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Independiente del Valle
0–0Finished
Universidad Catolica
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 21:30 BSTEstadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito

Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 23 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Independiente del Valle are favoured by the model with a 57% win probability against a recovering Universidad Católica side. Expected goals total 2.92, with Independiente del Valle projected to create a significantly higher volume of chances.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 57%Independiente del Valle win
  • 24%Draw
  • 19%Universidad Catolica win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Independiente del Valle won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Independiente del Valle's last 10 home league games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Universidad Catolica's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Independiente del Valle 5, draws 3, Universidad Catolica 2

Goals: Independiente del Valle 20, Universidad Catolica 14

DateMatchScore
29 Aug 2026Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica2–2
1 May 2026Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle2–3
14 Dec 2025Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle0–1
8 Nov 2025Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica0–2
29 Jun 2025Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle0–3
2 Mar 2025Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica1–1
28 Sep 2024Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica5–2
14 Apr 2024Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle2–2
26 Aug 2023Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica0–1
31 Mar 2023Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle2–3

Home and away

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAucas10 Oct 20262–1
  • LostFlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores11 Sep 20260–2
  • WonMacara6 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnUniversidad Catolica29 Aug 20262–2
  • WonDeportes TolimaCONMEBOL Libertadores26 Aug 20263–1

Independiente del Valle: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
27 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnBarcelona SC18 Oct 20261–1
  • LostLDU de Quito21 Sep 20261–2
  • WonDelfin SC6 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnIndependiente del Valle29 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnMacara18 Aug 20261–1

Universidad Catolica: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Independiente del Valle
Last match
6 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Macara · Liga Pro
Next match
6 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Delfin SC · Copa Ecuador
Universidad Catolica
Last match
5 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Barcelona SC · Liga Pro
Next match
7 days after30 Oct 2026 · v LDU de Quito · Copa Ecuador

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 23 Oct 2026, 20:27 BST · not changed since

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