Juventud v Penarol match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Penarol hold a 40% chance of victory against Juventud's 30%, with a 30% draw probability. The model expects 2.36 goals in total, with Penarol slightly favoured in expected goals.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 30%Juventud win
- 30%Draw
- 40%Penarol win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Juventud's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Penarol's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Juventud 0, draws 1, Penarol 1
Goals: Juventud 2, Penarol 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Penarol v Juventud | 2–2 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Juventud v Penarol | 0–2 |
Home and away
Juventud at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonRacing Montevideo11 Oct 20262–0
- DrawnCerro27 Sep 20260–0
- DrawnDanubio13 Sep 20261–1
- WonDeportivo Maldonado29 Aug 20262–0
- LostAtletico Torque15 Aug 20260–1
Juventud: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Penarol away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostLiverpool Montevideo18 Oct 20260–1
- WonRacing Montevideo4 Oct 20261–0
- DrawnAtletico Torque1 Oct 20261–1
- WonCerro19 Sep 20262–1
- WonDanubio5 Sep 20264–0
Penarol: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Progreso · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 5 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Nacional Florida · Copa Uruguay
- Last match
- 5 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 4 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Torque · Copa Uruguay
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 23 Oct 2026, 22:58 BST · not changed since
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