Gaziantep FK v Çorum FK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Gaziantep are slight favourites at home with a 44% win probability, though Çorum enter on better form with three wins in five. The model expects 3.29 goals total, with Gaziantep projected to create a marginal attacking advantage.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 44%Gaziantep FK win
- 25%Draw
- 31%Çorum FK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Gaziantep FKLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Çorum FKLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Gaziantep FK won 15 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 196 of 251.
- Gaziantep FK without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Gaziantep FK's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK at home
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnFenerbahçe14 Sep 20260–0
- LostRizespor29 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnAlanyaspor15 Aug 20261–1
- LostBaşakşehir16 May 20261–2
- LostBeşiktaş1 May 20260–2
Gaziantep FK: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Çorum FKÇorum FK away
Last 3: 1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonSamsunspor12 Sep 20265–1
- LostBeşiktaş31 Aug 20262–6
- DrawnGalatasaray14 Aug 20262–2
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Gaziantep FK- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Başakşehir · Süper Lig
Çorum FK- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Alanyaspor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Gaziantep FK
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches | 660 won, 198 drawn, 145 lost in 1003 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 36 matches | 145 won, 198 drawn, 660 lost in 1003 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches | 270 won, 324 drawn, 270 lost in 864 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 196 won, 336 drawn, 196 lost in 728 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 155 won, 378 drawn, 155 lost in 688 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 116 won, 414 drawn, 116 lost in 646 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 15 drawn, 15 lost in 45 matches | 539 won, 458 drawn, 539 lost in 1536 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 38 matches | 391 won, 354 drawn, 391 lost in 1136 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 17 scored, 30 conceded (69) | 737 scored, 737 conceded (2174) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 10 conceded (21) | 290 scored, 259 conceded (757) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 7 conceded (24) | 188 scored, 188 conceded (660) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 13 conceded (24) | 259 scored, 290 conceded (757) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 21(league sides: 1,160 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 520)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Gaziantep FK | Çorum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Matches with xG | — |
| 86.24 | xG for | — |
| 88 | Goals scored | — |
| 105.11 | xG against | — |
| 104 | Goals conceded | — |
Gaziantep FK
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 1.03 | 1.30 | 0–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 0.49 | 1.34 | 0–0 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Göztepe | 1.88 | 3.26 | 4–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Rizespor | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 1.16 | 0.49 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1–1 |
| 16 May 2026 | v Başakşehir | 0.63 | 2.21 | 1–2 |
| 9 May 2026 | at Göztepe | 0.77 | 2.08 | 1–2 |
| 1 May 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 1.68 | 1.46 | 0–2 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.72 | 1.45 | 0–3 |
Gaziantep FK: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Gaziantep FK | Çorum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 of 6 | Matches with xG | 6 of 6 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 7 |
| 6.93 | xPts | 8.04 |
| 6.63 | xG for | 7.81 |
| 8.81 | xG against | 9.33 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Published 11 Oct 2026, 13:38 BST · not changed since
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