Primera División · UruguaySat 24 Oct 2026 · 00:00 BSTClausura · Matchday 12 · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Juventud v Penarol match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Penarol hold a 40% chance of victory against Juventud's 30%, with a 30% draw probability. The model expects 2.36 goals in total, with Penarol slightly favoured in expected goals.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 30%Juventud win
  • 30%Draw
  • 40%Penarol win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

JuventudJuventud

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

PenarolPenarol

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Juventud's last 10 home league games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Penarol's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Juventud 0, draws 1, Penarol 1

Goals: Juventud 2, Penarol 4

DateMatchScore
21 Apr 2026Penarol v Juventud2–2
27 Mar 2025Juventud v Penarol0–2

Home and away

Juventud

Juventud at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonRacing Montevideo11 Oct 20262–0
  • DrawnCerro27 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnDanubio13 Sep 20261–1
  • WonDeportivo Maldonado29 Aug 20262–0
  • LostAtletico Torque15 Aug 20260–1

Juventud: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Penarol

Penarol away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostLiverpool Montevideo18 Oct 20260–1
  • WonRacing Montevideo4 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnAtletico Torque1 Oct 20261–1
  • WonCerro19 Sep 20262–1
  • WonDanubio5 Sep 20264–0

Penarol: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Juventud
Last match
6 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Progreso · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
5 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Nacional Florida · Copa Uruguay
Penarol
Last match
5 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
4 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Torque · Copa Uruguay

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 23 Oct 2026, 22:58 BST · not changed since

All fixtures