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La Liga
Malaga
1–1Finished
Espanyol
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BST

Malaga v Espanyol match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 9 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 34%Malaga win
  • 30%Draw
  • 36%Espanyol win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

MalagaMalaga

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

EspanyolEspanyol

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 246 of 310.
  • Espanyol won 20 of 36 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • Malaga without a win in their last 5 home games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Malaga's last 10 home league games.

Home and away

Malaga

Malaga at home

Last 5: 0 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostVillarreal17 Sep 20261–3
  • DrawnLevante6 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnDeportivo La Coruna24 Aug 20261–1
  • DrawnAlmeriaSegunda División14 Jun 20260–0
  • DrawnLas PalmasSegunda División10 Jun 20261–1

Malaga: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Espanyol

Espanyol away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostRayo Vallecano15 Sep 20261–2
  • WonOsasuna12 Sep 20262–0
  • LostReal Sociedad29 Aug 20261–2
  • WonOsasuna17 May 20262–1
  • LostSevilla9 May 20261–2

Espanyol: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Malaga
Last match
19 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Getafe · La Liga
Next match
9 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Real Sociedad · La Liga
Espanyol
Last match
21 days before18 Sep 2026 · v Elche · La Liga
Next match
8 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Madrid · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Espanyol

ScoreEspanyolLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 36 matches752 won, 242 drawn, 143 lost in 1137 matches
Conceded first2 won, 6 drawn, 26 lost in 34 matches143 won, 242 drawn, 752 lost in 1137 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 11 drawn, 12 lost in 34 matches340 won, 366 drawn, 340 lost in 1046 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches261 won, 374 drawn, 261 lost in 896 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches204 won, 412 drawn, 204 lost in 820 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches150 won, 444 drawn, 150 lost in 744 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 14 drawn, 19 lost in 52 matches636 won, 480 drawn, 636 lost in 1752 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 13 drawn, 17 lost in 46 matches469 won, 416 drawn, 469 lost in 1354 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEspanyolLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 25 conceded (74)781 scored, 781 conceded (2418)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (22)278 scored, 271 conceded (820)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (26)232 scored, 232 conceded (778)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 7 conceded (26)271 scored, 278 conceded (820)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 1, by full time 13(league sides: 1,277 times, within 15 minutes 211, by full time 596)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

MalagaEspanyol
—Matches with xG74
—xG for83.24
—Goals scored84
—xG against100.94
—Goals conceded103

Espanyol

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Espanyol: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Sep 2026v Elche1.051.611–3
15 Sep 2026at Rayo Vallecano1.491.521–2
12 Sep 2026at Osasuna1.431.052–0
6 Sep 2026v Sevilla1.230.531–1
29 Aug 2026at Real Sociedad0.771.821–2
22 Aug 2026v Real Madrid1.052.711–2
16 Aug 2026v Levante1.550.283–0
23 May 2026v Real Sociedad2.411.401–1
17 May 2026at Osasuna0.791.722–1
13 May 2026v Athletic Club0.760.822–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

MalagaEspanyol
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
3Points in those matches7
6.27xPts9.44
5.85xG for8.57
11.65xG against9.52

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Malaga and Espanyol

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • MalagaMalagaJ. Cajuste (Injury) · M. Diarra (Calf Injury) · J. Lobete (Knee Injury) · D. Murillo (Knee Injury) · A. Ochoa (Knee Injury) · J. Salinas (Loan agreement)
  • EspanyolEspanyolK. Garcia (Hamstring Injury) · Jofre (Groin Injury)

Published 9 Oct 2026, 18:57 BST · not changed since

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