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La Liga
Levante
0–2Finished
Atletico Madrid
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 GMTMatchday 11 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

Levante v Atletico Madrid match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Atletico Madrid are heavy favourites in this encounter, with the model giving them a 51% chance of victory to Levante's 24%. Atletico have been in strong form with four wins in their last five matches, while Levante are winless over the same run. Expected goals favour the visitors (1.72 to 1.09), though both sides have injury concerns.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 24%Levante win
  • 25%Draw
  • 51%Atletico Madrid win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LevanteLevante

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Real Sociedad
  2. won3–1v Athletic Club
  3. drew1–1at Deportivo La Coruna
  4. drew3–3v Sevilla
  5. lost1–3at Villarreal
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

  1. won1–0v Deportivo La Coruna
  2. drew1–1at VfB Stuttgart
  3. won1–0at Espanyol
  4. won2–0v Manchester United
  5. won2–1at Alaves

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Levante avoided defeat in 7 of 28 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 16 Aug 2025.
  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 254 of 319.
  • Atletico Madrid won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Atletico Madrid's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

5 meetings: Levante 1, draws 2, Atletico Madrid 2

Goals: Levante 4, Atletico Madrid 7

DateMatchScore
31 Jan 2026Levante v Atletico Madrid0–0
8 Nov 2025Atletico Madrid v Levante3–1
18 Jan 2023Levante v Atletico MadridCopa del Rey0–2
16 Feb 2022Atletico Madrid v Levante0–1
28 Oct 2021Levante v Atletico Madrid2–2

Home and away

Levante

Levante at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAthletic Club21 Oct 20263–1
  • DrawnSevilla12 Oct 20263–3
  • LostBarcelona13 Sep 20262–4
  • WonReal Betis29 Aug 20265–2
  • WonMallorca17 May 20262–0

Levante: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
26 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnVfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20261–1
  • WonEspanyol17 Oct 20261–0
  • WonAlaves10 Oct 20262–1
  • WonReal Sociedad13 Sep 20263–0
  • LostLiverpoolUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–2

Atletico Madrid: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Levante
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Real Sociedad · La Liga
Next match
8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Celta Vigo · La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 16 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Levante

ScoreLevanteLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 21 lost in 28 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 771 lost in 1164 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
Level after 15 minutes9 won, 11 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches651 won, 492 drawn, 651 lost in 1794 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches479 won, 428 drawn, 479 lost in 1386 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLevanteLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 21 conceded (48)801 scored, 801 conceded (2480)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (21)278 scored, 286 conceded (840)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 15(league sides: 1,306 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

LevanteAtletico Madrid
48Since 16 Aug 2025Matches with xG75Since 3 Nov 2024
65.52xG for123.81
63Goals scored134
80.38xG against83.03
80Goals conceded75

Levante

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Levante: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Real Sociedad0.482.221–2
21 Oct 2026v Athletic Club2.041.953–1
16 Oct 2026at Deportivo La Coruna0.851.151–1
12 Oct 2026v Sevilla1.822.203–3
20 Sep 2026at Villarreal0.454.271–3
13 Sep 2026v Barcelona2.422.582–4
6 Sep 2026at Malaga0.811.460–0
29 Aug 2026v Real Betis2.761.925–2
24 Aug 2026at Osasuna1.280.700–0
16 Aug 2026at Espanyol0.281.550–3

Atletico Madrid

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Atletico Madrid: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Deportivo La Coruna1.491.731–0
17 Oct 2026at Espanyol1.410.611–0
10 Oct 2026at Alaves2.051.302–1
20 Sep 2026v Real Madrid2.350.302–1
16 Sep 2026v Osasuna3.990.484–0
13 Sep 2026at Real Sociedad2.050.273–0
5 Sep 2026at Athletic Club1.021.410–3
29 Aug 2026at Sevilla0.930.903–1
23 Aug 2026v Villarreal0.783.602–2
19 Aug 2026v Malaga0.920.152–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

LevanteAtletico Madrid
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
10Points in those matches25
10.47xPts17.81
13.19xG for16.99
20.00xG against10.75

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Levante and Atletico Madrid

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • LevanteLevante
    Ruled out
    E. Bardeli (Muscle Injury)
  • Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
    Ruled out
    J. Cardoso (Thigh Injury) · Koke (Muscle Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since

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