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Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
3–1Finished
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:30 GMTMatchday 9 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburger

Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Hamburg have lost three of their last five but hold a small advantage in expected goals (1.63 to 1.39, a gap of 0.24 in their favour). Mönchengladbach are in worse form with two recent defeats but drew both previous encounters with Hamburg. The model expects both teams to score in most outcomes, with a total of 3.02 expected goals.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 43%Hamburger SV win
  • 26%Draw
  • 31%Borussia Mönchengladbach win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–3at Eintracht Frankfurt
  2. lost1–3v Eintracht Frankfurt
  3. lost0–1at SC Paderborn 07
  4. won1–0v VfB Stuttgart
  5. won3–2at 1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew0–0v SC Paderborn 07
  2. won2–0v Karlsruher SC
  3. won3–2at VfB Stuttgart
  4. lost1–2v 1899 Hoffenheim
  5. lost1–2at 1. FC Köln

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Hamburger SV avoided defeat in 7 of 24 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach won 19 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Hamburger SV's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Hamburger SV 0, draws 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0

Goals: Hamburger SV 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0

DateMatchScore
17 Jan 2026Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
24 Aug 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v Hamburger SV0–0

Home and away

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostEintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal27 Oct 20261–3
  • WonVfB Stuttgart17 Oct 20261–0
  • Won1. FC Köln19 Sep 20262–1
  • LostFSV Mainz 056 Sep 20260–5
  • WonSC Freiburg10 May 20263–2

Hamburger SV: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonVfB Stuttgart23 Oct 20263–2
  • Lost1. FC Köln11 Oct 20261–2
  • LostSC Freiburg12 Sep 20260–5
  • LostRB Leipzig29 Aug 20260–3
  • WonSchott MainzDFB Pokal23 Aug 20265–0

Borussia Mönchengladbach: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 25 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Hamburger SV
Last match
5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
Next match
Not known
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last match
6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
Next match
15 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Hamburger SV

Since 24 Aug 2025

ScoreHamburger SVLeague sides
Conceded first4 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 24 matches128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 22 matches209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes9 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 36 matches494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches
Level after 30 minutes7 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHamburger SVLeague sides
All matches10 scored, 18 conceded (43)724 scored, 724 conceded (1992)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 29 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 13(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Since 9 Nov 2024

ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 31 matches615 won, 199 drawn, 128 lost in 942 matches
Conceded first1 won, 2 drawn, 27 lost in 30 matches128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches156 won, 294 drawn, 156 lost in 606 matches
Level after 15 minutes10 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 43 matches494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 36 matches326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 29 conceded (68)724 scored, 724 conceded (1992)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 8 conceded (22)302 scored, 271 conceded (743)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 8 conceded (20)151 scored, 151 conceded (506)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 13 conceded (26)271 scored, 302 conceded (743)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 10(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach
42Since 24 Aug 2025Matches with xG67Since 9 Nov 2024
49.62xG for90.14
47Goals scored93
75.42xG against117.25
73Goals conceded118

Hamburger SV

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Hamburger SV: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt1.122.031–3
24 Oct 2026at SC Paderborn 070.491.210–1
17 Oct 2026v VfB Stuttgart1.461.711–0
10 Oct 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim1.280.933–2
19 Sep 2026v 1. FC Köln1.451.412–1
13 Sep 2026at RB Leipzig1.102.430–5
6 Sep 2026v FSV Mainz 050.192.770–5
29 Aug 2026at Borussia Dortmund0.911.530–2
16 May 2026at Bayer Leverkusen1.793.271–1
10 May 2026v SC Freiburg1.980.413–2

Borussia Mönchengladbach

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Borussia Mönchengladbach: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v SC Paderborn 071.071.040–0
23 Oct 2026at VfB Stuttgart2.661.603–2
18 Oct 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim0.471.801–2
11 Oct 2026at 1. FC Köln1.171.321–2
19 Sep 2026v FSV Mainz 053.242.823–4
12 Sep 2026at SC Freiburg0.192.600–5
5 Sep 2026v SV Elversberg2.362.313–4
29 Aug 2026at RB Leipzig1.093.960–3
16 May 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim1.201.624–0
9 May 2026at FC Augsburg1.142.591–3

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
9Points in those matches4
7.53xPts8.54
8.00xG for12.25
14.02xG against17.45

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Hamburger SVHamburger SV
    Ruled out
    B. Nadir (Muscle Injury) · N. Remberg (Knee Injury) · F. Vieira (Thigh Injury) · M. Vuskovic (Doping)
    Doubtful
    N. Capaldo (Muscle Injury) · Y. Poulsen (Hip Injury)
  • Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
    Ruled out
    H. Bolin (Muscle Injury) · N. Kuhn (Muscle Injury) · E. Leopold (Knee Injury) · J. Leszczynski (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    K. Diks (Personal Reasons) · F. Fleck (Muscle Injury) · F. Honorat (Muscle Injury) · T. Kleindienst (Muscle Injury) · M. Nicolas (Injury)

Published 6 Nov 2026, 18:28 GMT · not changed since

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