Genoa v Venezia match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Genoa win
- 28%Draw
- 31%Venezia win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
GenoaLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
VeneziaLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Genoa won 17 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 216 of 272.
- Genoa won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
- Venezia without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Genoa 3, draws 2, Venezia 1
Goals: Genoa 6, Venezia 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2025 | Genoa v Venezia | 2–0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Venezia v Genoa | 2–0 |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Genoa v VeneziaSerie B · Italy | 1–0 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Venezia v GenoaSerie B · Italy | 1–2 |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Venezia v Genoa | 1–1 |
| 31 Oct 2021 | Genoa v Venezia | 0–0 |
Home and away
GenoaGenoa at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonFiorentina10 Oct 20262–1
- WonSudtirolCoppa Italia15 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnFrosinone12 Sep 20261–1
- LostComo4 Sep 20261–4
- LostNapoli22 Aug 20260–2
Genoa: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
VeneziaVenezia away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostAtalanta12 Oct 20261–3
- LostFrosinone6 Sep 20262–3
- LostUdineseCoppa Italia2 Sep 20261–2
- LostAC Milan28 Aug 20260–2
- DrawnSpeziaSerie B · Italy1 May 20262–2
Venezia: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Genoa- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v AS Roma · Serie A
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Juventus · Serie A
Venezia- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Napoli · Serie A
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Inter · Serie A
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Genoa
| Score | Genoa | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 17 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches | 759 won, 237 drawn, 124 lost in 1120 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 37 matches | 124 won, 237 drawn, 759 lost in 1120 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 15 drawn, 13 lost in 38 matches | 322 won, 394 drawn, 322 lost in 1038 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 10 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 35 matches | 238 won, 406 drawn, 238 lost in 882 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 34 won, 111 drawn, 371 lost in 516 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 15 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches | 109 won, 488 drawn, 109 lost in 706 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches | 11 won, 84 drawn, 432 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 17 drawn, 22 lost in 56 matches | 618 won, 536 drawn, 618 lost in 1772 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 14 drawn, 17 lost in 41 matches | 452 won, 424 drawn, 452 lost in 1328 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Genoa | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 19 conceded (75) | 705 scored, 705 conceded (2430) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 10 conceded (31) | 231 scored, 231 conceded (780) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 5 conceded (29) | 226 scored, 248 conceded (825) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 18(league sides: 1,248 times, within 15 minutes 183, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 27 Oct 2024
| Genoa | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Matches with xG | 37 |
| 81.99 | xG for | 40.61 |
| 76 | Goals scored | 33 |
| 90.42 | xG against | 61.28 |
| 96 | Goals conceded | 58 |
Genoa
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | at AS Roma | 0.49 | 1.37 | 0–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Fiorentina | 1.46 | 0.82 | 2–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Parma | 0.70 | 0.53 | 1–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Frosinone | 1.88 | 1.93 | 1–1 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | v Como | 0.78 | 1.78 | 1–4 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Lazio | 0.42 | 1.62 | 0–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Napoli | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0–2 |
| 24 May 2026 | at Lecce | 0.68 | 1.43 | 0–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | v AC Milan | 1.32 | 1.75 | 1–2 |
| 10 May 2026 | at Fiorentina | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0–0 |
Venezia
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Napoli | 0.67 | 2.46 | 1–0 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | at Atalanta | 2.48 | 2.19 | 1–3 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Lazio | 1.89 | 1.60 | 0–2 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v Fiorentina | 0.49 | 3.31 | 2–4 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Frosinone | 2.17 | 1.90 | 2–3 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | at AC Milan | 0.80 | 2.21 | 0–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Lecce | 2.05 | 2.70 | 0–2 |
| 25 May 2025 | v Juventus | 0.88 | 1.96 | 2–3 |
| 18 May 2025 | at Cagliari | 0.68 | 1.52 | 0–3 |
| 12 May 2025 | v Fiorentina | 1.87 | 0.94 | 2–1 |
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Genoa | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 of 7 | Matches with xG | 7 of 7 |
| 4 | Points in those matches | 3 |
| 7.77 | xPts | 6.85 |
| 6.40 | xG for | 10.55 |
| 8.82 | xG against | 16.37 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Genoa and Venezia
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- E. Havel (Ankle Injury) · D. Sow (Thigh Injury) · L. Venturino (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- A. Adorante (Hernia) · T. Correia (Thigh Injury) · B. Franjic (Shoulder Injury) · M. Sverko (Hip Injury)
Published 25 Oct 2026, 12:58 GMT · not changed since
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