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La Liga
Getafe
1–1Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BSTMatchday 9 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 19 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Getafe hold a modest 41% chance of winning against Rayo Vallecano, with the draw at 30% and an away victory at 29%. The model expects 2.26 goals in total. Getafe's availability will be severely limited by injuries, while Rayo won their most recent meeting 2-0.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 41%Getafe win
  • 30%Draw
  • 29%Rayo Vallecano win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GetafeGetafe

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Getafe won 25 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Rayo Vallecano won 20 of 36 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Rayo Vallecano won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Getafe unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Getafe 0, draws 6, Rayo Vallecano 4

Goals: Getafe 2, Rayo Vallecano 10

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0–2
2 Jan 2026Rayo Vallecano v Getafe1–1
2 May 2025Rayo Vallecano v Getafe1–0
24 Aug 2024Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0–0
13 Apr 2024Rayo Vallecano v Getafe0–0
2 Jan 2024Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0–2
12 Feb 2023Getafe v Rayo Vallecano1–1
14 Oct 2022Rayo Vallecano v Getafe0–0
8 May 2022Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0–0
18 Sep 2021Rayo Vallecano v Getafe3–0

Home and away

Getafe

Getafe at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonMalaga20 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnDeportivo La Coruna13 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnCelta Vigo7 Sep 20261–1
  • WonRacing Santander23 Aug 20261–0
  • WonFK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference League20 Aug 20263–1

Getafe: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
1 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • DrawnOsasuna19 Sep 20261–1
  • LostReal Madrid12 Sep 20261–4
  • LostBarcelona31 Aug 20262–5
  • LostSevilla15 Aug 20261–2
  • LostCrystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League27 May 20260–1

Rayo Vallecano: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Getafe
Last match
4 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa Conference League
Next match
3 days after22 Oct 2026 · v FC Lugano · UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano
Last match
Not known
Next match
5 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Elche · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Getafe

ScoreGetafeLeague sides
Scored first25 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 32 matches763 won, 246 drawn, 143 lost in 1152 matches
Conceded first2 won, 5 drawn, 33 lost in 40 matches143 won, 246 drawn, 763 lost in 1152 matches
Level at half-time14 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 34 matches344 won, 376 drawn, 344 lost in 1064 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 23 matches60 won, 125 drawn, 328 lost in 513 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 30 matches264 won, 382 drawn, 264 lost in 910 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches38 won, 120 drawn, 366 lost in 524 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost in 22 matches206 won, 420 drawn, 206 lost in 832 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 23 matches26 won, 104 drawn, 396 lost in 526 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 24 matches12 won, 89 drawn, 410 lost in 511 matches
Level after 15 minutes21 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 59 matches642 won, 488 drawn, 642 lost in 1772 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 9 drawn, 21 lost in 49 matches474 won, 424 drawn, 474 lost in 1372 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGetafeLeague sides
All matches14 scored, 20 conceded (75)794 scored, 794 conceded (2454)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (26)283 scored, 277 conceded (832)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 5 conceded (32)277 scored, 283 conceded (832)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 1,293 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 603)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Rayo Vallecano

ScoreRayo VallecanoLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 36 matches763 won, 246 drawn, 143 lost in 1152 matches
Conceded first4 won, 9 drawn, 21 lost in 34 matches143 won, 246 drawn, 763 lost in 1152 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches344 won, 376 drawn, 344 lost in 1064 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches60 won, 125 drawn, 328 lost in 513 matches
Level after 60 minutes9 won, 15 drawn, 9 lost in 33 matches264 won, 382 drawn, 264 lost in 910 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 19 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches206 won, 420 drawn, 206 lost in 832 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 20 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches152 won, 452 drawn, 152 lost in 756 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 23 drawn, 14 lost in 51 matches642 won, 488 drawn, 642 lost in 1772 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 17 drawn, 8 lost in 40 matches474 won, 424 drawn, 474 lost in 1372 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreRayo VallecanoLeague sides
All matches15 scored, 24 conceded (74)794 scored, 794 conceded (2454)
When leading after 75 minutes1 scored, 4 conceded (21)283 scored, 277 conceded (832)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (33)234 scored, 234 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 8 conceded (20)277 scored, 283 conceded (832)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,293 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 603)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 20 Oct 2024

GetafeRayo Vallecano
75Matches with xG74
63.48xG for97.94
64Goals scored82
89.56xG against100.51
80Goals conceded96

Getafe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Getafe: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Barcelona0.141.930–3
20 Sep 2026v Malaga0.950.521–0
17 Sep 2026at Real Betis0.291.890–1
13 Sep 2026v Deportivo La Coruna0.780.871–1
7 Sep 2026v Celta Vigo0.651.031–1
31 Aug 2026at Osasuna0.681.680–1
23 Aug 2026v Racing Santander1.241.311–0
15 Aug 2026at Alaves0.241.930–3
23 May 2026v Osasuna0.210.511–0
17 May 2026at Elche0.110.660–1

Rayo Vallecano

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Rayo Vallecano: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Osasuna1.010.531–1
15 Sep 2026v Espanyol1.521.492–1
12 Sep 2026at Real Madrid1.212.621–4
5 Sep 2026v Racing Santander1.610.483–2
31 Aug 2026at Barcelona1.213.042–5
20 Aug 2026v Alaves0.422.001–1
15 Aug 2026at Sevilla1.892.191–2
23 May 2026at Alaves1.341.632–1
17 May 2026v Villarreal1.490.972–0
14 May 2026at Valencia1.160.761–1

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

GetafeRayo Vallecano
8 of 8Matches with xG7 of 7
8Points in those matches8
6.81xPts8.08
4.97xG for8.87
11.16xG against12.35

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Getafe and Rayo Vallecano

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • GetafeGetafe
    Ruled out
    Juanmi (Knee Injury) · O. Mangala (Muscle Injury) · Z. Romero (Muscle Injury) · C. Uche (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    I. Azon (Injury) · A. Garcia (Injury)
  • Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
    Ruled out
    A. Batalla (Broken calfbone) · Luiz Felipe (Knee Injury) · A. Ratiu (Injury)

Published 19 Oct 2026, 18:57 BST · not changed since

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