Juventud v Racing Montevideo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Juventud are slight favourites at 42% to win, but Racing Montevideo have a reasonable 27% chance and a draw is likely at 31%. The model expects 2.13 goals overall, with Juventud marginally the stronger side.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

42%Juventud win
31%Draw
27%Racing Montevideo win

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Form · newest first

Juventud

Last 5: 1 win, 4 draws, no defeats

Racing Montevideo

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Juventud won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
Racing Montevideo without a win in their last 5 away games.
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Juventud's last 10 home league games.
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Racing Montevideo's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Juventud 2, draws 0, Racing Montevideo 1

Goals: Juventud 4, Racing Montevideo 3

Date	Match	Score
4 Apr 2026	Racing Montevideo v Juventud	2–1
8 Jun 2025	Juventud v Racing Montevideo	2–1
19 Apr 2025	Juventud v Racing Montevideo	1–0

Home and away

Juventud

Juventud at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

DrawnCerro27 Sep 20260–0
DrawnDanubio13 Sep 20261–1
WonDeportivo Maldonado29 Aug 20262–0
LostAtletico Torque15 Aug 20260–1
LostAtletico Torque11 Jul 20261–3

Juventud: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 3 of 10
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo away

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

LostProgreso26 Sep 20261–2
DrawnLiverpool Montevideo21 Sep 20260–0
LostCerro6 Sep 20260–1
DrawnDanubio23 Aug 20260–0
DrawnDeportivo Maldonado10 Aug 20262–2

Racing Montevideo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 5 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 2 of 10
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Juventud

Last match: Not known
Next match: 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Progreso · Primera División · Uruguay

Racing Montevideo

Last match: 7 days before4 Oct 2026 · v Penarol · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match: 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Wanderers · Primera División · Uruguay

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 11 Oct 2026, 14:47 BST · not changed since

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