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Premier League
Fulham
1–1Finished
Newcastle
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Craven Cottage, London

Fulham v Newcastle match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Fulham and Newcastle are closely matched on the model's analysis, with Fulham given a 37% win chance and Newcastle 35%. Expected goals of 2.66 suggest a tight match, with both teams producing similar attacking output (1.35 for Fulham, 1.31 for Newcastle). Fulham's form has been steadier (DLWWL) than Newcastle's recent struggles (LLWLL).

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 37%Fulham win
  • 28%Draw
  • 35%Newcastle win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FulhamFulham

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew1–1at Aston Villa
  2. lost0–1v Crystal Palace
  3. won1–0at Coventry
  4. won1–0v Hull City
  5. lost1–2at Ipswich
NewcastleNewcastle

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–1v Everton
  2. lost1–3at Everton
  3. won2–0at Crystal Palace
  4. lost0–1v Aston Villa
  5. lost1–4at Coventry

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Premier League, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 192 of 272.
  • Newcastle won 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Fulham 3, draws 0, Newcastle 7

Goals: Fulham 10, Newcastle 17

DateMatchScore
24 May 2026Fulham v Newcastle2–0
17 Dec 2025Newcastle v FulhamLeague Cup2–1
25 Oct 2025Newcastle v Fulham2–1
1 Feb 2025Newcastle v Fulham1–2
21 Sep 2024Fulham v Newcastle3–1
6 Apr 2024Fulham v Newcastle0–1
27 Jan 2024Fulham v NewcastleFA Cup0–2
16 Dec 2023Newcastle v Fulham3–0
15 Jan 2023Newcastle v Fulham1–0
1 Oct 2022Fulham v Newcastle1–4

Home and away

Fulham

Fulham at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostCrystal PalaceLeague Cup28 Oct 20260–1
  • WonHull City17 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnManchester United20 Sep 20261–1
  • LostCrystal Palace5 Sep 20262–3
  • WonAFC WimbledonLeague Cup27 Aug 20263–0

Fulham: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Newcastle

Newcastle away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostEvertonLeague Cup29 Oct 20261–3
  • WonCrystal Palace25 Oct 20262–0
  • LostCoventry12 Oct 20261–4
  • LostLeeds14 Sep 20261–4
  • WonMillwallLeague Cup8 Sep 20261–0

Newcastle: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fulham
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Aston Villa · Premier League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Manchester City · Premier League
Newcastle
Last match
5 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Everton · Premier League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Arsenal · Premier League

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

FulhamNewcastle
75Since 9 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 10 Nov 2024
96.18xG for118.23
96Goals scored123
102.99xG against99.69
103Goals conceded107

Fulham

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fulham: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Aston Villa2.261.871–1
24 Oct 2026at Coventry0.610.581–0
17 Oct 2026v Hull City1.480.181–0
10 Oct 2026at Ipswich1.811.151–2
20 Sep 2026v Manchester United1.621.601–1
12 Sep 2026at Liverpool0.701.280–0
5 Sep 2026v Crystal Palace3.141.972–3
30 Aug 2026at Sunderland0.952.020–1
24 Aug 2026v Chelsea1.332.242–3
24 May 2026v Newcastle1.810.312–0

Newcastle

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Newcastle: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026v Everton1.332.360–1
25 Oct 2026at Crystal Palace0.951.592–0
17 Oct 2026v Aston Villa1.071.630–1
12 Oct 2026at Coventry1.841.471–4
19 Sep 2026v Hull City1.441.592–1
14 Sep 2026at Leeds0.882.081–4
5 Sep 2026v Bournemouth0.711.372–2
29 Aug 2026at Tottenham0.721.122–0
23 Aug 2026v Liverpool1.582.982–2
24 May 2026at Fulham0.311.810–2

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

FulhamNewcastle
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
9Points in those matches11
13.02xPts8.86
13.90xG for10.52
12.89xG against16.19

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Fulham and Newcastle

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 12:08 GMT · not changed since

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