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Ligue 1
Le Havre
16:15
Lorient
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 10 · Stade Océane, Le Havre

Le Havre v Lorient · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Lorient win

Le Havre face Lorient in poor shape after five consecutive losses, while Lorient show resilience with three wins in five. The model expects goals of 1.15 for Le Havre and 1.42 for Lorient, a gap of 0.27 in the visitors' favour, with 2.57 expected total. Le Havre won their most recent head-to-head 2-0.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 30%Le Havre win
  • 28%Draw
  • 42%Lorient win

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Form · newest first

Le HavreLe Havre

Last 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats

  1. lost1–5v Paris Saint Germain
  2. lost3–4at Marseille
  3. lost1–3v Auxerre
  4. lost0–1at Lille
  5. lost2–3at Toulouse
LorientLorient

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Stade Brestois 29
  2. drew0–0at Angers
  3. won1–0v Monaco
  4. won1–0v Paris FC
  5. lost1–2at Le Mans

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Le Havre won 11 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Lorient won 13 of 20 matches in which they scored first, since 17 Aug 2025.
  • Le Havre won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Le Havre without a win in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Le Havre 2, draws 2, Lorient 0

Goals: Le Havre 9, Lorient 4

DateMatchScore
17 May 2026Lorient v Le Havre0–2
21 Sep 2025Le Havre v Lorient1–1
28 Jan 2024Lorient v Le Havre3–3
3 Sep 2023Le Havre v Lorient3–0

Home and away

Le Havre

Le Havre at home

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostParis Saint Germain30 Oct 20261–5
  • LostAuxerre18 Oct 20261–3
  • DrawnAngers12 Sep 20260–0
  • LostStade Brestois 295 Sep 20261–2
  • LostMonaco23 Aug 20260–1

Le Havre: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Lorient

Lorient away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnAngers25 Oct 20260–0
  • LostLe Mans19 Sep 20261–2
  • WonLens5 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnNice22 Aug 20260–0
  • WonMetz10 May 20264–0

Lorient: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Le Havre
Last match
9 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
Next match
12 days after20 Nov 2026 · v Estac Troyes · Ligue 1
Lorient
Last match
6 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Le Havre

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreLe HavreLeague sides
Scored first11 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches650 won, 168 drawn, 116 lost in 934 matches
Conceded first3 won, 7 drawn, 30 lost in 40 matches116 won, 168 drawn, 650 lost in 934 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 14 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches258 won, 282 drawn, 258 lost in 798 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches180 won, 288 drawn, 180 lost in 648 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 22 matches31 won, 84 drawn, 317 lost in 432 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches144 won, 304 drawn, 144 lost in 592 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches22 won, 80 drawn, 324 lost in 426 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches121 won, 342 drawn, 121 lost in 584 matches
Level after 15 minutes9 won, 14 drawn, 22 lost in 45 matches527 won, 362 drawn, 527 lost in 1416 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 32 matches361 won, 320 drawn, 361 lost in 1042 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes2 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches62 won, 70 drawn, 268 lost in 400 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLe HavreLeague sides
All matches18 scored, 24 conceded (67)668 scored, 668 conceded (2010)
When level after 75 minutes4 scored, 5 conceded (22)161 scored, 161 conceded (568)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 11 conceded (31)225 scored, 282 conceded (721)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 15(league sides: 1,088 times, within 15 minutes 166, by full time 475)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Lorient

Since 17 Aug 2025

ScoreLorientLeague sides
Scored first13 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches650 won, 168 drawn, 116 lost in 934 matches
Conceded first1 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches116 won, 168 drawn, 650 lost in 934 matches
Level after 15 minutes11 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches527 won, 362 drawn, 527 lost in 1416 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches361 won, 320 drawn, 361 lost in 1042 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLorientLeague sides
All matches14 scored, 17 conceded (43)668 scored, 668 conceded (2010)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 10(league sides: 1,088 times, within 15 minutes 166, by full time 475)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Le HavreLorient
67Since 10 Nov 2024Matches with xG43Since 17 Aug 2025
85.14xG for56.15
73Goals scored55
115.90xG against56.73
115Goals conceded59

Le Havre

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Le Havre: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
30 Oct 2026v Paris Saint Germain2.043.991–5
25 Oct 2026at Marseille3.161.633–4
18 Oct 2026v Auxerre1.402.701–3
10 Oct 2026at Lille1.281.260–1
19 Sep 2026at Toulouse2.341.952–3
12 Sep 2026v Angers1.310.590–0
5 Sep 2026v Stade Brestois 292.022.371–2
29 Aug 2026at Lyon0.691.751–1
23 Aug 2026v Monaco0.601.390–1
17 May 2026at Lorient1.251.302–0

Lorient

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Lorient: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026v Stade Brestois 291.781.330–2
25 Oct 2026at Angers0.630.350–0
18 Oct 2026v Monaco1.740.601–0
10 Oct 2026v Paris FC0.550.971–0
19 Sep 2026at Le Mans0.970.921–2
12 Sep 2026v Toulouse0.931.632–2
5 Sep 2026at Lens1.601.241–0
29 Aug 2026v Estac Troyes1.152.121–2
22 Aug 2026at Nice1.281.050–0
17 May 2026v Le Havre1.301.250–2

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Le HavreLorient
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
2Points in those matches12
11.02xPts12.59
14.84xG for10.63
17.63xG against10.21

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Le Havre and Lorient

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:18 GMT

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