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Premier League
Ipswich
2–1Finished
Fulham
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 BST

Ipswich v Fulham match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 47%Ipswich win
  • 23%Draw
  • 30%Fulham win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

IpswichIpswich

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

FulhamFulham

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Ipswich won 26 of 39 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Premier League, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 184 of 263.
  • Fulham won 1 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of Fulham's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Ipswich 0, draws 2, Fulham 1

Goals: Ipswich 4, Fulham 6

DateMatchScore
5 Jan 2025Fulham v Ipswich2–2
31 Aug 2024Ipswich v Fulham1–1
1 Nov 2023Ipswich v FulhamLeague Cup1–3

Home and away

Ipswich

Ipswich at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostArsenalLeague Cup15 Sep 20262–4
  • LostLiverpool4 Sep 20260–2
  • WonLeicesterLeague Cup25 Aug 20263–1
  • WonSunderland22 Aug 20262–1
  • WonQPRChampionship2 May 20263–0

Ipswich: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Fulham

Fulham away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonWest HamLeague Cup15 Sep 20263–2
  • DrawnLiverpool12 Sep 20260–0
  • LostSunderland30 Aug 20260–1
  • DrawnWolves17 May 20261–1
  • LostArsenal2 May 20260–3

Fulham: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
6 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Ipswich
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Everton · Premier League
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Manchester City · Premier League
Fulham
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Manchester United · Premier League
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Hull City · Premier League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Ipswich

ScoreIpswichLeague sides
Scored first26 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 39 matches730 won, 236 drawn, 165 lost in 1131 matches
Conceded first3 won, 10 drawn, 27 lost in 40 matches165 won, 236 drawn, 730 lost in 1131 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches320 won, 125 drawn, 73 lost in 518 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches295 won, 320 drawn, 295 lost in 910 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches207 won, 316 drawn, 207 lost in 730 matches
Level after 70 minutes6 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches163 won, 350 drawn, 163 lost in 676 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches124 won, 384 drawn, 124 lost in 632 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 19 drawn, 23 lost in 58 matches606 won, 448 drawn, 606 lost in 1660 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 44 matches420 won, 378 drawn, 420 lost in 1218 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreIpswichLeague sides
All matches32 scored, 23 conceded (82)861 scored, 861 conceded (2380)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 6 conceded (27)308 scored, 323 conceded (868)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 7 conceded (22)230 scored, 230 conceded (644)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 10 conceded (33)323 scored, 308 conceded (868)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 21(league sides: 1,341 times, within 15 minutes 226, by full time 643)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

IpswichFulham
82Matches with xG74
115.58xG for94.43
117Goals scored96
114.02xG against102.27
126Goals conceded105

Ipswich

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Ipswich: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Everton1.442.240–1
12 Sep 2026at Crystal Palace1.670.623–2
4 Sep 2026v Liverpool0.750.690–2
30 Aug 2026at Manchester United2.014.562–5
22 Aug 2026v Sunderland1.800.662–1
2 May 2026v QPR2.530.843–0
28 Apr 2026at Southampton1.921.012–2
25 Apr 2026at West Brom1.071.300–0
22 Apr 2026at Charlton1.870.332–1
19 Apr 2026v Middlesbrough2.592.702–2

Fulham

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fulham: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v Manchester United1.621.601–1
12 Sep 2026at Liverpool0.701.280–0
5 Sep 2026v Crystal Palace3.141.972–3
30 Aug 2026at Sunderland0.952.020–1
24 Aug 2026v Chelsea1.332.242–3
24 May 2026v Newcastle1.810.312–0
17 May 2026at Wolves1.591.401–1
9 May 2026v Bournemouth1.330.820–1
2 May 2026at Arsenal0.373.230–3
25 Apr 2026v Aston Villa1.180.931–0

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

IpswichFulham
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
6Points in those matches2
7.01xPts5.88
7.67xG for7.74
8.77xG against9.11

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Ipswich and Fulham

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • IpswichIpswichI. Fatawu (Red Card)
  • FulhamFulhamT. Cairney (Knee Injury) · A. Robinson (Ankle Injury) · K. Tete (Concussion)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 13:57 BST · not changed since

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