Inter v Como · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Inter win
The model gives Inter a 45% chance of victory, with draws at 27% and Como's upset chances at 28%. Inter have won four of their last five matches, while Como arrive on an unbeaten run of five. Expected goals are 1.56 for Inter and 1.22 for Como, a gap of 0.34 in Inter's favour, with a combined total of 2.78.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 45%Inter win
- 27%Draw
- 28%Como win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
InterLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won3–0at Feyenoord
- lost1–3at AC Milan
- won2–0at Venezia
- won2–1v Fiorentina
- won1–0v Shakhtar Donetsk
ComoLast 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats
- won9–1at Lens
- won1–0v Venezia
- won3–1at Torino
- won2–0v Sassuolo
- won4–1v Manchester United
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 222 of 281.
- Como won 34 of 48 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
- Inter won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Inter's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Inter 5, draws 1, Como 0
Goals: Inter 15, Como 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Inter v ComoCoppa Italia | 3–2 |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Como v Inter | 3–4 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Como v InterCoppa Italia | 0–0 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Inter v Como | 4–0 |
| 23 May 2025 | Como v Inter | 0–2 |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Inter v Como | 2–0 |
Home and away
InterInter at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonFiorentina25 Oct 20262–1
- WonShakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20261–0
- LostClub Brugge KVUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20263–4
- WonParma10 Oct 20263–0
- WonUdinese14 Sep 20265–3
Inter: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 29 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
ComoComo away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonLensUEFA Champions League4 Nov 20269–1
- WonTorino27 Oct 20263–1
- WonFiorentina18 Oct 20263–1
- LostFeyenoordUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20262–3
- LostFrosinone20 Sep 20260–2
Como: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Inter- Last match
- 5 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- Not known
Como- Last match
- 4 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Lens · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 24 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Como
| Score | Como | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 34 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost in 48 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 23 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 18 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 17 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches | 182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 340 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 344 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 23 won, 17 drawn, 15 lost in 55 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 21 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 46 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Como | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 34 scored, 12 conceded (78) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 20 scored, 4 conceded (36) | 255 scored, 235 conceded (845) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 3 conceded (25) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (790) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 28 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Inter | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 74Since 10 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 74Since 24 Nov 2024 |
| 146.73 | xG for | 111.28 |
| 169 | Goals scored | 119 |
| 68.63 | xG against | 74.76 |
| 67 | Goals conceded | 66 |
Inter
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at AC Milan | 1.74 | 0.70 | 1–3 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | at Venezia | 2.39 | 1.67 | 2–0 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Fiorentina | 3.15 | 0.24 | 2–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Bologna | 3.22 | 1.09 | 3–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Parma | 2.42 | 0.46 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at AS Roma | 2.86 | 1.66 | 2–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Udinese | 3.05 | 0.92 | 5–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Napoli | 3.86 | 2.43 | 3–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Cagliari | 3.67 | 0.48 | 1–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Monza | 1.05 | 1.23 | 4–1 |
Como
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v Venezia | 1.63 | 0.23 | 1–0 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | at Torino | 2.28 | 1.17 | 3–1 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Sassuolo | 1.69 | 0.26 | 2–0 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Fiorentina | 1.59 | 2.11 | 3–1 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v AS Roma | 1.35 | 1.08 | 0–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Frosinone | 2.12 | 2.18 | 0–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Parma | 2.98 | 1.15 | 2–1 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | at Genoa | 1.78 | 0.78 | 4–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Napoli | 1.05 | 1.39 | 2–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Udinese | 1.50 | 2.14 | 1–1 |
Inter: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Inter | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 25 | Points in those matches | 23 |
| 22.46 | xPts | 17.48 |
| 27.41 | xG for | 17.97 |
| 10.88 | xG against | 12.49 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Inter and Como
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:18 GMT
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