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Championship
Middlesbrough
3–0Finished
Charlton
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 GMTMatchday 13 · Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough v Charlton match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 62%Middlesbrough win
  • 23%Draw
  • 15%Charlton win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. won5–1at Bolton
  2. drew2–2v Cardiff
  3. won3–2at Stoke City
  4. won1–0v Wolves
  5. drew2–2at Birmingham
CharltonCharlton

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–3v Norwich
  2. lost0–2at Watford
  3. drew2–2at Burnley
  4. drew1–1v Bristol City
  5. lost1–3at Cardiff

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Middlesbrough won 36 of 52 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Charlton won 15 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
  • Middlesbrough unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Charlton without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Middlesbrough 1, draws 0, Charlton 1

Goals: Middlesbrough 2, Charlton 2

DateMatchScore
11 Mar 2026Middlesbrough v Charlton0–1
9 Dec 2025Charlton v Middlesbrough1–2

Home and away

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnCardiff17 Oct 20262–2
  • WonWolves10 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnMillwall15 Sep 20262–2
  • WonNorwich12 Sep 20264–3
  • WonWest Brom29 Aug 20263–1

Middlesbrough: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
20 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Charlton

Charlton away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostWatford17 Oct 20260–2
  • DrawnBurnley13 Oct 20262–2
  • LostCardiff19 Sep 20261–3
  • LostStoke City5 Sep 20260–4
  • DrawnWest Brom2 Sep 20261–1

Charlton: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Middlesbrough
Last match
8 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Bolton · Championship
Next match
4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Wrexham · Championship
Charlton
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Norwich · Championship
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Bolton · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Middlesbrough

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreMiddlesbroughLeague sides
Scored first36 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 52 matches1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches
Conceded first6 won, 9 drawn, 20 lost in 35 matches218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches
1 goal down at half-time4 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost in 22 matches95 won, 165 drawn, 512 lost in 772 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 13 lost in 38 matches343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 19 drawn, 11 lost in 37 matches278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes20 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches648 won, 120 drawn, 17 lost in 785 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 23 drawn, 8 lost in 37 matches175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 15 minutes27 won, 19 drawn, 18 lost in 64 matches928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes18 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches439 won, 147 drawn, 108 lost in 694 matches
Level after 30 minutes17 won, 17 drawn, 11 lost in 45 matches661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreMiddlesbroughLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 28 conceded (95)1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 10 conceded (37)350 scored, 377 conceded (1266)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 12 conceded (37)323 scored, 323 conceded (1100)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 6 conceded (21)377 scored, 350 conceded (1266)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 24(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Charlton

Since 9 Aug 2025

ScoreCharltonLeague sides
Scored first15 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches
Conceded first1 won, 8 drawn, 19 lost in 28 matches218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 44 matches928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 38 matches661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCharltonLeague sides
All matches14 scored, 17 conceded (58)1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 3 conceded (20)323 scored, 323 conceded (1100)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 10 conceded (24)377 scored, 350 conceded (1266)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 14(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

MiddlesbroughCharlton
94Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG58Since 9 Aug 2025
142.63xG for59.31
149Goals scored55
102.28xG against82.68
109Goals conceded76

Middlesbrough

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Middlesbrough: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026at Bolton4.401.025–1
17 Oct 2026v Cardiff2.780.912–2
13 Oct 2026at Stoke City2.570.653–2
10 Oct 2026v Wolves0.900.681–0
19 Sep 2026at Birmingham2.141.232–2
15 Sep 2026v Millwall1.521.692–2
12 Sep 2026v Norwich2.381.764–3
5 Sep 2026at QPR2.531.031–0
2 Sep 2026at Burnley1.220.641–1
29 Aug 2026v West Brom2.551.323–1

Charlton

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Charlton: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Norwich0.871.751–3
17 Oct 2026at Watford1.312.870–2
13 Oct 2026at Burnley2.131.082–2
10 Oct 2026v Bristol City1.781.471–1
19 Sep 2026at Cardiff1.262.601–3
12 Sep 2026v Portsmouth0.820.400–0
9 Sep 2026v QPR0.481.100–0
5 Sep 2026at Stoke City0.612.140–4
2 Sep 2026at West Brom0.390.571–1
29 Aug 2026v Preston0.741.321–0

Middlesbrough: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

MiddlesbroughCharlton
12 of 12Matches with xG12 of 12
25Points in those matches14
24.53xPts12.24
26.65xG for11.98
12.41xG against19.14

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Middlesbrough and Charlton

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
    Ruled out
    A. Jones (Calf Injury)
    Doubtful
    R. Pukstas (Injury) · D. Strelec (Injury)
  • CharltonCharlton
    Ruled out
    R. Apter (Knee Injury) · C. Sichenje (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    N. Chalobah (Muscle Injury) · M. Godden (Muscle Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

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