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Premier League
Hull City
2–2Finished
Everton
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTMatchday 6

Hull City v Everton match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Hull City are slight favourites at 42% to win, with Everton and draws both around 29%. The model expects 2.39 goals, with Hull's attacking output (1.33) slightly exceeding Everton's (1.06). Hull's injury list is extensive, including their first-choice goalkeeper, which may disrupt their preparations.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 42%Hull City win
  • 29%Draw
  • 29%Everton win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Hull CityHull City

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

EvertonEverton

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Hull City won 28 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Everton won 22 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Hull City unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Everton's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

1 meeting: Hull City 0, draws 1, Everton 0

Goals: Hull City 2, Everton 2

DateMatchScore
8 Jan 2022Hull City v EvertonFA Cup2–2 AET 2–3

Home and away

Hull City

Hull City at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnAston Villa5 Sep 20260–0
  • WonManchester United22 Aug 20262–0
  • WonMiddlesbroughChampionship23 May 20261–0
  • DrawnMillwallChampionship8 May 20260–0
  • WonNorwichChampionship2 May 20262–1

Hull City: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Everton

Everton away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnTottenham12 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnBournemouth29 Aug 20261–1
  • WonPrestonLeague Cup26 Aug 20264–0
  • LostTottenham24 May 20260–1
  • DrawnCrystal Palace10 May 20262–2

Everton: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Hull City
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Newcastle · Premier League
Next match
6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Fulham · Premier League
Everton
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Ipswich · Premier League
Next match
6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Chelsea · Premier League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Hull City

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreHull CityLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 47 matches732 won, 238 drawn, 167 lost in 1137 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 27 lost in 39 matches167 won, 238 drawn, 732 lost in 1137 matches
1 goal up at half-time10 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches320 won, 125 drawn, 73 lost in 518 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 13 drawn, 17 lost in 46 matches298 won, 324 drawn, 298 lost in 920 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 42 matches207 won, 320 drawn, 207 lost in 734 matches
Level after 70 minutes11 won, 15 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches163 won, 354 drawn, 163 lost in 680 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 5 drawn, 18 lost in 24 matches37 won, 112 drawn, 343 lost in 492 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches349 won, 99 drawn, 22 lost in 470 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches124 won, 386 drawn, 124 lost in 634 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 2 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches22 won, 99 drawn, 349 lost in 470 matches
Level after 15 minutes26 won, 17 drawn, 26 lost in 69 matches609 won, 452 drawn, 609 lost in 1670 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes10 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches311 won, 103 drawn, 77 lost in 491 matches
Level after 30 minutes22 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 54 matches423 won, 382 drawn, 423 lost in 1228 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHull CityLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 21 conceded (91)867 scored, 867 conceded (2392)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 9 conceded (28)309 scored, 326 conceded (873)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (31)232 scored, 232 conceded (646)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (32)326 scored, 309 conceded (873)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 20(league sides: 1,348 times, within 15 minutes 228, by full time 647)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Everton

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreEvertonLeague sides
Scored first22 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 32 matches732 won, 238 drawn, 167 lost in 1137 matches
Conceded first3 won, 11 drawn, 21 lost in 35 matches167 won, 238 drawn, 732 lost in 1137 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches298 won, 324 drawn, 298 lost in 920 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches207 won, 320 drawn, 207 lost in 734 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 17 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches163 won, 354 drawn, 163 lost in 680 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches124 won, 386 drawn, 124 lost in 634 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 21 drawn, 19 lost in 58 matches609 won, 452 drawn, 609 lost in 1670 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 18 drawn, 14 lost in 44 matches423 won, 382 drawn, 423 lost in 1228 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEvertonLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 24 conceded (74)867 scored, 867 conceded (2392)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (24)309 scored, 326 conceded (873)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 11 conceded (25)232 scored, 232 conceded (646)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 4 conceded (25)326 scored, 309 conceded (873)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 1, by full time 17(league sides: 1,348 times, within 15 minutes 228, by full time 647)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Hull CityEverton
91Since 20 Oct 2024Matches with xG74Since 19 Oct 2024
107.58xG for89.35
111Goals scored88
129.16xG against98.19
111Goals conceded82

Hull City

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Hull City: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Newcastle1.591.441–2
12 Sep 2026at Chelsea1.380.912–2
5 Sep 2026v Aston Villa0.571.930–0
29 Aug 2026at Coventry0.721.291–0
22 Aug 2026v Manchester United1.011.832–0
23 May 2026v Middlesbrough0.710.781–0
11 May 2026at Millwall2.120.872–0
8 May 2026v Millwall0.460.610–0
2 May 2026v Norwich1.820.972–1
25 Apr 2026at Charlton0.941.111–2

Everton

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Everton: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v Ipswich2.241.441–0
12 Sep 2026at Tottenham1.110.690–0
6 Sep 2026v Manchester United1.010.692–2
29 Aug 2026at Bournemouth1.842.161–1
22 Aug 2026v Crystal Palace1.121.962–0
24 May 2026at Tottenham0.411.150–1
17 May 2026v Sunderland1.040.761–3
10 May 2026at Crystal Palace1.592.562–2
4 May 2026v Manchester City2.721.543–3
25 Apr 2026at West Ham1.451.171–2

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Hull CityEverton
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
8Points in those matches9
5.45xPts7.22
5.27xG for7.32
7.40xG against6.94

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Hull City and Everton

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Hull CityHull CityI. Ansah (Back Injury) · J. Butland (Arm Injury) · D. Gyabi (Groin Injury) · C. Hughes (Groin Injury) · E. Matazo (Knee Injury) · M. Targett (Ankle Injury) · T. Iroegbunam (Groin Injury) · H. Morita (Calf Injury)
  • EvertonEvertonNo injuries or suspensions reported.

Published 11 Oct 2026, 13:38 BST · not changed since

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