Liga ProSat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 BSTEstadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Libertad v Guayaquil City FC match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Libertad are favourites at 48% to beat Guayaquil City FC, with the model expecting 2.44 goals total. The hosts' recent form is stronger than the visitors', who have won just one of their last five matches.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 48%Libertad win
  • 28%Draw
  • 24%Guayaquil City FC win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LibertadLibertad

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Libertad 1, draws 2, Guayaquil City FC 1

Goals: Libertad 4, Guayaquil City FC 4

DateMatchScore
15 Aug 2026Guayaquil City FC v Libertad2–2
21 Apr 2026Libertad v Guayaquil City FC0–1
10 Oct 2023Libertad v Guayaquil City FC1–0
6 May 2023Guayaquil City FC v Libertad1–1

Home and away

Libertad

Libertad at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonLeones del Norte9 Oct 20263–0
  • LostIndependiente del Valle14 Sep 20262–3
  • DrawnEmelec4 Sep 20261–1
  • WonMacara25 Aug 20261–0
  • WonUniversidad Catolica10 Aug 20262–1

Libertad: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Guayaquil City FC

Guayaquil City FC away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostOrense SC8 Sep 20263–4
  • LostDeportivo Cuenca2 Sep 20260–1
  • WonTecnico Universitario22 Aug 20263–2
  • LostMacara2 Aug 20261–2
  • DrawnLeones del Norte23 Jul 20261–1

Guayaquil City FC: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Libertad
Last match
8 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Leones del Norte · Liga Pro
Next match
8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Leones del Norte · Liga Pro
Guayaquil City FC
Last match
7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Emelec · Liga Pro
Next match
8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Emelec · Liga Pro

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 17 Oct 2026, 16:27 BST · not changed since

All fixtures