Napoli v Lazio · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Napoli win
Napoli host Lazio with the model giving the home side a 42% chance of winning compared to 30% for Lazio. Expected goals total 2.52 with a gap of 0.22 in Napoli's favour. However, Lazio arrive in outstanding form with five consecutive wins, while Napoli have lost two of their last five matches. Napoli will be without defender Buongiorno, while Lazio miss Patric.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 42%Napoli win
- 28%Draw
- 30%Lazio win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
NapoliLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- lost1–4at FC Porto
- lost0–2at Juventus
- won4–1at Monza
- drew3–3v AS Roma
- won4–3v Bodo/Glimt
LazioLast 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats
- won2–1v Cagliari
- won6–2at Sassuolo
- won2–1v Parma
- won3–0at Juventus
- won3–1v Monza
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Napoli won 40 of 52 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Lazio won 34 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Lazio won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Lazio unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Napoli 3, draws 2, Lazio 5
Goals: Napoli 10, Lazio 13
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Napoli v Lazio | 0–2 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Lazio v Napoli | 0–2 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Lazio v Napoli | 2–2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Napoli v Lazio | 0–1 |
| 5 Dec 2024 | Lazio v NapoliCoppa Italia | 3–1 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Lazio v Napoli | 0–0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Napoli v Lazio | 1–2 |
| 3 Mar 2023 | Napoli v Lazio | 0–1 |
| 3 Sep 2022 | Lazio v Napoli | 1–2 |
| 27 Feb 2022 | Lazio v Napoli | 1–2 |
Home and away
NapoliNapoli at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnAS Roma24 Oct 20263–3
- WonBodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20264–3
- WonFrosinone10 Oct 20263–0
- WonBologna13 Sep 20261–0
- LostArsenalUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20260–1
Napoli: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
LazioLazio away
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonSassuolo27 Oct 20266–2
- WonJuventus18 Oct 20263–0
- WonVenezia19 Sep 20262–0
- WonUdinese7 Sep 20262–1
- WonBologna24 Aug 20261–0
Lazio: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Napoli- Last match
- 4 days before4 Nov 2026 · v FC Porto · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Torino · Serie A
Lazio- Last match
- 7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Cagliari · Serie A
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Lecce · Serie A
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Napoli
| Score | Napoli | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 40 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 52 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 29 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 22 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 29 matches | 340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches | 380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 16 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 37 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 15 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 14 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches | 182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 24 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 28 won, 16 drawn, 15 lost in 59 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 21 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 299 won, 111 drawn, 63 lost in 473 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 19 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Napoli | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 25 conceded (87) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 10 conceded (40) | 255 scored, 235 conceded (845) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 6 conceded (28) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (790) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 19(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Lazio
| Score | Lazio | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 34 won, 10 drawn, 0 lost in 44 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 8 drawn, 20 lost in 32 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 17 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches | 340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches |
| Level at half-time | 14 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 17 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 14 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 17 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 16 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 27 won, 22 drawn, 12 lost in 61 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 19 drawn, 9 lost in 46 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Lazio | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 36 scored, 18 conceded (83) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 7 conceded (31) | 255 scored, 235 conceded (845) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 6 conceded (27) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (790) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 5 conceded (25) | 235 scored, 255 conceded (845) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 13(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Napoli | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Matches with xG | 75 |
| 106.35 | xG for | 96.07 |
| 116 | Goals scored | 102 |
| 72.27 | xG against | 87.17 |
| 68 | Goals conceded | 83 |
Napoli
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Juventus | 0.58 | 0.87 | 0–2 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | at Monza | 1.84 | 1.22 | 4–1 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v AS Roma | 2.51 | 1.96 | 3–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Venezia | 2.46 | 0.67 | 0–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Frosinone | 3.12 | 1.01 | 3–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Fiorentina | 1.40 | 1.14 | 1–1 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Bologna | 1.19 | 0.29 | 1–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Inter | 2.43 | 3.86 | 2–3 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Como | 1.39 | 1.05 | 1–2 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Genoa | 0.77 | 0.67 | 2–0 |
Lazio
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v Cagliari | 1.03 | 1.10 | 2–1 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | at Sassuolo | 3.59 | 0.80 | 6–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Parma | 1.82 | 0.87 | 2–1 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Juventus | 0.57 | 0.75 | 3–0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Monza | 1.84 | 1.76 | 3–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Venezia | 1.60 | 1.89 | 2–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v AC Milan | 2.01 | 1.25 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Udinese | 1.83 | 0.85 | 2–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Genoa | 1.62 | 0.42 | 1–0 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | at Bologna | 0.63 | 1.78 | 1–0 |
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Napoli | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 14 | Points in those matches | 28 |
| 16.95 | xPts | 16.57 |
| 17.69 | xG for | 16.54 |
| 12.74 | xG against | 11.47 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Napoli and Lazio
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- A. Buongiorno (Jumpers Knee)
- Ruled out
- Patric (Sprained Ankle)
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:33 GMT
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