LEDGER
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Serie A
Fiorentina
19:45
Juventus
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence

Fiorentina v Juventus · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Juventus win

The model gives Juventus a 47% chance of victory, compared to 26% for Fiorentina and 27% for a draw. Juventus lead on expected goals (1.56 to 1.09, a gap of 0.47) and expected total of 2.65. Fiorentina lost three of their last five; Juventus won two of theirs. Fiorentina won 3-0 and 2-0 in their last two home and away head-to-head meetings.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 26%Fiorentina win
  • 27%Draw
  • 47%Juventus win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. won4–2at Sassuolo
  2. drew2–2v Atalanta
  3. lost1–2at Inter
  4. lost1–3v Como
  5. lost1–2at Genoa
JuventusJuventus

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won2–1at AZ Alkmaar
  2. won2–0v Napoli
  3. lost0–2at Genoa
  4. won2–0at Lecce
  5. drew2–2v Rennes

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Provisional: a recent score not yet confirmed.

Trends

  • Fiorentina won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Juventus won 40 of 54 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Juventus won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Fiorentina 3, draws 3, Juventus 4

Goals: Fiorentina 11, Juventus 9

DateMatchScore
17 May 2026Juventus v Fiorentina0–2
22 Nov 2025Fiorentina v Juventus1–1
16 Mar 2025Fiorentina v Juventus3–0
29 Dec 2024Juventus v Fiorentina2–2
7 Apr 2024Juventus v Fiorentina1–0
5 Nov 2023Fiorentina v Juventus0–1
12 Feb 2023Juventus v Fiorentina1–0
3 Sep 2022Fiorentina v Juventus1–1
21 May 2022Fiorentina v Juventus2–0
20 Apr 2022Juventus v FiorentinaCoppa Italia2–0

Home and away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnAtalanta29 Oct 20262–2
  • LostComo18 Oct 20261–3
  • DrawnNapoli20 Sep 20261–1
  • WonPisaCoppa Italia15 Sep 20263–0
  • LostTorino5 Sep 20261–2

Fiorentina: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Juventus

Juventus away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAZ AlkmaarProvisionalUEFA Europa League5 Nov 20262–1
  • LostGenoa28 Oct 20260–2
  • WonLecce25 Oct 20262–0
  • WonCelta VigoUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnCagliari11 Oct 20261–1

Juventus: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fiorentina
Last match
6 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Sassuolo · Serie A
Next match
Not known
Juventus
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v AZ Alkmaar · UEFA Europa League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Fiorentina

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreFiorentinaLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first4 won, 9 drawn, 23 lost in 36 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 26 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches58 won, 124 drawn, 340 lost in 522 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 18 drawn, 22 lost in 55 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 36 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFiorentinaLeague sides
All matches16 scored, 20 conceded (75)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 11 conceded (25)255 scored, 235 conceded (845)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 6 conceded (23)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 3 conceded (27)235 scored, 255 conceded (845)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Juventus

Since 9 Nov 2024

ScoreJuventusLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 54 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first5 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 33 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches
Level at half-time17 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 38 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
1 goal down at half-time3 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches58 won, 124 drawn, 340 lost in 522 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes22 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches
Level after 60 minutes14 won, 17 drawn, 5 lost in 36 matches243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes21 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches
Level after 70 minutes9 won, 19 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes23 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 20 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 27 drawn, 11 lost in 68 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes15 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches299 won, 111 drawn, 63 lost in 473 matches
Level after 30 minutes24 won, 20 drawn, 10 lost in 54 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreJuventusLeague sides
All matches35 scored, 23 conceded (94)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When leading after 75 minutes17 scored, 9 conceded (47)255 scored, 235 conceded (845)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 5 conceded (24)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (23)235 scored, 255 conceded (845)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 25(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

FiorentinaJuventus
74Since 10 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 9 Nov 2024
99.65xG for117.65
91Goals scored113
97.00xG against66.33
105Goals conceded72

Fiorentina

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fiorentina: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026at Sassuolo2.411.024–2
29 Oct 2026v Atalanta1.561.022–2
25 Oct 2026at Inter0.243.151–2
18 Oct 2026v Como2.111.591–3
10 Oct 2026at Genoa0.821.461–2
20 Sep 2026v Napoli1.141.401–1
11 Sep 2026at Venezia3.310.494–2
5 Sep 2026v Torino1.670.581–2
29 Aug 2026v Frosinone2.131.110–3
24 Aug 2026at AS Roma0.353.070–4

Juventus

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Juventus: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026v Napoli0.870.582–0
28 Oct 2026at Genoa1.281.050–2
25 Oct 2026at Lecce1.060.862–0
18 Oct 2026v Lazio0.750.570–3
11 Oct 2026at Cagliari1.950.521–1
20 Sep 2026v Atalanta1.310.602–0
13 Sep 2026at Sassuolo1.101.022–3
6 Sep 2026v AC Milan1.590.111–1
29 Aug 2026v Parma1.580.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Frosinone2.180.411–0

Fiorentina: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

FiorentinaJuventus
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
8Points in those matches17
14.94xPts19.13
15.74xG for13.67
14.89xG against5.97

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Fiorentina and Juventus

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:48 GMT

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