, 19 conceded (69)	738 scored, 738 conceded (2180)
When leading after 75 minutes	9 scored, 9 conceded (26)	291 scored, 259 conceded (759)
When level after 75 minutes	8 scored, 2 conceded (21)	188 scored, 188 conceded (662)
When trailing after 75 minutes	8 scored, 8 conceded (22)	259 scored, 291 conceded (759)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 14(league sides: 1,163 times, within 15 minutes 203, by full time 521)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

Eyüpspor		Göztepe
68	Matches with xG	69
78.47	xG for	113.07
74	Goals scored	98
107.87	xG against	80.10
101	Goals conceded	88

Eyüpspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Eyüpspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026	at Fenerbahçe	0.72	5.14	0–8
12 Sep 2026	v Rizespor	1.42	2.05	0–2
6 Sep 2026	at Çorum FK	0.73	2.58	0–3
30 Aug 2026	v Alanyaspor	1.48	0.66	2–1
23 Aug 2026	v Gaziantep FK	0.49	1.16	0–1
16 Aug 2026	at Beşiktaş	0.09	1.28	0–1
17 May 2026	at Fenerbahçe	0.52	1.33	3–3
9 May 2026	v Rizespor	1.67	0.75	4–0
3 May 2026	at Kayserispor	0.90	1.46	1–1
25 Apr 2026	v Gaziantep FK	1.45	0.72	3–0

Göztepe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Göztepe: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026	v Rizespor	2.78	0.78	2–2
12 Sep 2026	at Alanyaspor	1.79	1.72	2–2
7 Sep 2026	v Gaziantep FK	3.26	1.88	2–4
29 Aug 2026	at Galatasaray	0.63	2.87	2–3
23 Aug 2026	v Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1.92	1.56	0–1
17 Aug 2026	at Samsunspor	1.71	2.80	3–3
16 May 2026	at Samsunspor	2.20	2.11	0–3
9 May 2026	v Gaziantep FK	2.08	0.77	2–1
2 May 2026	at Trabzonspor	1.54	0.79	1–1
25 Apr 2026	v Antalyaspor	2.44	0.91	2–0

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Eyüpspor		Göztepe
6 of 6	Matches with xG	6 of 6
3	Points in those matches	3
4.59	xPts	8.76
4.93	xG for	12.09
12.87	xG against	11.61

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Eyüpspor and Göztepe

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Eyüpspor
Ruled out
A. Sabiri (Muscle Injury)
Göztepe
Ruled out
Allan Godoi (Injury) · F. Bayir (Inactive) · G. Bayrakdar (Inactive) · I. Sabra (Ankle Injury) · N. Sonko Sundberg (Inactive)
Doubtful
N. Miroshi (Inactive)

Published 12 Oct 2026, 16:57 BST · not changed since

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