Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 19 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model makes Mushuc Runa 48% likely to win at home against Orense SC, with draws at 28% and visiting wins at 24%. Expected goals total 2.52, with the home side generating a 0.48 gap in their favour. Both teams have struggled in recent weeks, but their head-to-head meetings have been relatively high-scoring.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 48%Mushuc Runa SC win
- 28%Draw
- 24%Orense SC win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Mushuc Runa SCLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Orense SCLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Mushuc Runa SC won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
- Orense SC won 19 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
- Orense SC without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Mushuc Runa SC 4, draws 2, Orense SC 4
Goals: Mushuc Runa SC 18, Orense SC 18
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 2–1 |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 3–2 |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 3–1 |
| 17 May 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 2–5 |
| 6 Mar 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SCCONMEBOL Sudamericana | 2–1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 3–0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 2–2 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC | 1–0 |
| 3 Jun 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 3–1 |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC | 1–1 |
Home and away
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnLeones del Norte8 Sep 20261–1
- WonDelfin SC28 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnBarcelona SC16 Aug 20260–0
- LostLibertad27 Jul 20260–2
- WonOrense SC20 Jul 20262–1
Mushuc Runa SC: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Orense SCOrense SC away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostManta FC21 Sep 20261–2
- LostUniversidad Catolica15 Sep 20261–2
- LostLeones del Norte3 Sep 20260–1
- LostBarcelona SC23 Aug 20260–3
- DrawnDelfin SC9 Aug 20261–1
Orense SC: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Mushuc Runa SC- Last match
- 10 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Delfin SC · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 7 days after26 Oct 2026 · v Tecnico Universitario · Liga Pro
Orense SC- Last match
- 8 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Cuenca · Liga Pro
- Next match
- 5 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Delfin SC · Liga Pro
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 23 Feb 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Mushuc Runa SC
| Score | Mushuc Runa SC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 33 matches | 348 won, 107 drawn, 63 lost in 518 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 7 drawn, 24 lost in 34 matches | 63 won, 107 drawn, 348 lost in 518 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 18 drawn, 14 lost in 40 matches | 147 won, 202 drawn, 147 lost in 496 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 18 drawn, 10 lost in 35 matches | 126 won, 188 drawn, 126 lost in 440 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 18 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches | 104 won, 190 drawn, 104 lost in 398 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 20 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 71 won, 236 drawn, 71 lost in 378 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 18 drawn, 22 lost in 57 matches | 313 won, 244 drawn, 313 lost in 870 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 16 drawn, 19 lost in 48 matches | 238 won, 206 drawn, 238 lost in 682 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Mushuc Runa SC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 30 conceded (75) | 330 scored, 330 conceded (1120) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 4 conceded (20) | 111 scored, 92 conceded (364) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 17 conceded (34) | 127 scored, 127 conceded (392) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 92 scored, 111 conceded (364) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 17(league sides: 558 times, within 15 minutes 97, by full time 249)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Orense SC
| Score | Orense SC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches | 348 won, 107 drawn, 63 lost in 518 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 3 drawn, 28 lost in 37 matches | 63 won, 107 drawn, 348 lost in 518 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches | 147 won, 202 drawn, 147 lost in 496 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 126 won, 188 drawn, 126 lost in 440 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 8 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches | 104 won, 190 drawn, 104 lost in 398 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 71 won, 236 drawn, 71 lost in 378 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 15 drawn, 25 lost in 58 matches | 313 won, 244 drawn, 313 lost in 870 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 44 matches | 238 won, 206 drawn, 238 lost in 682 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Orense SC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 21 conceded (73) | 330 scored, 330 conceded (1120) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 3 conceded (25) | 127 scored, 127 conceded (392) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 13 conceded (29) | 92 scored, 111 conceded (364) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 17(league sides: 558 times, within 15 minutes 97, by full time 249)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 19 Oct 2026, 20:27 BST · not changed since
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