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La Liga
Malaga
13:00
Racing Santander
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · La Rosaleda, Malaga

Malaga v Racing Santander · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Malaga win

Malaga holds a 47% chance of victory at home against Racing Santander's 28%, with a 25% draw probability according to our model. Expected goals total 3.0, with Malaga projected to create a 0.4 goal advantage. Both teams show patchy recent form: Malaga have won once in five matches, while Racing have won twice in five but remain inconsistent.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 47%Malaga win
  • 25%Draw
  • 28%Racing Santander win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

MalagaMalaga

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Real Betis
  2. won3–0at Alcazar
  3. drew1–1at Alaves
  4. lost2–5v Real Sociedad
  5. drew1–1v Espanyol
Racing SantanderRacing Santander

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–3v Real Madrid
  2. won2–0at Ribadesella CF
  3. won2–1v Espanyol
  4. lost0–2at Osasuna
  5. drew2–2v Valencia

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 256 of 321.
  • Racing Santander won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Malaga without a win in their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Malaga's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Malaga 0, draws 3, Racing Santander 3

Goals: Malaga 2, Racing Santander 7

DateMatchScore
24 May 2026Malaga v Racing SantanderSegunda División1–1
5 Oct 2025Racing Santander v MalagaSegunda División3–0
1 Feb 2025Racing Santander v MalagaSegunda División2–1
23 Nov 2024Malaga v Racing SantanderSegunda División0–0
5 Mar 2023Malaga v Racing SantanderSegunda División0–1
1 Oct 2022Racing Santander v MalagaSegunda División0–0

Home and away

Malaga

Malaga at home

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostReal Sociedad18 Oct 20262–5
  • DrawnEspanyol9 Oct 20261–1
  • LostVillarreal17 Sep 20261–3
  • DrawnLevante6 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnDeportivo La Coruna24 Aug 20261–1

Malaga: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Racing Santander

Racing Santander away

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • WonRibadesella CFCopa del Rey29 Oct 20262–0
  • LostOsasuna18 Oct 20260–2
  • LostCelta Vigo19 Sep 20260–5
  • LostBarcelona16 Sep 20262–7
  • LostRayo Vallecano5 Sep 20262–3

Racing Santander: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 27 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Malaga
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Real Betis · La Liga
Next match
Not known
Racing Santander
Last match
6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Real Madrid · La Liga
Next match
Not known

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

MalagaRacing Santander
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
5Points in those matches11
9.56xPts12.06
9.45xG for15.23
18.56xG against24.89

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:08 GMT

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