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Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
1–2Finished
SC Freiburg
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 GMTMatchday 8 · WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Augsburg and Freiburg are evenly matched according to the model. Both sides have won just one of their last five. Augsburg are missing four players, while Freiburg have four doubtful; lineups have not yet been confirmed. Expected goals are nearly balanced at 1.57 for Augsburg and 1.55 for Freiburg.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 39%FC Augsburg win
  • 25%Draw
  • 36%SC Freiburg win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. won4–2at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
  2. drew1–1v Union Berlin
  3. lost3–4at SV Elversberg
  4. drew2–2v Bayern München
  5. lost2–3at Werder Bremen
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won3–2v VfL Wolfsburg
  2. lost1–3v Bayern München
  3. lost1–2at Bayer Leverkusen
  4. won2–1v FC Schalke 04
  5. drew2–2at Eintracht Frankfurt

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • FC Augsburg won 18 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • SC Freiburg won 31 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • SC Freiburg won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • FC Augsburg unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: FC Augsburg 2, draws 2, SC Freiburg 6

Goals: FC Augsburg 10, SC Freiburg 21

DateMatchScore
18 Jan 2026FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg2–2
23 Aug 2025SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg1–3
2 Mar 2025FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg0–0
19 Oct 2024SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg3–1
25 Feb 2024FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg2–1
1 Oct 2023SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg2–0
28 Jan 2023SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg3–1
6 Aug 2022FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg0–4
19 Feb 2022FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg1–2
26 Sep 2021SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg3–0

Home and away

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnUnion Berlin24 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnBayern München10 Oct 20262–2
  • DrawnBayer Leverkusen12 Sep 20262–2
  • WonFC Schalke 0430 Aug 20263–0
  • WonBorussia Mönchengladbach9 May 20263–1

FC Augsburg: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostMonacoUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20260–3
  • LostBayer Leverkusen18 Oct 20261–2
  • DrawnEintracht Frankfurt19 Sep 20262–2
  • WonSC Paderborn 075 Sep 20261–0
  • WonFortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal23 Aug 20265–1

SC Freiburg: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

FC Augsburg
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · DFB Pokal
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v VfL Wolfsburg · DFB Pokal
Next match
5 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Trabzonspor · UEFA Europa Conference League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

FC Augsburg

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreFC AugsburgLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost in 35 matches611 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 935 matches
Conceded first5 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost in 27 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 611 lost in 935 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches207 won, 292 drawn, 207 lost in 706 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches156 won, 290 drawn, 156 lost in 602 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches107 won, 298 drawn, 107 lost in 512 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches74 won, 342 drawn, 74 lost in 490 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 17 drawn, 14 lost in 48 matches490 won, 362 drawn, 490 lost in 1342 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 33 matches323 won, 314 drawn, 323 lost in 960 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFC AugsburgLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 24 conceded (68)718 scored, 718 conceded (1976)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 11 conceded (24)300 scored, 268 conceded (737)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 3 conceded (21)150 scored, 150 conceded (502)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 10 conceded (23)268 scored, 300 conceded (737)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 1,128 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

SC Freiburg

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreSC FreiburgLeague sides
Scored first31 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 43 matches611 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 935 matches
Conceded first7 won, 6 drawn, 20 lost in 33 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 611 lost in 935 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 37 matches207 won, 292 drawn, 207 lost in 706 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 29 matches156 won, 290 drawn, 156 lost in 602 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches107 won, 298 drawn, 107 lost in 512 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches74 won, 342 drawn, 74 lost in 490 matches
Level after 15 minutes32 won, 16 drawn, 19 lost in 67 matches490 won, 362 drawn, 490 lost in 1342 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 16 drawn, 18 lost in 54 matches323 won, 314 drawn, 323 lost in 960 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSC FreiburgLeague sides
All matches27 scored, 31 conceded (83)718 scored, 718 conceded (1976)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 13 conceded (30)300 scored, 268 conceded (737)
When level after 75 minutes9 scored, 6 conceded (29)150 scored, 150 conceded (502)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 12 conceded (24)268 scored, 300 conceded (737)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 22(league sides: 1,128 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
67Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG67Since 3 Nov 2024
85.72xG for93.11
85Goals scored103
121.56xG against92.27
106Goals conceded108

FC Augsburg

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
FC Augsburg: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Union Berlin1.911.241–1
17 Oct 2026at SV Elversberg3.513.693–4
10 Oct 2026v Bayern München2.374.962–2
19 Sep 2026at Werder Bremen1.122.782–3
12 Sep 2026v Bayer Leverkusen1.112.642–2
6 Sep 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt1.132.224–1
30 Aug 2026v FC Schalke 043.722.103–0
16 May 2026at Union Berlin0.613.680–4
9 May 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach2.591.143–1
2 May 2026at Werder Bremen2.571.353–1

SC Freiburg

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
SC Freiburg: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Bayern München1.012.911–3
18 Oct 2026at Bayer Leverkusen1.211.641–2
11 Oct 2026v FC Schalke 041.150.322–1
19 Sep 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt3.092.182–2
12 Sep 2026v Borussia Mönchengladbach2.600.195–0
5 Sep 2026at SC Paderborn 071.240.771–0
30 Aug 2026v Werder Bremen2.370.544–1
16 May 2026v RB Leipzig1.411.244–1
10 May 2026at Hamburger SV0.411.982–3
3 May 2026v VfL Wolfsburg0.940.821–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
9Points in those matches13
7.64xPts12.42
14.87xG for12.67
19.63xG against8.55

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
    Ruled out
    J. Bah (Red Card) · N. Banks (Knee Injury) · C. Brackelmann (Concussion) · S. Mounie (Injury)
  • SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
    Doubtful
    P. Treu (Ankle Injury) · B. Yilmaz (Lacking Match Fitness)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:27 GMT · not changed since

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