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Serie A
Juventus
0–3Finished
Lazio
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:45 BSTMatchday 7 · Allianz Stadium, Turin

Juventus v Lazio match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Juventus are favoured at home with a 52% win chance, though Lazio arrive in strong form. The model expects 2.4 goals total, with Juventus creating a 0.64 expected goals advantage. Both teams will have key players unavailable.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 52%Juventus win
  • 28%Draw
  • 20%Lazio win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

JuventusJuventus

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

LazioLazio

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Juventus won 40 of 53 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Lazio won 36 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Juventus's last 10 home league games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Lazio's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Juventus 4, draws 2, Lazio 4

Goals: Juventus 12, Lazio 10

DateMatchScore
8 Feb 2026Juventus v Lazio2–2
26 Oct 2025Lazio v Juventus1–0
10 May 2025Lazio v Juventus1–1
19 Oct 2024Juventus v Lazio1–0
23 Apr 2024Lazio v JuventusCoppa Italia2–1
2 Apr 2024Juventus v LazioCoppa Italia2–0
30 Mar 2024Lazio v Juventus1–0
16 Sep 2023Juventus v Lazio3–1
8 Apr 2023Lazio v Juventus2–1
2 Feb 2023Juventus v LazioCoppa Italia1–0

Home and away

Juventus

Juventus at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAtalanta20 Sep 20262–0
  • WonNEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20265–0
  • DrawnAC Milan6 Sep 20261–1
  • WonParma29 Aug 20262–0
  • LostFiorentina17 May 20260–2

Juventus: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
1 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Lazio

Lazio away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonVenezia19 Sep 20262–0
  • WonUdinese7 Sep 20262–1
  • WonBologna24 Aug 20261–0
  • LostAS Roma17 May 20260–2
  • WonCremonese4 May 20262–1

Lazio: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Juventus
Last match
3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League
Next match
4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Rennes · UEFA Europa League
Lazio
Last match
7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Monza · Serie A
Next match
6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Parma · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Juventus

ScoreJuventusLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 53 matches751 won, 236 drawn, 124 lost in 1111 matches
Conceded first5 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 35 matches124 won, 236 drawn, 751 lost in 1111 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches331 won, 121 drawn, 56 lost in 508 matches
Level at half-time17 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 39 matches319 won, 394 drawn, 319 lost in 1032 matches
1 goal down at half-time3 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 22 matches56 won, 121 drawn, 331 lost in 508 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes22 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches369 won, 111 drawn, 34 lost in 514 matches
Level after 60 minutes14 won, 19 drawn, 6 lost in 39 matches237 won, 406 drawn, 237 lost in 880 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes20 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches388 won, 94 drawn, 22 lost in 504 matches
Level after 70 minutes10 won, 20 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches432 won, 84 drawn, 11 lost in 527 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 21 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches109 won, 486 drawn, 109 lost in 704 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 27 drawn, 11 lost in 68 matches611 won, 534 drawn, 611 lost in 1756 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes15 won, 8 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches290 won, 109 drawn, 58 lost in 457 matches
Level after 30 minutes24 won, 19 drawn, 10 lost in 53 matches446 won, 424 drawn, 446 lost in 1316 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreJuventusLeague sides
All matches36 scored, 23 conceded (95)697 scored, 697 conceded (2412)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 9 conceded (46)245 scored, 223 conceded (817)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 6 conceded (27)229 scored, 229 conceded (778)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (22)223 scored, 245 conceded (817)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 29(league sides: 1,238 times, within 15 minutes 182, by full time 550)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Lazio

ScoreLazioLeague sides
Scored first36 won, 10 drawn, 0 lost in 46 matches751 won, 236 drawn, 124 lost in 1111 matches
Conceded first3 won, 8 drawn, 21 lost in 32 matches124 won, 236 drawn, 751 lost in 1111 matches
1 goal up at half-time19 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches331 won, 121 drawn, 56 lost in 508 matches
Level at half-time13 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 34 matches319 won, 394 drawn, 319 lost in 1032 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes19 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches369 won, 111 drawn, 34 lost in 514 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 13 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches237 won, 406 drawn, 237 lost in 880 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes20 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches388 won, 94 drawn, 22 lost in 504 matches
Level after 70 minutes10 won, 14 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches432 won, 84 drawn, 11 lost in 527 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 16 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches109 won, 486 drawn, 109 lost in 704 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 22 drawn, 13 lost in 63 matches611 won, 534 drawn, 611 lost in 1756 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 19 drawn, 10 lost in 47 matches446 won, 424 drawn, 446 lost in 1316 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLazioLeague sides
All matches41 scored, 18 conceded (85)697 scored, 697 conceded (2412)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 6 conceded (31)245 scored, 223 conceded (817)
When level after 75 minutes17 scored, 7 conceded (29)229 scored, 229 conceded (778)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (25)223 scored, 245 conceded (817)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 12(league sides: 1,238 times, within 15 minutes 182, by full time 550)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

JuventusLazio
75Matches with xG75
120.93xG for97.42
118Goals scored99
68.10xG against86.58
73Goals conceded82

Juventus

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Juventus: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
11 Oct 2026at Cagliari1.950.521–1
20 Sep 2026v Atalanta1.310.602–0
13 Sep 2026at Sassuolo1.101.022–3
6 Sep 2026v AC Milan1.590.111–1
29 Aug 2026v Parma1.580.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Frosinone2.180.411–0
24 May 2026at Torino1.920.852–2
17 May 2026v Fiorentina1.980.470–2
9 May 2026at Lecce2.290.881–0
3 May 2026v Hellas Verona2.600.301–1

Lazio

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Lazio: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
11 Oct 2026v Monza1.841.763–1
19 Sep 2026at Venezia1.601.892–0
12 Sep 2026v AC Milan2.011.252–2
7 Sep 2026at Udinese1.830.852–1
30 Aug 2026v Genoa1.620.421–0
24 Aug 2026at Bologna0.631.781–0
23 May 2026v Pisa1.111.562–1
17 May 2026at AS Roma0.691.190–2
9 May 2026v Inter0.631.230–3
4 May 2026at Cremonese0.800.552–1

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

JuventusLazio
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
11Points in those matches16
13.05xPts9.41
9.71xG for9.53
2.91xG against7.95

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Juventus and Lazio

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • JuventusJuventus
    Ruled out
    J. Ekhator (Muscle Injury) · K. Grabara (Knee Injury) · M. Locatelli (Knee Injury) · A. Milik (Inactive) · K. Thuram (Knee Injury) · K. Yildiz (Foot Injury)
  • LazioLazio
    Ruled out
    A. Furlanetto (Knee Injury) · A. Gudmundsson (Shoulder Injury)
    Doubtful
    M. Cancellieri (Leg Injury) · F. Gatto (Injury) · A. Marusic (Muscle Injury) · N. Rovella (Calf Injury)

Published 18 Oct 2026, 19:27 BST · not changed since

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