Ligue 1
2–0Finished
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:15 GMTMatchday 9 · Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon v Angers match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Lyon are strong favourites in this encounter, with the model estimating a 65% chance of a home win and 22% for a draw. The hosts have won three of their last four meetings with Angers and currently enjoy better form with two consecutive victories. Expected goals are 1.99 for Lyon and 0.83 for Angers, a gap of 1.16 in Lyon's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 65%Lyon win
  • 22%Draw
  • 13%Angers win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LyonLyon

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–2at Paris Saint Germain
  2. lost0–3at 1899 Hoffenheim
  3. won2–1v Nice
  4. won3–2v Crystal Palace
  5. lost1–2at Lens
AngersAngers

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. drew0–0v Lorient
  2. lost2–5v Marseille
  3. lost1–5at Stade Brestois 29
  4. won2–0v Estac Troyes
  5. drew0–0at Le Havre

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Lyon won 42 of 54 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Angers won 20 of 23 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Lyon won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Lyon unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Lyon 6, draws 1, Angers 1

Goals: Lyon 17, Angers 6

DateMatchScore
5 Apr 2026Angers v Lyon0–0
19 Sep 2025Lyon v Angers1–0
17 May 2025Lyon v Angers2–0
7 Dec 2024Angers v Lyon0–3
25 Feb 2023Angers v Lyon1–3
3 Sep 2022Lyon v Angers5–0
3 Apr 2022Lyon v Angers3–2
15 Aug 2021Angers v Lyon3–0

Home and away

Lyon

Lyon at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonNice18 Oct 20262–1
  • WonCrystal PalaceUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20263–2
  • WonRennes19 Sep 20264–0
  • WonAuxerre4 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnLe Havre29 Aug 20261–1

Lyon: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
21 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Angers

Angers away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostStade Brestois 2910 Oct 20261–5
  • DrawnLe Havre12 Sep 20260–0
  • WonAuxerre29 Aug 20263–1
  • DrawnStade Brestois 2917 May 20261–1
  • LostAuxerre3 May 20261–3

Angers: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Lyon
Last match
6 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
Next match
4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Real Sociedad · UEFA Europa League
Angers
Last match
7 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Lorient · Ligue 1
Next match
7 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Nice · Ligue 1

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 1 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Lyon

ScoreLyonLeague sides
Scored first42 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 54 matches645 won, 168 drawn, 116 lost in 929 matches
Conceded first7 won, 6 drawn, 19 lost in 32 matches116 won, 168 drawn, 645 lost in 929 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches319 won, 85 drawn, 43 lost in 447 matches
Level at half-time19 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 37 matches257 won, 282 drawn, 257 lost in 796 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes22 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches316 won, 84 drawn, 31 lost in 431 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 27 matches179 won, 288 drawn, 179 lost in 646 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes21 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches274 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 281 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes19 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches321 won, 80 drawn, 22 lost in 423 matches
Level after 70 minutes8 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches144 won, 304 drawn, 144 lost in 592 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches311 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 313 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches321 won, 66 drawn, 8 lost in 395 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches121 won, 342 drawn, 121 lost in 584 matches
Level after 15 minutes31 won, 16 drawn, 18 lost in 65 matches523 won, 362 drawn, 523 lost in 1408 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches268 won, 70 drawn, 62 lost in 400 matches
Level after 30 minutes21 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 48 matches357 won, 320 drawn, 357 lost in 1034 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLyonLeague sides
All matches43 scored, 32 conceded (93)664 scored, 664 conceded (2000)
When leading after 75 minutes15 scored, 16 conceded (46)278 scored, 225 conceded (716)
When level after 75 minutes13 scored, 7 conceded (22)161 scored, 161 conceded (568)
When trailing after 75 minutes15 scored, 9 conceded (25)225 scored, 278 conceded (716)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 20(league sides: 1,083 times, within 15 minutes 166, by full time 475)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Angers

ScoreAngersLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches645 won, 168 drawn, 116 lost in 929 matches
Conceded first0 won, 7 drawn, 33 lost in 40 matches116 won, 168 drawn, 645 lost in 929 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 26 matches257 won, 282 drawn, 257 lost in 796 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches179 won, 288 drawn, 179 lost in 646 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 10 drawn, 24 lost in 49 matches523 won, 362 drawn, 523 lost in 1408 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 18 lost in 35 matches357 won, 320 drawn, 357 lost in 1034 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAngersLeague sides
All matches17 scored, 13 conceded (67)664 scored, 664 conceded (2000)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 8 conceded (36)225 scored, 278 conceded (716)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 10(league sides: 1,083 times, within 15 minutes 166, by full time 475)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 1 Nov 2024

LyonAngers
67Matches with xG67
109.86xG for70.00
115Goals scored60
88.89xG against113.71
79Goals conceded100

Lyon

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Lyon: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
26 Oct 2026at Paris Saint Germain0.711.040–2
18 Oct 2026v Nice1.601.612–1
9 Oct 2026at Lens1.041.341–2
19 Sep 2026v Rennes3.131.374–0
12 Sep 2026at Paris FC0.500.300–0
4 Sep 2026v Auxerre2.850.713–1
29 Aug 2026v Le Havre1.750.691–1
22 Aug 2026at Toulouse0.702.772–0
17 May 2026v Lens1.911.540–4
10 May 2026at Toulouse1.541.131–2

Angers

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Angers: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Lorient0.350.630–0
18 Oct 2026v Marseille2.212.712–5
10 Oct 2026at Stade Brestois 291.393.821–5
19 Sep 2026v Estac Troyes2.251.022–0
12 Sep 2026at Le Havre0.591.310–0
6 Sep 2026v Rennes1.661.541–2
29 Aug 2026at Auxerre1.551.813–1
23 Aug 2026v Lille1.991.240–2
17 May 2026at Stade Brestois 290.681.571–1
10 May 2026v Strasbourg0.592.021–1

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

LyonAngers
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
14Points in those matches8
12.36xPts9.99
12.28xG for11.99
9.83xG against14.08

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Lyon and Angers

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • LyonLyon
    Ruled out
    S. Kango (Concussion) · T. Morton (Groin Injury) · L. Openda (Leg Injury) · M. Ouedraogo (Knee Injury) · P. Sulc (Knee Injury)
  • AngersAngers
    Ruled out
    A. El Ouazzani (Groin Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 15:13 GMT · not changed since

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