Göztepe v Çorum FK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Göztepe are slight favourites at home with a 39% chance of victory, but Çorum FK's strong recent form makes this competitive. The model expects 2.96 goals total with the sides closely matched in attack.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 39%Göztepe win
- 26%Draw
- 35%Çorum FK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
GöztepeLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Çorum FKLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Göztepe won 23 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 199 of 255.
Home and away
GöztepeGöztepe at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnRizespor20 Sep 20262–2
- LostGaziantep FK7 Sep 20262–4
- LostGençlerbirliği S.K.23 Aug 20260–1
- WonGaziantep FK9 May 20262–1
- WonAntalyaspor25 Apr 20262–0
Göztepe: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Çorum FKÇorum FK away
Last 4: 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonGaziantep FK11 Oct 20263–0
- WonSamsunspor12 Sep 20265–1
- LostBeşiktaş31 Aug 20262–6
- DrawnGalatasaray14 Aug 20262–2
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Göztepe- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Çorum FK- Last match
- 9 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 26 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Göztepe
| Score | Göztepe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 23 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 40 matches | 675 won, 198 drawn, 147 lost in 1020 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 23 matches | 147 won, 198 drawn, 675 lost in 1020 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 317 won, 109 drawn, 56 lost in 482 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 274 won, 326 drawn, 274 lost in 874 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches | 199 won, 338 drawn, 199 lost in 736 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 159 won, 380 drawn, 159 lost in 698 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 120 won, 416 drawn, 120 lost in 656 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 19 drawn, 12 lost in 48 matches | 554 won, 460 drawn, 554 lost in 1568 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 18 drawn, 12 lost in 44 matches | 400 won, 356 drawn, 400 lost in 1156 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Göztepe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 20 conceded (70) | 748 scored, 748 conceded (2210) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 10 conceded (28) | 295 scored, 260 conceded (769) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 2 conceded (21) | 193 scored, 193 conceded (672) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 8 conceded (21) | 260 scored, 295 conceded (769) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 14(league sides: 1,176 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 524)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Göztepe | Çorum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Matches with xG | — |
| 115.98 | xG for | — |
| 104 | Goals scored | — |
| 81.94 | xG against | — |
| 88 | Goals conceded | — |
Göztepe
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 0.94 | 1.50 | 2–1 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 3.15 | 1.33 | 4–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Rizespor | 2.78 | 0.78 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Alanyaspor | 1.79 | 1.72 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 3.26 | 1.88 | 2–4 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.63 | 2.87 | 2–3 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.92 | 1.56 | 0–1 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | at Samsunspor | 1.71 | 2.80 | 3–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Samsunspor | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0–3 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 2.08 | 0.77 | 2–1 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Göztepe | Çorum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 9 | Points in those matches | 13 |
| 12.07 | xPts | 11.56 |
| 16.18 | xG for | 11.14 |
| 14.44 | xG against | 11.13 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Göztepe and Çorum FK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Allan Godoi (Injury) · F. Bayir (Inactive) · O. Bayrak (Inactive) · I. Sabra (Ankle Injury)
- Doubtful
- L. Gugeshashvili (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- E. Gurluk (Injury) · S. Saatci (Inactive)
- Doubtful
- A. Borza (Injury)
Published 25 Oct 2026, 14:58 GMT · not changed since
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