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Süper Lig
Gaziantep FK
1–3Finished
Erzurumspor FK
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTMatchday 9 · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gaziantep FK v Erzurumspor FK match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Gaziantep are favoured at 46% to win this match but have struggled recently with just one victory in five games. They will be without forwards Bavuk and Sangare through injury, while Erzurumspor arrive in better form with three wins in their last five outings.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 46%Gaziantep FK win
  • 28%Draw
  • 26%Erzurumspor FK win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Gaziantep FK won 15 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
  • Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 199 of 254.
  • Gaziantep FK without a win in their last 5 home games.
  • Erzurumspor FK without a win in their last 4 away games.

Home and away

Gaziantep FK

Gaziantep FK at home

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostÇorum FK11 Oct 20260–3
  • DrawnFenerbahçe14 Sep 20260–0
  • LostRizespor29 Aug 20261–2
  • DrawnAlanyaspor15 Aug 20261–1
  • LostBaşakşehir16 May 20261–2

Gaziantep FK: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK away

Last 4: 0 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnAlanyaspor10 Oct 20260–0
  • LostBeşiktaş11 Sep 20260–3
  • DrawnGençlerbirliği S.K.28 Aug 20261–1
  • LostAmed16 Aug 20260–3

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Gaziantep FK
Last match
6 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Başakşehir · Süper Lig
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Etimesgut SK · Türkiye Kupası
Erzurumspor FK
Last match
7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Eyüpspor · Süper Lig
Next match
7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Gaziantep FK

ScoreGaziantep FKLeague sides
Scored first15 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches672 won, 198 drawn, 146 lost in 1016 matches
Conceded first7 won, 5 drawn, 26 lost in 38 matches146 won, 198 drawn, 672 lost in 1016 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches273 won, 326 drawn, 273 lost in 872 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches55 won, 109 drawn, 315 lost in 479 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches43 won, 100 drawn, 343 lost in 486 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches159 won, 380 drawn, 159 lost in 698 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches119 won, 416 drawn, 119 lost in 654 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 45 matches550 won, 460 drawn, 550 lost in 1560 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 38 matches397 won, 356 drawn, 397 lost in 1150 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGaziantep FKLeague sides
All matches17 scored, 32 conceded (70)746 scored, 746 conceded (2202)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 10 conceded (21)294 scored, 260 conceded (766)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 8 conceded (24)192 scored, 192 conceded (670)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 14 conceded (25)260 scored, 294 conceded (766)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 22(league sides: 1,172 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 523)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 27 Oct 2024

Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FK
69Matches with xG—
86.95xG for—
87Goals scored—
108.37xG against—
107Goals conceded—

Gaziantep FK

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Gaziantep FK: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026at Başakşehir1.132.031–2
11 Oct 2026v Çorum FK0.992.670–3
19 Sep 2026at Kocaelispor1.031.300–2
14 Sep 2026v Fenerbahçe0.491.340–0
7 Sep 2026at Göztepe1.883.264–2
29 Aug 2026v Rizespor0.791.171–2
23 Aug 2026at Eyüpspor1.160.491–0
15 Aug 2026v Alanyaspor1.281.251–1
16 May 2026v Başakşehir0.632.211–2
9 May 2026at Göztepe0.772.081–2

Gaziantep FK: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FK
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
8Points in those matches11
8.27xPts9.01
8.75xG for6.95
13.51xG against10.96

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
    Ruled out
    F. Bavuk (Hamstring Injury) · N. Sangare (Back Injury)
    Doubtful
    U. Meleke (Injury)
  • Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FKNo injuries or suspensions reported.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 BST · not changed since

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