Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Amed match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 22%Gençlerbirliği S.K. win
- 22%Draw
- 56%Amed win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
AmedLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. avoided defeat in 6 of 22 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 196 of 251.
Home and away
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostKasımpaşa13 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnErzurumspor FK28 Aug 20261–1
- WonFenerbahçe15 Aug 20262–1
- WonKasımpaşa9 May 20263–2
- WonKocaelispor26 Apr 20261–0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.- Last match
- 21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Başakşehir · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Galatasaray · Süper Lig
Amed- Last match
- 20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Beşiktaş · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Konyaspor · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Score | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 3 won, 3 drawn, 16 lost in 22 matches | 145 won, 197 drawn, 658 lost in 1000 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 28 matches | 538 won, 454 drawn, 538 lost in 1530 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost in 20 matches | 391 won, 352 drawn, 391 lost in 1134 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 8 scored, 11 conceded (40) | 734 scored, 734 conceded (2166) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 7(league sides: 1,156 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Aug 2025
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Matches with xG | — |
| 41.24 | xG for | — |
| 41 | Goals scored | — |
| 64.54 | xG against | — |
| 60 | Goals conceded | — |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Başakşehir | 0.52 | 2.74 | 0–4 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Kasımpaşa | 1.16 | 1.32 | 1–2 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 0.86 | 3.21 | 0–5 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 0.75 | 0.86 | 1–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Göztepe | 1.56 | 1.92 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 1.19 | 2.90 | 2–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 1.58 | 0.57 | 3–0 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Kasımpaşa | 1.86 | 1.98 | 3–2 |
| 3 May 2026 | at Fatih Karagümrük | 2.14 | 0.81 | 0–1 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | v Kocaelispor | 1.00 | 0.66 | 1–0 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Amed | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 of 6 | Matches with xG | 6 of 6 |
| 7 | Points in those matches | 13 |
| 4.74 | xPts | 10.94 |
| 6.04 | xG for | 11.69 |
| 12.95 | xG against | 5.94 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Published 10 Oct 2026, 10:27 BST · not changed since
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