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Championship
Lincoln
15:00
Wrexham
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 16 · LNER stadium, Lincoln

Lincoln v Wrexham · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Lincoln win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 41%Lincoln win
  • 28%Draw
  • 31%Wrexham win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LincolnLincoln

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–2at QPR
  2. lost0–1at Watford
  3. lost1–3v Birmingham
  4. won4–1v Burnley
  5. drew2–2at Millwall
WrexhamWrexham

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew1–1v Wolves
  2. won2–0v Middlesbrough
  3. lost0–1at Sheffield Utd
  4. lost0–2at Blackburn
  5. won4–1v Preston

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 329 of 423.
  • Wrexham won 18 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
  • Wrexham without a win in their last 5 away games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Lincoln's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Lincoln 0, draws 0, Wrexham 2

Goals: Lincoln 0, Wrexham 3

DateMatchScore
3 May 2025Lincoln v WrexhamLeague One0–2
26 Nov 2024Wrexham v LincolnLeague One1–0

Home and away

Lincoln

Lincoln at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostBirmingham31 Oct 20261–3
  • WonBurnley24 Oct 20264–1
  • LostWest Ham14 Oct 20260–6
  • LostSwansea19 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnSouthampton5 Sep 20261–1

Lincoln: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Wrexham

Wrexham away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostSheffield Utd30 Oct 20260–1
  • LostBlackburn24 Oct 20260–2
  • DrawnDerby10 Oct 20261–1
  • LostWest Ham11 Sep 20260–6
  • DrawnSwansea5 Sep 20260–0

Wrexham: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
7 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Lincoln
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v QPR · Championship
Next match
Not known
Wrexham
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Wolves · Championship
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Wrexham

ScoreWrexhamLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches
Conceded first5 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 27 matches221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes12 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes14 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 41 matches937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreWrexhamLeague sides
All matches20 scored, 25 conceded (60)1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 12 conceded (25)356 scored, 386 conceded (1286)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Aug 2025

LincolnWrexham
—Matches with xG60
—xG for71.41
—Goals scored86
—xG against78.49
—Goals conceded84

Wrexham

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Wrexham: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
4 Nov 2026v Middlesbrough1.510.952–0
30 Oct 2026at Sheffield Utd0.701.330–1
24 Oct 2026at Blackburn1.741.610–2
17 Oct 2026v Preston1.970.794–1
13 Oct 2026v West Brom0.380.941–2
10 Oct 2026at Derby1.460.601–1
19 Sep 2026v Southampton0.542.082–1
11 Sep 2026at West Ham0.442.960–6
8 Sep 2026v Burnley1.281.501–1
5 Sep 2026at Swansea0.670.740–0

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

LincolnWrexham
14 of 15Matches with xG14 of 15
15Points in those matches17
18.66xPts19.34
18.17xG for16.34
20.32xG against16.90

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Lincoln and Wrexham

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:53 GMT

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