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Süper Lig
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1Finished
Galatasaray
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTMatchday 8

Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Galatasaray match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Galatasaray are strong favourites with a 62% model chance to win, compared to Gençlerbirliği's 16%. The visitors are expected to create substantially more chances, with a goal gap of 1.11 in their favour. Gençlerbirliği face significant squad constraints from injuries.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 16%Gençlerbirliği S.K. win
  • 22%Draw
  • 62%Galatasaray win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

GalatasarayGalatasaray

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Gençlerbirliği S.K. avoided defeat in 7 of 23 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
  • Galatasaray won 53 of 62 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Galatasaray's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0, draws 0, Galatasaray 2

Goals: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3, Galatasaray 5

DateMatchScore
18 Apr 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Galatasaray1–2
22 Nov 2025Galatasaray v Gençlerbirliği S.K.3–2

Home and away

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnAmed10 Oct 20262–2
  • LostKasımpaşa13 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnErzurumspor FK28 Aug 20261–1
  • WonFenerbahçe15 Aug 20262–1
  • WonKasımpaşa9 May 20263–2

Gençlerbirliği S.K.: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Galatasaray

Galatasaray away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostTrabzonspor19 Sep 20260–4
  • LostSporting CPUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–3
  • WonBaşakşehir4 Sep 20263–2
  • WonErzurumspor FK21 Aug 20264–0
  • LostKasımpaşa17 May 20260–1

Galatasaray: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last match
7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Amed · Süper Lig
Next match
8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Konyaspor · Süper Lig
Galatasaray
Last match
4 days before13 Oct 2026 · v Barcelona · UEFA Champions League
Next match
4 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Lille · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Since 9 Aug 2025

ScoreGençlerbirliği S.K.League sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches146 won, 198 drawn, 663 lost in 1007 matches
Level after 15 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 29 matches542 won, 460 drawn, 542 lost in 1544 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost in 20 matches394 won, 356 drawn, 394 lost in 1144 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGençlerbirliği S.K.League sides
All matches9 scored, 11 conceded (41)739 scored, 739 conceded (2184)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 24 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 9(league sides: 1,165 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 522)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Galatasaray

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreGalatasarayLeague sides
Scored first53 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 62 matches663 won, 198 drawn, 146 lost in 1007 matches
Conceded first6 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost in 27 matches146 won, 198 drawn, 663 lost in 1007 matches
1 goal up at half-time28 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches309 won, 109 drawn, 55 lost in 473 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches271 won, 326 drawn, 271 lost in 868 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes20 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches229 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 246 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes28 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches337 won, 100 drawn, 43 lost in 480 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches197 won, 338 drawn, 197 lost in 732 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches292 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 300 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes27 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches334 won, 86 drawn, 26 lost in 446 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes26 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches325 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 329 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes28 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches357 won, 71 drawn, 11 lost in 439 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes22 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches197 won, 52 drawn, 38 lost in 287 matches
Level after 15 minutes34 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 53 matches542 won, 460 drawn, 542 lost in 1544 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes26 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches262 won, 99 drawn, 65 lost in 426 matches
Level after 30 minutes21 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches394 won, 356 drawn, 394 lost in 1144 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGalatasarayLeague sides
All matches38 scored, 17 conceded (91)739 scored, 739 conceded (2184)
When leading after 75 minutes29 scored, 13 conceded (59)291 scored, 259 conceded (760)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 1,165 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 522)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Galatasaray
41Since 9 Aug 2025Matches with xG69Since 19 Oct 2024
41.74xG for147.91
43Goals scored158
66.70xG against67.16
62Goals conceded64

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Gençlerbirliği S.K.: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026v Amed0.502.162–2
19 Sep 2026at Başakşehir0.522.740–4
13 Sep 2026v Kasımpaşa1.161.321–2
6 Sep 2026at Trabzonspor0.863.210–5
28 Aug 2026v Erzurumspor FK0.750.861–1
23 Aug 2026at Göztepe1.561.921–0
15 Aug 2026v Fenerbahçe1.192.902–1
17 May 2026at Trabzonspor1.580.573–0
9 May 2026v Kasımpaşa1.861.983–2
3 May 2026at Fatih Karagümrük2.140.810–1

Galatasaray

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Galatasaray: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
9 Oct 2026v Kasımpaşa2.520.493–1
19 Sep 2026at Trabzonspor0.962.200–4
13 Sep 2026v Kocaelispor2.260.821–0
4 Sep 2026at Başakşehir2.121.993–2
29 Aug 2026v Göztepe2.870.633–2
21 Aug 2026at Erzurumspor FK3.080.484–0
14 Aug 2026v Çorum FK2.900.612–2
17 May 2026at Kasımpaşa0.550.650–1
9 May 2026v Antalyaspor4.180.384–2
2 May 2026at Samsunspor0.891.371–4

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Galatasaray
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
8Points in those matches16
5.13xPts14.93
6.54xG for16.71
15.11xG against7.22

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
    Ruled out
    P. Etebo (Inactive) · C. Niasse (Muscle Injury) · K. Rodrigues (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    S. Koita (Inactive) · P. Pereira (Injury) · A. Traore (Muscle Injury)
  • GalatasarayGalatasaray
    Ruled out
    W. Singo (Thigh Injury) · L. Torreira (Injury)

Published 17 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since

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