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Eredivisie
Feyenoord
2–0Finished
AZ Alkmaar
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:45 BST

Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 47%Feyenoord win
  • 23%Draw
  • 30%AZ Alkmaar win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FeyenoordFeyenoord

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Feyenoord won 40 of 48 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 159 of 217.
  • Feyenoord won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Feyenoord unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Feyenoord 7, draws 2, AZ Alkmaar 1

Goals: Feyenoord 18, AZ Alkmaar 10

DateMatchScore
10 May 2026Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar1–1
21 Sep 2025AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord3–3
5 Apr 2025AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord0–1
2 Nov 2024Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar3–2
7 Feb 2024Feyenoord v AZ AlkmaarKNVB Beker2–0
4 Feb 2024AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord0–1
12 Nov 2023Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar1–0
18 Feb 2023Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar2–1
16 Oct 2022AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord1–3
27 Feb 2022AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord2–1

Home and away

Feyenoord

Feyenoord at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonUtrecht20 Sep 20265–0
  • DrawnADO Den Haag30 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnGO Ahead Eagles16 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnAZ Alkmaar10 May 20261–1
  • WonGroningen25 Apr 20263–1

Feyenoord: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostSunderlandUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonHeerenveen6 Sep 20263–2
  • WonFortuna Sittard22 Aug 20262–0
  • WonUtrecht15 Aug 20264–1
  • DrawnFeyenoord10 May 20261–1

AZ Alkmaar: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Feyenoord
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Utrecht · Eredivisie
Next match
4 days after14 Oct 2026 · v Como · UEFA Champions League
AZ Alkmaar
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Telstar · Eredivisie
Next match
5 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Europa League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Feyenoord

ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 48 matches639 won, 219 drawn, 116 lost in 974 matches
Conceded first8 won, 8 drawn, 22 lost in 38 matches116 won, 219 drawn, 639 lost in 974 matches
1 goal up at half-time20 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches293 won, 101 drawn, 50 lost in 444 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches227 won, 290 drawn, 227 lost in 744 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches50 won, 101 drawn, 293 lost in 444 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes24 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches285 won, 99 drawn, 27 lost in 411 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches347 won, 11 drawn, 0 lost in 358 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes20 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches272 won, 93 drawn, 18 lost in 383 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches376 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 379 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes21 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches302 won, 90 drawn, 4 lost in 396 matches
Level after 15 minutes27 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 55 matches477 won, 390 drawn, 477 lost in 1344 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches337 won, 310 drawn, 337 lost in 984 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
All matches45 scored, 36 conceded (89)743 scored, 743 conceded (2030)
When leading after 75 minutes26 scored, 16 conceded (49)328 scored, 235 conceded (757)
When trailing after 75 minutes14 scored, 12 conceded (23)235 scored, 328 conceded (757)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 25(league sides: 1,155 times, within 15 minutes 193, by full time 528)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
67Matches with xG68
137.00xG for123.01
156Goals scored123
73.07xG against77.62
81Goals conceded91

Feyenoord

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Feyenoord: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v Utrecht3.410.585–0
13 Sep 2026at PEC Zwolle3.400.197–0
5 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.110.743–1
30 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag2.470.242–2
23 Aug 2026at Cambuur2.620.965–2
16 Aug 2026v GO Ahead Eagles2.891.512–2
9 Aug 2026at Sparta Rotterdam3.531.011–0
17 May 2026at PEC Zwolle3.210.802–0
3 May 2026at Fortuna Sittard2.500.772–1
25 Apr 2026v Groningen1.641.463–1

AZ Alkmaar

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AZ Alkmaar: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v Telstar2.350.101–0
11 Sep 2026v Willem II2.480.931–1
6 Sep 2026at Heerenveen1.041.483–2
29 Aug 2026v GO Ahead Eagles2.371.665–2
22 Aug 2026at Fortuna Sittard4.350.442–0
15 Aug 2026at Utrecht2.100.914–1
8 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag2.670.952–0
17 May 2026v NAC Breda1.452.083–3
3 May 2026v Twente1.390.462–2
23 Apr 2026at GO Ahead Eagles1.421.330–0

Feyenoord: 1 without xG left outAZ Alkmaar: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
17Points in those matches19
17.06xPts15.33
19.43xG for17.36
5.23xG against6.47

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • FeyenoordFeyenoordT. Beelen (Broken Leg) · J. Bos (Knee Injury) · J. Moder (Knee Injury) · B. Nieuwkoop (Knee Injury) · G. Smal (Ankle Injury) · T. Watanabe (Leg Injury) · G. Borges (Knock)
  • AZ AlkmaarAZ AlkmaarS. Resink (Knee Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 05:57 BST · not changed since

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