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Serie A
Napoli
3–0Finished
Frosinone
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 BST

Napoli v Frosinone match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 45%Napoli win
  • 26%Draw
  • 29%Frosinone win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

NapoliNapoli

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

FrosinoneFrosinone

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Napoli won 40 of 50 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 212 of 266.
  • Frosinone unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Frosinone's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Napoli 1, draws 1, Frosinone 1

Goals: Napoli 5, Frosinone 7

DateMatchScore
14 Apr 2024Napoli v Frosinone2–2
19 Dec 2023Napoli v FrosinoneCoppa Italia0–4
19 Aug 2023Frosinone v Napoli1–3

Home and away

Napoli

Napoli at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonBologna13 Sep 20261–0
  • LostArsenalUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20260–1
  • LostComo30 Aug 20261–2
  • WonUdinese24 May 20261–0
  • LostBologna11 May 20262–3

Napoli: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Frosinone

Frosinone away

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnGenoa12 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnSassuoloCoppa Italia2 Sep 20261–1 PEN
  • WonFiorentina29 Aug 20263–0
  • WonJuve StabiaSerie B · Italy1 May 20261–0
  • WonModenaSerie B · Italy18 Apr 20262–1

Frosinone: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
20 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Napoli
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Fiorentina · Serie A
Next match
3 days after13 Oct 2026 · v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League
Frosinone
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Next match
6 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Sassuolo · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Napoli

ScoreNapoliLeague sides
Scored first40 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 50 matches740 won, 234 drawn, 123 lost in 1097 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 27 matches123 won, 234 drawn, 740 lost in 1097 matches
1 goal up at half-time21 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches328 won, 120 drawn, 56 lost in 504 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches315 won, 390 drawn, 315 lost in 1020 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes14 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches365 won, 110 drawn, 34 lost in 509 matches
Level after 60 minutes18 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 37 matches235 won, 402 drawn, 235 lost in 872 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches384 won, 93 drawn, 22 lost in 499 matches
Level after 70 minutes14 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 34 matches178 won, 444 drawn, 178 lost in 800 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes25 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches427 won, 83 drawn, 11 lost in 521 matches
Level after 15 minutes29 won, 15 drawn, 13 lost in 57 matches604 won, 528 drawn, 604 lost in 1736 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches287 won, 108 drawn, 57 lost in 452 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 40 matches442 won, 420 drawn, 442 lost in 1304 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreNapoliLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 20 conceded (83)692 scored, 692 conceded (2382)
When leading after 75 minutes2 scored, 9 conceded (40)241 scored, 222 conceded (804)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 5 conceded (27)229 scored, 229 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 18(league sides: 1,220 times, within 15 minutes 179, by full time 544)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 20 Oct 2024

NapoliFrosinone
74Matches with xG—
101.84xG for—
110Goals scored—
69.83xG against—
64Goals conceded—

Napoli

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Napoli: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at Fiorentina1.401.141–1
13 Sep 2026v Bologna1.190.291–0
5 Sep 2026at Inter2.433.862–3
30 Aug 2026v Como1.391.051–2
22 Aug 2026at Genoa0.770.672–0
24 May 2026v Udinese1.760.371–0
17 May 2026at Pisa1.090.823–0
11 May 2026v Bologna0.801.262–3
2 May 2026at Como0.661.790–0
24 Apr 2026v Cremonese3.160.284–0

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

NapoliFrosinone
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
7Points in those matches10
7.46xPts5.20
7.18xG for7.53
7.01xG against10.48

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Napoli and Frosinone

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • NapoliNapoliAlisson Santos (Muscle Injury) · F. Anguissa (Groin Injury) · A. Buongiorno (Knee Injury) · C. Favasuli (Thigh Injury) · M. Olivera (Groin Injury) · A. Vergara (Calf Injury) · Giovane (Groin Injury) · A. Meret (Muscle Injury)
  • FrosinoneFrosinoneNo injuries or suspensions reported.

Published 10 Oct 2026, 19:12 BST · not changed since

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