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Serie A
Juventus
2–0Finished
Napoli
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 19:45 GMTMatchday 10 · Allianz Stadium, Turin

Juventus v Napoli match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Juventus are slight favourites at home, with the model giving them a 42% chance of victory against Napoli's 29%, though a draw is possible at 29%. Expected goals total 2.51, with Juventus generating 1.38 and Napoli 1.13. Both sides arrive weakened by injuries, with Juventus missing eight players and Napoli seven, including key midfielders and defenders.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 42%Juventus win
  • 29%Draw
  • 29%Napoli win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

JuventusJuventus

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–2at Genoa
  2. won2–0at Lecce
  3. drew2–2v Rennes
  4. lost0–3v Lazio
  5. won2–1at Celta Vigo
NapoliNapoli

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won4–1at Monza
  2. drew3–3v AS Roma
  3. won4–3v Bodo/Glimt
  4. lost0–1at Venezia
  5. lost1–3at Villarreal

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Juventus won 40 of 54 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Napoli won 40 of 52 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Napoli won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Juventus's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Juventus 2, draws 2, Napoli 6

Goals: Juventus 10, Napoli 15

DateMatchScore
25 Jan 2026Juventus v Napoli3–0
7 Dec 2025Napoli v Juventus2–1
25 Jan 2025Napoli v Juventus2–1
21 Sep 2024Juventus v Napoli0–0
3 Mar 2024Napoli v Juventus2–1
8 Dec 2023Juventus v Napoli1–0
23 Apr 2023Juventus v Napoli0–1
13 Jan 2023Napoli v Juventus5–1
6 Jan 2022Juventus v Napoli1–1
11 Sep 2021Napoli v Juventus2–1

Home and away

Juventus

Juventus at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnRennesUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20262–2
  • LostLazio18 Oct 20260–3
  • WonAtalanta20 Sep 20262–0
  • WonNEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20265–0
  • DrawnAC Milan6 Sep 20261–1

Juventus: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Napoli

Napoli away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonMonza28 Oct 20264–1
  • LostVenezia17 Oct 20260–1
  • LostVillarrealUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20261–3
  • DrawnFiorentina20 Sep 20261–1
  • LostInter5 Sep 20262–3

Napoli: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Juventus
Last match
4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Genoa · Serie A
Next match
4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v AZ Alkmaar · UEFA Europa League
Napoli
Last match
4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Monza · Serie A
Next match
3 days after4 Nov 2026 · v FC Porto · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Juventus

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreJuventusLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 54 matches772 won, 239 drawn, 129 lost in 1140 matches
Conceded first5 won, 12 drawn, 17 lost in 34 matches129 won, 239 drawn, 772 lost in 1140 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches338 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 520 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 37 matches328 won, 396 drawn, 328 lost in 1052 matches
1 goal down at half-time3 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 22 matches58 won, 124 drawn, 338 lost in 520 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes22 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches378 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 525 matches
Level after 60 minutes13 won, 18 drawn, 5 lost in 36 matches242 won, 410 drawn, 242 lost in 894 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes20 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches396 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 517 matches
Level after 70 minutes9 won, 20 drawn, 3 lost in 32 matches181 won, 450 drawn, 181 lost in 812 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches439 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 537 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 21 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 28 drawn, 11 lost in 69 matches629 won, 542 drawn, 629 lost in 1800 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches299 won, 111 drawn, 62 lost in 472 matches
Level after 30 minutes23 won, 20 drawn, 10 lost in 53 matches456 won, 428 drawn, 456 lost in 1340 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreJuventusLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 23 conceded (95)723 scored, 723 conceded (2472)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 9 conceded (47)254 scored, 235 conceded (842)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 5 conceded (25)234 scored, 234 conceded (788)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (23)235 scored, 254 conceded (842)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,277 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 568)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Napoli

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreNapoliLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 52 matches772 won, 239 drawn, 129 lost in 1140 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost in 28 matches129 won, 239 drawn, 772 lost in 1140 matches
1 goal up at half-time22 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 29 matches338 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 520 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches328 won, 396 drawn, 328 lost in 1052 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches378 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 525 matches
Level after 60 minutes16 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 35 matches242 won, 410 drawn, 242 lost in 894 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches396 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 517 matches
Level after 70 minutes14 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 34 matches181 won, 450 drawn, 181 lost in 812 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes24 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches439 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 537 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 16 drawn, 14 lost in 58 matches629 won, 542 drawn, 629 lost in 1800 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes21 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches299 won, 111 drawn, 62 lost in 472 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 10 drawn, 11 lost in 40 matches456 won, 428 drawn, 456 lost in 1340 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreNapoliLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 23 conceded (86)723 scored, 723 conceded (2472)
When leading after 75 minutes4 scored, 10 conceded (40)254 scored, 235 conceded (842)
When level after 75 minutes13 scored, 6 conceded (28)234 scored, 234 conceded (788)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 18(league sides: 1,277 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 568)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

JuventusNapoli
75Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 3 Nov 2024
118.07xG for106.54
113Goals scored116
66.35xG against72.70
72Goals conceded69

Juventus

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Juventus: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026at Genoa1.281.050–2
25 Oct 2026at Lecce1.060.862–0
18 Oct 2026v Lazio0.750.570–3
11 Oct 2026at Cagliari1.950.521–1
20 Sep 2026v Atalanta1.310.602–0
13 Sep 2026at Sassuolo1.101.022–3
6 Sep 2026v AC Milan1.590.111–1
29 Aug 2026v Parma1.580.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Frosinone2.180.411–0
24 May 2026at Torino1.920.852–2

Napoli

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Napoli: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026at Monza1.841.224–1
24 Oct 2026v AS Roma2.511.963–3
17 Oct 2026at Venezia2.460.670–1
10 Oct 2026v Frosinone3.121.013–0
20 Sep 2026at Fiorentina1.401.141–1
13 Sep 2026v Bologna1.190.291–0
5 Sep 2026at Inter2.433.862–3
30 Aug 2026v Como1.391.051–2
22 Aug 2026at Genoa0.770.672–0
24 May 2026v Udinese1.760.371–0

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

JuventusNapoli
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
14Points in those matches14
17.55xPts15.89
12.80xG for17.11
5.39xG against11.87

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Juventus and Napoli

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • JuventusJuventus
    Ruled out
    Z. Celik (Muscle Injury) · F. Conceicao (Shoulder Injury) · N. Gonzalez (Calf Injury) · K. Grabara (Knee Injury) · M. Locatelli (Knee Injury) · A. Milik (Inactive) · K. Thuram (Knee Injury) · K. Yildiz (Foot Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Ekhator (Muscle Injury)
  • NapoliNapoli
    Ruled out
    Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) · B. Badiashile (Injury) · A. Buongiorno (Knee Injury) · David Neres (Thigh Injury) · C. Favasuli (Thigh Injury) · S. Lobotka (Ankle Injury) · L. Spinazzola (Thigh Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 18:42 GMT · not changed since

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