Kocaelispor v Fenerbahçe · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Fenerbahçe win
How the match could end · our estimate
- 22%Kocaelispor win
- 27%Draw
- 51%Fenerbahçe win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
KocaelisporLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- won2–0at Eyüpspor
- drew0–0v Rizespor
- won2–1at Alanyaspor
- lost1–2v Göztepe
- lost1–2at Beşiktaş
FenerbahçeLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- won3–2v Liverpool
- lost1–2v Göztepe
- lost1–2at Galatasaray
- drew2–2v Slavia Praha
- won3–0v Alanyaspor
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Kocaelispor avoided defeat in 7 of 24 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 11 Aug 2025.
- Fenerbahçe won 43 of 55 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Kocaelispor's last 10 home league games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Kocaelispor 0, draws 0, Fenerbahçe 2
Goals: Kocaelispor 1, Fenerbahçe 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Kocaelispor v Fenerbahçe | 0–2 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Fenerbahçe v Kocaelispor | 3–1 |
Home and away
KocaelisporKocaelispor at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnRizespor31 Oct 20260–0
- LostGöztepe18 Oct 20261–2
- WonGaziantep FK19 Sep 20262–0
- WonSamsunspor6 Sep 20261–0
- WonAmed24 Aug 20262–0
Kocaelispor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostGalatasaray26 Oct 20261–2
- LostAston VillaUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20260–6
- WonRizespor10 Oct 20263–0
- DrawnGaziantep FK14 Sep 20260–0
- WonSamsunspor30 Aug 20262–0
Fenerbahçe: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Kocaelispor- Last match
- 14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Eyüpspor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- Not known
Fenerbahçe- Last match
- 17 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Liverpool · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Kocaelispor
Since 11 Aug 2025
| Score | Kocaelispor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 1 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 24 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost in 24 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 30 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Kocaelispor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 11 scored, 14 conceded (44) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 8(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Fenerbahçe
Since 23 Nov 2024
| Score | Fenerbahçe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 43 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 55 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 14 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 37 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 20 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 320 won, 110 drawn, 57 lost in 487 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 18 drawn, 5 lost in 35 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 237 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 254 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 348 won, 101 drawn, 45 lost in 494 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 28 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 302 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 310 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 341 won, 87 drawn, 28 lost in 456 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 18 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 32 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches | 338 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 342 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 363 won, 72 drawn, 11 lost in 446 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 20 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 36 won, 21 drawn, 12 lost in 69 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 18 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches | 274 won, 100 drawn, 67 lost in 441 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 22 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 45 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Fenerbahçe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 45 scored, 21 conceded (100) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 23 scored, 11 conceded (52) | 299 scored, 264 conceded (779) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 3 conceded (27) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 7 conceded (21) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 13, by full time 32(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Kocaelispor | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| 44Since 11 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 69Since 23 Nov 2024 |
| 41.57 | xG for | 141.83 |
| 37 | Goals scored | 164 |
| 46.53 | xG against | 67.33 |
| 47 | Goals conceded | 77 |
Kocaelispor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | v Rizespor | 0.59 | 1.24 | 0–0 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | at Alanyaspor | 1.54 | 0.47 | 2–1 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.50 | 0.94 | 1–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Beşiktaş | 1.65 | 2.21 | 1–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 1.30 | 1.03 | 2–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.82 | 2.26 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Samsunspor | 1.59 | 1.74 | 1–0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Konyaspor | 0.76 | 0.85 | 2–1 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | v Amed | 1.31 | 0.60 | 2–0 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Başakşehir | 0.43 | 1.96 | 0–2 |
Fenerbahçe
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.66 | 1.20 | 1–2 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.31 | 2.27 | 1–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 3.77 | 0.99 | 3–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Rizespor | 0.96 | 1.52 | 3–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Eyüpspor | 5.14 | 0.72 | 8–0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.34 | 0.49 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 0.59 | 1.75 | 1–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Samsunspor | 1.56 | 0.46 | 2–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Konyaspor | 2.36 | 2.15 | 4–2 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2.90 | 1.19 | 1–2 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Kocaelispor | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 11 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 16 | Points in those matches | 16 |
| 12.79 | xPts | 17.12 |
| 11.49 | xG for | 20.59 |
| 13.30 | xG against | 12.74 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Kocaelispor and Fenerbahçe
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:58 GMT
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