LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Premier League
Hull City
2–2Finished
Ipswich
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 GMTMatchday 9 · MKM Stadium, Hull

Hull City v Ipswich match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Hull City and Ipswich are evenly balanced in the model's assessment, with both sides given a 36% chance of victory. Expected goals stand at 1.32 for Hull and 1.34 for Ipswich, indicating a tight contest. Hull are heavily depleted by injuries to six players, while Ipswich have lost Taylor and face uncertainty over Lukic.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 36%Hull City win
  • 28%Draw
  • 36%Ipswich win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Hull CityHull City

Last 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats

  1. drew1–1v Brentford
  2. lost0–1at Fulham
  3. drew2–2v Everton
  4. lost1–2at Newcastle
  5. drew2–2at Chelsea
IpswichIpswich

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. drew1–1v Nottingham Forest
  2. lost2–3at Manchester City
  3. won2–1v Fulham
  4. lost0–1at Everton
  5. lost2–4v Arsenal

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Hull City won 28 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Ipswich won 26 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Ipswich won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Hull City unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Hull City 0, draws 1, Ipswich 3

Goals: Hull City 3, Ipswich 9

DateMatchScore
3 Mar 2026Ipswich v Hull CityChampionship1–0
25 Nov 2025Hull City v IpswichChampionship0–2
27 Apr 2024Hull City v IpswichChampionship3–3
3 Oct 2023Ipswich v Hull CityChampionship3–0

Home and away

Hull City

Hull City at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnBrentford25 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnEverton11 Oct 20262–2
  • DrawnAston Villa5 Sep 20260–0
  • WonManchester United22 Aug 20262–0
  • WonMiddlesbroughChampionship23 May 20261–0

Hull City: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Ipswich

Ipswich away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostManchester City17 Oct 20262–3
  • LostEverton19 Sep 20260–1
  • WonCrystal Palace12 Sep 20263–2
  • LostManchester United30 Aug 20262–5
  • DrawnSouthamptonChampionship28 Apr 20262–2

Ipswich: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Hull City
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Brentford · Premier League
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Arsenal · Premier League
Ipswich
Last match
8 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Nottingham Forest · Premier League
Next match
8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Bournemouth · Premier League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Hull City

ScoreHull CityLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 47 matches749 won, 242 drawn, 169 lost in 1160 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 27 lost in 39 matches169 won, 242 drawn, 749 lost in 1160 matches
1 goal up at half-time10 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches329 won, 127 drawn, 74 lost in 530 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 13 drawn, 16 lost in 45 matches304 won, 330 drawn, 304 lost in 938 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 14 drawn, 13 lost in 42 matches211 won, 328 drawn, 211 lost in 750 matches
Level after 70 minutes11 won, 15 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches166 won, 362 drawn, 166 lost in 694 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 18 lost in 25 matches37 won, 113 drawn, 350 lost in 500 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches359 won, 99 drawn, 22 lost in 480 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches124 won, 396 drawn, 124 lost in 644 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 2 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches22 won, 99 drawn, 359 lost in 480 matches
Level after 15 minutes26 won, 17 drawn, 26 lost in 69 matches621 won, 460 drawn, 621 lost in 1702 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes10 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches316 won, 105 drawn, 78 lost in 499 matches
Level after 30 minutes22 won, 13 drawn, 18 lost in 53 matches434 won, 388 drawn, 434 lost in 1256 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHull CityLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 20 conceded (91)878 scored, 878 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 8 conceded (27)315 scored, 327 conceded (889)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (32)236 scored, 236 conceded (662)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (32)327 scored, 315 conceded (889)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 49 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 21(league sides: 1,374 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 657)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Ipswich

ScoreIpswichLeague sides
Scored first26 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 38 matches749 won, 242 drawn, 169 lost in 1160 matches
Conceded first4 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 42 matches169 won, 242 drawn, 749 lost in 1160 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches329 won, 127 drawn, 74 lost in 530 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 14 drawn, 9 lost in 32 matches304 won, 330 drawn, 304 lost in 938 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches211 won, 328 drawn, 211 lost in 750 matches
Level after 70 minutes6 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches166 won, 362 drawn, 166 lost in 694 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches124 won, 396 drawn, 124 lost in 644 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 19 drawn, 22 lost in 58 matches621 won, 460 drawn, 621 lost in 1702 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 17 drawn, 13 lost in 46 matches434 won, 388 drawn, 434 lost in 1256 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreIpswichLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 22 conceded (83)878 scored, 878 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 6 conceded (27)315 scored, 327 conceded (889)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 7 conceded (23)236 scored, 236 conceded (662)
When trailing after 75 minutes14 scored, 9 conceded (33)327 scored, 315 conceded (889)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 49 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 23(league sides: 1,374 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 657)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 2 Nov 2024

Hull CityIpswich
91Matches with xG83
108.20xG for116.39
112Goals scored119
131.73xG against115.91
112Goals conceded125

Hull City

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Hull City: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Brentford1.571.741–1
17 Oct 2026at Fulham0.181.480–1
11 Oct 2026v Everton1.331.682–2
19 Sep 2026at Newcastle1.591.441–2
12 Sep 2026at Chelsea1.380.912–2
5 Sep 2026v Aston Villa0.571.930–0
29 Aug 2026at Coventry0.721.291–0
22 Aug 2026v Manchester United1.011.832–0
23 May 2026v Middlesbrough0.710.781–0
11 May 2026at Millwall2.120.872–0

Ipswich

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Ipswich: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026v Nottingham Forest0.492.311–1
17 Oct 2026at Manchester City1.723.612–3
10 Oct 2026v Fulham1.151.812–1
19 Sep 2026at Everton1.442.240–1
12 Sep 2026at Crystal Palace1.670.623–2
4 Sep 2026v Liverpool0.750.690–2
30 Aug 2026at Manchester United2.014.562–5
22 Aug 2026v Sunderland1.800.662–1
2 May 2026v QPR2.530.843–0
28 Apr 2026at Southampton1.921.012–2

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Hull CityIpswich
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
10Points in those matches10
8.25xPts8.87
8.35xG for11.03
12.30xG against16.50

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Hull City and Ipswich

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Hull CityHull City
    Ruled out
    I. Ansah (Back Injury) · D. Gyabi (Groin Injury) · C. Hughes (Groin Injury) · E. Matazo (Knee Injury) · M. Targett (Ankle Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Butland (Arm Injury) · L. Gourna-Douath (Calf Injury)
  • IpswichIpswich
    Ruled out
    J. Taylor (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    S. Lukic (Groin Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures