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Eredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles
3–3Finished
Sparta Rotterdam
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 BST

GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 38%GO Ahead Eagles win
  • 28%Draw
  • 34%Sparta Rotterdam win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles

Last 5: no wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • GO Ahead Eagles won 18 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Sparta Rotterdam won 20 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Sparta Rotterdam won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of GO Ahead Eagles's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 3, draws 3, Sparta Rotterdam 4

Goals: GO Ahead Eagles 9, Sparta Rotterdam 11

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles2–2
23 Aug 2025GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam0–3
14 Feb 2025GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam1–0
18 Dec 2024Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker1–1 PEN
15 Sep 2024Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles1–2
21 Jan 2024Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles0–2
22 Oct 2023GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam0–0
12 Feb 2023Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles2–1
27 Aug 2022GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam0–1
12 Mar 2022Sparta Rotterdam v GO Ahead Eagles1–0

Home and away

GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnGroningen12 Sep 20261–1
  • WonADO Den Haag23 Aug 20263–1
  • WonWillem II8 Aug 20264–1
  • LostPSV Eindhoven10 May 20261–4
  • DrawnAZ Alkmaar23 Apr 20260–0

GO Ahead Eagles: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
26 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam away

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostPSV Eindhoven13 Sep 20261–4
  • LostExcelsior29 Aug 20261–2
  • WonTelstar14 Aug 20263–1
  • LostTwente10 May 20260–4
  • LostTelstar22 Apr 20261–4

Sparta Rotterdam: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 26 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

GO Ahead Eagles
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Heerenveen · Eredivisie
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Willem II · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

GO Ahead Eagles

ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches639 won, 219 drawn, 116 lost in 974 matches
Conceded first4 won, 11 drawn, 22 lost in 37 matches116 won, 219 drawn, 639 lost in 974 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches227 won, 290 drawn, 227 lost in 744 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches163 won, 280 drawn, 163 lost in 606 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost in 23 matches27 won, 99 drawn, 285 lost in 411 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches118 won, 312 drawn, 118 lost in 548 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes2 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches18 won, 93 drawn, 272 lost in 383 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 19 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches73 won, 334 drawn, 73 lost in 480 matches
Level after 15 minutes12 won, 18 drawn, 16 lost in 46 matches477 won, 390 drawn, 477 lost in 1344 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 16 drawn, 12 lost in 39 matches337 won, 310 drawn, 337 lost in 984 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
All matches28 scored, 26 conceded (75)743 scored, 743 conceded (2030)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 5 conceded (24)180 scored, 180 conceded (516)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 14 conceded (33)235 scored, 328 conceded (757)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 27(league sides: 1,155 times, within 15 minutes 193, by full time 528)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sparta Rotterdam

ScoreSparta RotterdamLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches639 won, 219 drawn, 116 lost in 974 matches
Conceded first0 won, 7 drawn, 28 lost in 35 matches116 won, 219 drawn, 639 lost in 974 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 26 matches227 won, 290 drawn, 227 lost in 744 matches
Level after 60 minutes3 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches163 won, 280 drawn, 163 lost in 606 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches118 won, 312 drawn, 118 lost in 548 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 13 drawn, 22 lost in 49 matches477 won, 390 drawn, 477 lost in 1344 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 41 matches337 won, 310 drawn, 337 lost in 984 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSparta RotterdamLeague sides
All matches23 scored, 35 conceded (67)743 scored, 743 conceded (2030)
When leading after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (21)328 scored, 235 conceded (757)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 18 conceded (28)235 scored, 328 conceded (757)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 12(league sides: 1,155 times, within 15 minutes 193, by full time 528)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

GO Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
66Matches with xG67
95.60xG for90.89
116Goals scored80
113.86xG against105.05
108Goals conceded113

GO Ahead Eagles

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
GO Ahead Eagles: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen2.311.041–1
12 Sep 2026v Groningen2.230.161–1
5 Sep 2026at Utrecht1.792.473–3
29 Aug 2026at AZ Alkmaar1.662.372–5
23 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag0.850.833–1
16 Aug 2026at Feyenoord1.512.892–2
8 Aug 2026v Willem II2.431.514–1
17 May 2026at NEC Nijmegen0.324.441–2
3 May 2026at Sparta Rotterdam2.081.892–2
23 Apr 2026v AZ Alkmaar1.331.420–0

Sparta Rotterdam

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sparta Rotterdam: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v Heerenveen0.671.800–4
13 Sep 2026at PSV Eindhoven2.293.751–4
4 Sep 2026v PEC Zwolle2.231.072–2
29 Aug 2026at Excelsior1.031.321–2
22 Aug 2026v Utrecht1.731.923–3
14 Aug 2026at Telstar2.541.403–1
9 Aug 2026v Feyenoord1.013.530–1
17 May 2026v Excelsior1.760.952–3
10 May 2026at Twente0.863.920–4
3 May 2026v GO Ahead Eagles1.892.082–2

GO Ahead Eagles: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

GO Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
10Points in those matches5
10.84xPts8.26
12.78xG for11.50
11.27xG against14.79

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead EaglesP. Saathof (Knee Injury) · E. Waayers (Injury)
  • Sparta RotterdamSparta RotterdamS. Mito (Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 14:27 BST · not changed since

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