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La Liga
Getafe
3–1Finished
Sevilla
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 GMTMatchday 11 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe

Getafe v Sevilla match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Getafe and Sevilla meet with mixed recent form on both sides. The model gives Getafe a 40% chance of victory, Sevilla 30% and a draw 30%, with expected goals of 1.28 for the hosts and 1.1 for the visitors. Getafe's defensive injuries are significant, though Sevilla also miss key personnel at the back.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 40%Getafe win
  • 30%Draw
  • 30%Sevilla win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GetafeGetafe

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won3–2at Lebrijana
  2. lost0–4at Athletic Club
  3. drew1–1v Rayo Vallecano
  4. lost0–3at Barcelona
  5. won1–0v Malaga
SevillaSevilla

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won3–0at Hortaleza
  2. won2–0v Osasuna
  3. lost1–4at Real Madrid
  4. drew3–3at Levante
  5. lost1–3v Barcelona

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Getafe won 25 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 4 Nov 2024.
  • Sevilla won 19 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Sevilla won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Getafe's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Getafe 3, draws 1, Sevilla 6

Goals: Getafe 9, Sevilla 10

DateMatchScore
22 Feb 2026Getafe v Sevilla0–1
25 Aug 2025Sevilla v Getafe1–2
1 Feb 2025Getafe v Sevilla0–0
14 Sep 2024Sevilla v Getafe1–0
30 Mar 2024Getafe v Sevilla0–1
16 Jan 2024Getafe v SevillaCopa del Rey1–3
16 Dec 2023Sevilla v Getafe0–3
19 Mar 2023Getafe v Sevilla2–0
8 Jan 2023Sevilla v Getafe2–1
9 Jan 2022Sevilla v Getafe1–0

Home and away

Getafe

Getafe at home

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostFC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20262–5
  • DrawnRayo Vallecano19 Oct 20261–1
  • WonMalaga20 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnDeportivo La Coruna13 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnCelta Vigo7 Sep 20261–1

Getafe: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
1 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Sevilla

Sevilla away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonHortalezaCopa del Rey29 Oct 20263–0
  • LostReal Madrid18 Oct 20261–4
  • DrawnLevante12 Oct 20263–3
  • WonDeportivo La Coruna16 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnEspanyol6 Sep 20261–1

Sevilla: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Getafe
Last match
3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Lebrijana · Copa del Rey
Next match
4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Brighton · UEFA Europa Conference League
Sevilla
Last match
3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Hortaleza · Copa del Rey
Next match
5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Alaves · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Getafe

Since 4 Nov 2024

ScoreGetafeLeague sides
Scored first25 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 32 matches775 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1168 matches
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 34 lost in 41 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 775 lost in 1168 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 35 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost in 22 matches61 won, 127 drawn, 333 lost in 521 matches
Level after 60 minutes11 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches265 won, 386 drawn, 265 lost in 916 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 23 matches209 won, 424 drawn, 209 lost in 842 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes0 won, 1 drawn, 20 lost in 21 matches26 won, 105 drawn, 402 lost in 533 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 1 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches12 won, 90 drawn, 416 lost in 518 matches
Level after 15 minutes21 won, 9 drawn, 28 lost in 58 matches654 won, 492 drawn, 654 lost in 1800 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 7 drawn, 21 lost in 47 matches482 won, 428 drawn, 482 lost in 1392 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGetafeLeague sides
All matches12 scored, 21 conceded (76)803 scored, 803 conceded (2488)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (27)287 scored, 279 conceded (844)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (31)279 scored, 287 conceded (844)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 1,310 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sevilla

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreSevillaLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 32 matches775 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1168 matches
Conceded first5 won, 8 drawn, 30 lost in 43 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 775 lost in 1168 matches
Level at half-time13 won, 8 drawn, 15 lost in 36 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 26 matches265 won, 386 drawn, 265 lost in 916 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes1 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 21 matches39 won, 121 drawn, 372 lost in 532 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches26 won, 105 drawn, 402 lost in 533 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches155 won, 456 drawn, 155 lost in 766 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches12 won, 90 drawn, 416 lost in 518 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 10 drawn, 28 lost in 54 matches654 won, 492 drawn, 654 lost in 1800 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 9 drawn, 23 lost in 45 matches482 won, 428 drawn, 482 lost in 1392 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSevillaLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 28 conceded (76)803 scored, 803 conceded (2488)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 8 conceded (24)287 scored, 279 conceded (844)
When trailing after 75 minutes14 scored, 13 conceded (34)279 scored, 287 conceded (844)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 49 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 22(league sides: 1,310 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

GetafeSevilla
75Since 4 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 3 Nov 2024
60.26xG for78.58
63Goals scored92
91.05xG against103.18
83Goals conceded116

Getafe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Getafe: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Athletic Club0.410.740–4
19 Oct 2026v Rayo Vallecano0.612.261–1
10 Oct 2026at Barcelona0.141.930–3
20 Sep 2026v Malaga0.950.521–0
17 Sep 2026at Real Betis0.291.890–1
13 Sep 2026v Deportivo La Coruna0.780.871–1
7 Sep 2026v Celta Vigo0.651.031–1
31 Aug 2026at Osasuna0.681.680–1
23 Aug 2026v Racing Santander1.241.311–0
15 Aug 2026at Alaves0.241.930–3

Sevilla

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sevilla: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
26 Oct 2026v Osasuna1.200.632–0
18 Oct 2026at Real Madrid0.752.281–4
12 Oct 2026at Levante2.201.823–3
19 Sep 2026v Barcelona0.403.471–3
16 Sep 2026at Deportivo La Coruna0.730.141–0
11 Sep 2026v Valencia0.930.101–0
6 Sep 2026at Espanyol0.531.231–1
29 Aug 2026v Atletico Madrid0.900.931–3
22 Aug 2026at Athletic Club0.411.253–1
15 Aug 2026v Rayo Vallecano2.191.892–1

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

GetafeSevilla
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
9Points in those matches17
8.20xPts12.34
5.99xG for10.24
14.16xG against13.74

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Getafe and Sevilla

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • GetafeGetafe
    Ruled out
    Juanmi (Knee Injury) · M. Martin (Red Card) · J. Mojica (Yellow Cards) · C. Uche (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    Z. Romero (Muscle Injury)
  • SevillaSevilla
    Ruled out
    Marcao (Muscle Injury) · M. Sierra (Shoulder Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since

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