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Macara
1–0Finished
Independiente del Valle
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BSTEstadio Bellavista, Ambato

Macara v Independiente del Valle match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Independiente del Valle hold a 39% model chance of victory, with Macara at 32% and a 28% draw probability. The expected goal total is 2.55, with a narrow gap of 0.17 in Independiente del Valle's favour. Both teams show mixed recent form, though Independiente del Valle won their last meeting 3-1.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 32%Macara win
  • 28%Draw
  • 40%Independiente del Valle win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

MacaraMacara

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Independiente del Valle won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Macara unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Macara's last 10 home league games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Independiente del Valle's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Macara 1, draws 1, Independiente del Valle 8

Goals: Macara 6, Independiente del Valle 24

DateMatchScore
6 Sep 2026Independiente del Valle v Macara3–1
16 May 2026Macara v Independiente del Valle0–3
12 Jul 2025Macara v Independiente del Valle1–2
16 Mar 2025Independiente del Valle v Macara1–1
24 Nov 2024Independiente del Valle v Macara7–0
26 May 2024Macara v Independiente del Valle0–1
25 Sep 2022Independiente del Valle v Macara1–0
10 May 2022Macara v Independiente del Valle0–1
1 Aug 2021Independiente del Valle v Macara4–0
27 Feb 2021Macara v Independiente del Valle3–1

Home and away

Macara

Macara at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonEmelec13 Sep 20261–0
  • WonManta FC2 Sep 20264–3
  • DrawnSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana20 Aug 20260–0
  • DrawnUniversidad Catolica18 Aug 20261–1
  • WonGuayaquil City FC2 Aug 20262–1

Macara: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnFlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Sep 20261–1
  • WonLibertad14 Sep 20263–2
  • LostBarcelona SC3 Sep 20261–2
  • WonLeones del Norte22 Aug 20263–2
  • WonDeportes TolimaCONMEBOL Libertadores19 Aug 20261–0

Independiente del Valle: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
29 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Macara
Last match
6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Universidad Catolica · Liga Pro
Next match
7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v LDU de Quito · Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle
Last match
7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Aucas · Liga Pro
Next match
6 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Universidad Catolica · Liga Pro

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 17 Oct 2026, 19:12 BST · not changed since

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