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La Liga
Levante
3–1Finished
Athletic Club
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 BSTMatchday 6 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

Levante v Athletic Club match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 21 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Levante a 39% chance of winning this La Liga fixture against Athletic Club, who are favoured at 33%. Both teams are affected by injuries, and Athletic have the better recent record in direct encounters.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 39%Levante win
  • 28%Draw
  • 33%Athletic Club win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LevanteLevante

Last 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Levante avoided defeat in 7 of 27 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 16 Aug 2025.
  • Athletic Club won 30 of 37 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Oct 2024.
  • Athletic Club won 3 of the last 4 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Levante 0, draws 1, Athletic Club 3

Goals: Levante 3, Athletic Club 9

DateMatchScore
8 Feb 2026Athletic Club v Levante4–2
29 Nov 2025Levante v Athletic Club0–2
7 Mar 2022Athletic Club v Levante3–1
19 Nov 2021Levante v Athletic Club0–0

Home and away

Levante

Levante at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnSevilla12 Oct 20263–3
  • LostBarcelona13 Sep 20262–4
  • WonReal Betis29 Aug 20265–2
  • WonMallorca17 May 20262–0
  • WonOsasuna8 May 20263–2

Levante: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Athletic Club

Athletic Club away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnValencia17 Oct 20260–0
  • WonCelta Vigo30 Aug 20262–0
  • LostBarcelona27 Aug 20260–2
  • LostReal Madrid23 May 20262–4
  • LostEspanyol13 May 20260–2

Athletic Club: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Levante
Last match
5 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga
Next match
4 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Real Sociedad · La Liga
Athletic Club
Last match
4 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Valencia · La Liga
Next match
4 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Getafe · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Levante

Since 16 Aug 2025

ScoreLevanteLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 27 matches143 won, 247 drawn, 763 lost in 1153 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches344 won, 376 drawn, 344 lost in 1064 matches
Level after 15 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 12 lost in 31 matches642 won, 488 drawn, 642 lost in 1772 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches474 won, 424 drawn, 474 lost in 1372 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLevanteLeague sides
All matches20 scored, 21 conceded (46)794 scored, 794 conceded (2456)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (20)277 scored, 283 conceded (832)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 31 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 14(league sides: 1,294 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 604)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Athletic Club

Since 24 Oct 2024

ScoreAthletic ClubLeague sides
Scored first30 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost in 37 matches763 won, 247 drawn, 143 lost in 1153 matches
Conceded first8 won, 11 drawn, 26 lost in 45 matches143 won, 247 drawn, 763 lost in 1153 matches
Level at half-time13 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 46 matches344 won, 376 drawn, 344 lost in 1064 matches
Level after 60 minutes14 won, 17 drawn, 11 lost in 42 matches264 won, 384 drawn, 264 lost in 912 matches
Level after 70 minutes10 won, 19 drawn, 8 lost in 37 matches206 won, 422 drawn, 206 lost in 834 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes2 won, 4 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches26 won, 104 drawn, 396 lost in 526 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches410 won, 89 drawn, 12 lost in 511 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 21 drawn, 4 lost in 31 matches152 won, 454 drawn, 152 lost in 758 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 19 drawn, 24 lost in 71 matches642 won, 488 drawn, 642 lost in 1772 matches
Level after 30 minutes17 won, 19 drawn, 18 lost in 54 matches474 won, 424 drawn, 474 lost in 1372 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes7 won, 3 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches61 won, 102 drawn, 293 lost in 456 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAthletic ClubLeague sides
All matches31 scored, 31 conceded (93)794 scored, 794 conceded (2456)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 7 conceded (30)283 scored, 277 conceded (832)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (33)234 scored, 234 conceded (792)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 16 conceded (30)277 scored, 283 conceded (832)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 51 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 25(league sides: 1,294 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 604)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

LevanteAthletic Club
46Since 16 Aug 2025Matches with xG73Since 28 Oct 2024
63.00xG for100.80
59Goals scored87
76.21xG against77.62
77Goals conceded82

Levante

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Levante: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026at Deportivo La Coruna0.851.151–1
12 Oct 2026v Sevilla1.822.203–3
20 Sep 2026at Villarreal0.454.271–3
13 Sep 2026v Barcelona2.422.582–4
6 Sep 2026at Malaga0.811.460–0
29 Aug 2026v Real Betis2.761.925–2
24 Aug 2026at Osasuna1.280.700–0
16 Aug 2026at Espanyol0.281.550–3
23 May 2026at Real Betis2.281.511–2
17 May 2026v Mallorca2.440.342–0

Athletic Club

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Athletic Club: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Valencia0.651.490–0
19 Sep 2026v Alaves1.620.050–0
12 Sep 2026v Elche2.390.841–1
5 Sep 2026v Atletico Madrid1.411.023–0
30 Aug 2026at Celta Vigo2.780.752–0
27 Aug 2026at Barcelona0.254.230–2
22 Aug 2026v Sevilla1.250.411–3
23 May 2026at Real Madrid0.811.902–4
17 May 2026v Celta Vigo2.490.151–1
13 May 2026at Espanyol0.820.760–2

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

LevanteAthletic Club
8 of 8Matches with xG7 of 7
7Points in those matches9
8.67xPts11.87
10.67xG for10.35
15.83xG against8.79

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Levante and Athletic Club

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • LevanteLevante
    Ruled out
    A. Primo (Shoulder Injury)
    Doubtful
    K. Etta Eyong (Muscle Injury) · H. Sotelo (Knee Injury)
  • Athletic ClubAthletic Club
    Ruled out
    U. Egiluz (Knee Injury) · G. Guruzeta (Knee Injury) · O. Sancet (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Djalo (Illness) · N. Williams (Thigh Injury)

Published 21 Oct 2026, 17:57 BST · not changed since

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