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Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard
1–1Finished
Twente
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 BST

Fortuna Sittard v Twente match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 21%Fortuna Sittard win
  • 23%Draw
  • 56%Twente win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

TwenteTwente

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Fortuna Sittard won 20 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Twente won 29 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Twente won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Fortuna Sittard 2, draws 1, Twente 7

Goals: Fortuna Sittard 9, Twente 21

DateMatchScore
21 Mar 2026Fortuna Sittard v Twente1–2
26 Sep 2025Twente v Fortuna Sittard3–2
5 Apr 2025Twente v Fortuna Sittard1–1
23 Nov 2024Fortuna Sittard v Twente1–2
6 Apr 2024Twente v Fortuna Sittard2–0
8 Oct 2023Fortuna Sittard v Twente0–3
11 Mar 2023Fortuna Sittard v Twente0–3
14 Aug 2022Twente v Fortuna Sittard3–0
7 May 2022Twente v Fortuna Sittard1–2
14 Aug 2021Fortuna Sittard v Twente2–1

Home and away

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostAjax12 Sep 20261–5
  • LostAZ Alkmaar22 Aug 20260–2
  • WonCambuur15 Aug 20263–1
  • WonPEC Zwolle10 May 20263–2
  • LostFeyenoord3 May 20261–2

Fortuna Sittard: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 22 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Twente

Twente away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnGroningen6 Sep 20262–2
  • WonCambuur30 Aug 20264–1
  • WonQarabagUEFA Europa Conference League27 Aug 20262–1 AET 4–1
  • DrawnDunajska StredaUEFA Europa Conference League13 Aug 20263–3
  • LostHeerenveen9 Aug 20260–1

Twente: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
20 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fortuna Sittard
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Willem II · Eredivisie
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
Twente
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Next match
5 days after15 Oct 2026 · v FC Thun · UEFA Europa Conference League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Fortuna Sittard

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreFortuna SittardLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost in 31 matches639 won, 220 drawn, 116 lost in 975 matches
Conceded first3 won, 6 drawn, 25 lost in 34 matches116 won, 220 drawn, 639 lost in 975 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches227 won, 290 drawn, 227 lost in 744 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches163 won, 280 drawn, 163 lost in 606 matches
Level after 15 minutes13 won, 12 drawn, 18 lost in 43 matches477 won, 392 drawn, 477 lost in 1346 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 33 matches337 won, 310 drawn, 337 lost in 984 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFortuna SittardLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 28 conceded (67)744 scored, 744 conceded (2032)
When leading after 75 minutes2 scored, 11 conceded (20)328 scored, 236 conceded (758)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 11 conceded (30)236 scored, 328 conceded (758)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 17(league sides: 1,158 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 531)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Twente

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreTwenteLeague sides
Scored first29 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 47 matches639 won, 220 drawn, 116 lost in 975 matches
Conceded first5 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 29 matches116 won, 220 drawn, 639 lost in 975 matches
1 goal up at half-time11 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches293 won, 102 drawn, 50 lost in 445 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches227 won, 290 drawn, 227 lost in 744 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches163 won, 280 drawn, 163 lost in 606 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes12 won, 8 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches272 won, 93 drawn, 18 lost in 383 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches118 won, 314 drawn, 118 lost in 550 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes14 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches302 won, 91 drawn, 4 lost in 397 matches
Level after 15 minutes27 won, 17 drawn, 10 lost in 54 matches477 won, 392 drawn, 477 lost in 1346 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes13 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches258 won, 96 drawn, 58 lost in 412 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches337 won, 310 drawn, 337 lost in 984 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreTwenteLeague sides
All matches31 scored, 25 conceded (79)744 scored, 744 conceded (2032)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 12 conceded (36)328 scored, 236 conceded (758)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 7 conceded (20)180 scored, 180 conceded (516)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 6 conceded (23)236 scored, 328 conceded (758)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 21(league sides: 1,158 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 531)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Fortuna SittardTwente
66Since 20 Oct 2024Matches with xG68Since 19 Oct 2024
80.36xG for123.08
88Goals scored124
114.93xG against83.23
116Goals conceded92

Fortuna Sittard

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fortuna Sittard: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Willem II1.311.011–0
12 Sep 2026v Ajax0.714.131–5
6 Sep 2026at ADO Den Haag0.550.483–2
28 Aug 2026at Groningen0.881.603–2
22 Aug 2026v AZ Alkmaar0.444.350–2
15 Aug 2026v Cambuur1.912.513–1
8 Aug 2026at PSV Eindhoven1.012.312–2
17 May 2026at Utrecht0.482.090–2
3 May 2026v Feyenoord0.772.501–2
25 Apr 2026at Heerenveen0.852.411–2

Twente

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Twente: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v PSV Eindhoven2.401.023–2
12 Sep 2026v ADO Den Haag2.810.542–0
9 Sep 2026v Telstar2.650.521–0
6 Sep 2026at Groningen2.301.482–2
30 Aug 2026at Cambuur1.760.474–1
16 Aug 2026v PEC Zwolle2.080.683–1
9 Aug 2026at Heerenveen1.780.390–1
17 May 2026at PSV Eindhoven1.412.491–5
10 May 2026v Sparta Rotterdam3.920.864–0
3 May 2026at AZ Alkmaar0.461.392–2

Fortuna Sittard: 1 without xG left outTwente: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Fortuna SittardTwente
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
13Points in those matches16
5.70xPts16.27
6.81xG for15.78
16.39xG against5.10

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Fortuna Sittard and Twente

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Fortuna SittardFortuna SittardR. Bayram (Knee Injury) · I. Marquez (Injury) · Y. Oukili (Groin Injury)
  • TwenteTwenteS. Lemkin (Muscle Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 18:12 BST · not changed since

All fixtures