Serie A2–0Finished

Torino

Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 GMTMatchday 10 · PSC Arena, Frosinone

Frosinone v Torino match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Frosinone a 46% chance of winning, with a 27% likelihood of a draw and Torino 27% to win. Expected goals total 2.78 with a gap of 0.38 in Frosinone's favour. Frosinone's form is WDWLW; Torino's is LWWWD. Torino are without Fortini, Israel, Mandragora and Rodriguez, and Cacciamani is doubtful.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

46%Frosinone win
27%Draw
27%Torino win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Frosinone

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

won5–1v Lecce
drew4–4at Atalanta
won4–2v Sassuolo
lost0–3at Napoli
won2–0v Como

Torino

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

lost1–3v Como
won3–2v Monza
won3–0at Parma
won2–1v Udinese
drew1–1at Bologna

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 219 of 278.
Torino won 19 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Frosinone 0, draws 3, Torino 0

Goals: Frosinone 1, Torino 1

Date	Match	Score
21 Apr 2024	Torino v Frosinone	0–0
10 Dec 2023	Frosinone v Torino	0–0
2 Nov 2023	Torino v FrosinoneCoppa Italia	1–1 AET 1–2

Home and away

Frosinone

Frosinone at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

WonLecce29 Oct 20265–1
WonSassuolo16 Oct 20264–2
WonComo20 Sep 20262–0
WonVenezia6 Sep 20263–2
LostJuventus23 Aug 20260–1

Frosinone: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 27 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

Torino

Torino away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

WonParma19 Oct 20263–0
DrawnBologna19 Sep 20261–1
WonFiorentina5 Sep 20262–1
LostSassuolo29 Aug 20261–2
LostCagliari17 May 20261–2

Torino: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Frosinone

Last match: 3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Lecce · Serie A
Next match: 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Cagliari · Serie A

Torino

Last match: 5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Next match: 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Lecce · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Torino

Score	Torino	League sides
Scored first	19 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches	770 won, 239 drawn, 128 lost in 1137 matches
Conceded first	3 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 41 matches	128 won, 239 drawn, 770 lost in 1137 matches
Level at half-time	10 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches	326 won, 396 drawn, 326 lost in 1048 matches
1 goal down at half-time	1 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 21 matches	58 won, 124 drawn, 337 lost in 519 matches
Level after 60 minutes	6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches	241 won, 410 drawn, 241 lost in 892 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes	3 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost in 26 matches	35 won, 112 drawn, 376 lost in 523 matches
Level after 70 minutes	2 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches	180 won, 450 drawn, 180 lost in 810 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes	1 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 22 matches	24 won, 97 drawn, 394 lost in 515 matches
Level after 80 minutes	2 won, 18 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches	109 won, 492 drawn, 109 lost in 710 matches
Level after 15 minutes	15 won, 19 drawn, 25 lost in 59 matches	626 won, 542 drawn, 626 lost in 1794 matches
Level after 30 minutes	13 won, 15 drawn, 15 lost in 43 matches	454 won, 428 drawn, 454 lost in 1336 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Torino	League sides
All matches	19 scored, 18 conceded (75)	721 scored, 721 conceded (2466)
When leading after 75 minutes	4 scored, 5 conceded (20)	253 scored, 235 conceded (840)
When level after 75 minutes	5 scored, 4 conceded (22)	233 scored, 233 conceded (786)
When trailing after 75 minutes	10 scored, 9 conceded (33)	235 scored, 253 conceded (840)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 49 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 1,274 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 567)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 3 Nov 2024

Frosinone		Torino
—	Matches with xG	75
—	xG for	80.41
—	Goals scored	82
—	xG against	102.89
—	Goals conceded	107

Torino

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Torino: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
27 Oct 2026	v Como	1.17	2.28	1–3
23 Oct 2026	v Monza	1.40	0.68	3–2
19 Oct 2026	at Parma	1.58	1.61	3–0
12 Oct 2026	v Udinese	2.62	0.76	2–1
19 Sep 2026	at Bologna	1.14	0.92	1–1
14 Sep 2026	v AS Roma	0.86	1.85	0–2
5 Sep 2026	at Fiorentina	0.58	1.67	2–1
29 Aug 2026	at Sassuolo	1.26	1.85	1–2
23 Aug 2026	v AC Milan	1.29	2.15	1–2
24 May 2026	v Juventus	0.85	1.92	2–2

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

Frosinone		Torino
9 of 9	Matches with xG	9 of 9
17	Points in those matches	13
10.25	xPts	11.22
16.48	xG for	11.90
20.94	xG against	13.77

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Frosinone and Torino

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Frosinone
Ruled out
F. Grillitsch (Thigh Injury)
Torino
Ruled out
N. Fortini (Thigh Injury) · F. Israel (Shoulder Injury) · R. Mandragora (Muscle Injury) · R. Rodriguez (Thigh Injury)
Doubtful
A. Cacciamani (Shoulder Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT · not changed since

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