Leones del Norte v Emelec match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Leones del Norte have a 47% chance of winning this match, while Emelec are given a 23% chance. The model expects 2.16 goals total, with Leones projected to dominate possession and chances.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 47%Leones del Norte win
- 30%Draw
- 23%Emelec win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Leones del NorteLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
EmelecLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Emelec without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Leones del Norte's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Emelec's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Leones del Norte 1, draws 0, Emelec 1
Goals: Leones del Norte 3, Emelec 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Emelec v Leones del Norte | 2–1 |
| 3 May 2026 | Leones del Norte v Emelec | 2–0 |
Home and away
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostTecnico Universitario13 Sep 20260–1
- WonOrense SC3 Sep 20261–0
- LostIndependiente del Valle22 Aug 20262–3
- DrawnBarcelona SC3 Aug 20261–1
- DrawnGuayaquil City FC23 Jul 20261–1
Leones del Norte: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
EmelecEmelec away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostGuayaquil City FC10 Oct 20262–3
- LostMacara13 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnLibertad4 Sep 20261–1
- LostLDU de Quito24 Aug 20260–2
- DrawnGuayaquil City FC10 Aug 20260–0
Emelec: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Leones del Norte- Last match
- 9 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Libertad · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Libertad · Liga Pro
Emelec- Last match
- 8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Guayaquil City FC · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Guayaquil City FC · Liga Pro
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 18:38 BST · not changed since
All fixtures