GO Ahead Eagles v Telstar match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 23 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar meet in an evenly matched contest according to the model, which gives the hosts a 50% chance of victory. The model expects around 3.15 goals and favours GO Ahead Eagles in attacking metrics, though both teams have been inconsistent lately.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 50%GO Ahead Eagles win
- 24%Draw
- 26%Telstar win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
GO Ahead EaglesLast 5: no wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat
TelstarLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- GO Ahead Eagles won 18 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Telstar won 11 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 13 May 2025.
- Telstar won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of GO Ahead Eagles's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 0, draws 1, Telstar 2
Goals: GO Ahead Eagles 4, Telstar 7
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles v Telstar | 1–1 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Telstar v GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker | 2–1 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Telstar v GO Ahead Eagles | 4–2 |
Home and away
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnSparta Rotterdam10 Oct 20263–3
- DrawnGroningen12 Sep 20261–1
- WonADO Den Haag23 Aug 20263–1
- WonWillem II8 Aug 20264–1
- LostPSV Eindhoven10 May 20261–4
GO Ahead Eagles: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 28 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
TelstarTelstar away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostAZ Alkmaar20 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnHeerenveen13 Sep 20260–0
- LostTwente9 Sep 20260–1
- WonNEC Nijmegen8 Aug 20262–1
- WonFC Volendam17 May 20262–1
Telstar: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
GO Ahead Eagles- Last match
- 5 days before18 Oct 2026 · v PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 4 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Koninklijke HFC · KNVB Beker
Telstar- Last match
- 6 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 4 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Almere City FC · KNVB Beker
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
GO Ahead Eagles
Since 27 Oct 2024
| Score | GO Ahead Eagles | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 35 matches | 645 won, 225 drawn, 120 lost in 990 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 12 drawn, 21 lost in 37 matches | 120 won, 225 drawn, 645 lost in 990 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 230 won, 298 drawn, 230 lost in 758 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 167 won, 286 drawn, 167 lost in 620 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 24 matches | 27 won, 102 drawn, 287 lost in 416 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches | 121 won, 320 drawn, 121 lost in 562 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 2 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches | 18 won, 95 drawn, 275 lost in 388 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 19 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches | 75 won, 340 drawn, 75 lost in 490 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 19 drawn, 17 lost in 48 matches | 484 won, 394 drawn, 484 lost in 1362 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 16 drawn, 12 lost in 39 matches | 339 won, 316 drawn, 339 lost in 994 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | GO Ahead Eagles | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 27 scored, 27 conceded (76) | 754 scored, 754 conceded (2062) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 182 scored, 182 conceded (526) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 14 conceded (33) | 239 scored, 333 conceded (768) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 51 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 28(league sides: 1,180 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 545)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Telstar
Since 13 May 2025
| Score | Telstar | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 11 won, 9 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 645 won, 225 drawn, 120 lost in 990 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 25 matches | 120 won, 225 drawn, 645 lost in 990 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches | 167 won, 286 drawn, 167 lost in 620 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches | 484 won, 394 drawn, 484 lost in 1362 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches | 339 won, 316 drawn, 339 lost in 994 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Telstar | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 21 conceded (49) | 754 scored, 754 conceded (2062) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 10 conceded (20) | 333 scored, 239 conceded (768) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 27 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 9(league sides: 1,180 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 545)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| GO Ahead Eagles | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 67Since 27 Oct 2024 | Matches with xG | 42Since 10 Aug 2025 |
| 99.23 | xG for | 60.76 |
| 119 | Goals scored | 56 |
| 115.77 | xG against | 80.54 |
| 110 | Goals conceded | 73 |
GO Ahead Eagles
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | at PEC Zwolle | 2.76 | 1.81 | 1–4 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Sparta Rotterdam | 1.29 | 2.36 | 3–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 2.31 | 1.04 | 1–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Groningen | 2.23 | 0.16 | 1–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Utrecht | 1.79 | 2.47 | 3–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at AZ Alkmaar | 1.66 | 2.37 | 2–5 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v ADO Den Haag | 0.85 | 0.83 | 3–1 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Feyenoord | 1.51 | 2.89 | 2–2 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | v Willem II | 2.43 | 1.51 | 4–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 0.32 | 4.44 | 1–2 |
Telstar
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Feyenoord | 1.43 | 3.83 | 3–4 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v ADO Den Haag | 2.44 | 1.11 | 2–2 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at AZ Alkmaar | 0.10 | 2.35 | 0–1 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Heerenveen | 0.71 | 1.54 | 0–0 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | at Twente | 0.52 | 2.65 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Cambuur | 2.12 | 0.98 | 2–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Ajax | 1.13 | 2.13 | 0–4 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | v Sparta Rotterdam | 1.40 | 2.54 | 1–3 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | at NEC Nijmegen | 1.66 | 2.15 | 2–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at FC Volendam | 1.40 | 1.09 | 2–1 |
GO Ahead Eagles: 1 without xG left outTelstar: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| GO Ahead Eagles | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 11 | Points in those matches | 6 |
| 13.54 | xPts | 8.52 |
| 16.83 | xG for | 11.51 |
| 15.44 | xG against | 19.28 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- P. Saathof (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- R. Mendes (Inactive)
Published 23 Oct 2026, 17:58 BST · not changed since
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