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Championship
Norwich
12:30
Cardiff
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 16 · Carrow Road, Norwich

Norwich v Cardiff · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Norwich win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 54%Norwich win
  • 23%Draw
  • 23%Cardiff win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

NorwichNorwich

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won5–0at Bristol City
  2. won4–0at Derby
  3. won3–2v Watford
  4. won3–1at Charlton
  5. lost0–1v Portsmouth
CardiffCardiff

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. won5–4v Burnley
  2. drew3–3v West Ham
  3. lost0–3at Wolves
  4. won1–0v Birmingham
  5. drew2–2at Middlesbrough

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Norwich won 27 of 45 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 329 of 423.
  • Norwich won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Cardiff without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

7 meetings: Norwich 5, draws 0, Cardiff 2

Goals: Norwich 16, Cardiff 9

DateMatchScore
25 Aug 2026Cardiff v NorwichLeague Cup1–2
3 May 2025Norwich v Cardiff4–2
2 Nov 2024Cardiff v Norwich2–1
17 Feb 2024Norwich v Cardiff4–1
11 Nov 2023Cardiff v Norwich2–3
25 Feb 2023Norwich v Cardiff2–0
30 Jul 2022Cardiff v Norwich1–0

Home and away

Norwich

Norwich at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonWatford31 Oct 20263–2
  • LostPortsmouth17 Oct 20260–1
  • LostSouthampton14 Oct 20260–1
  • LostBolton20 Sep 20263–4
  • WonBirmingham9 Sep 20262–1

Norwich: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Cardiff

Cardiff away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostWolves31 Oct 20260–3
  • DrawnMiddlesbrough17 Oct 20262–2
  • LostBlackburn10 Oct 20261–2
  • LostBolton12 Sep 20260–1
  • LostPortsmouth5 Sep 20260–2

Cardiff: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Norwich
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Bristol City · Championship
Next match
Not known
Cardiff
Last match
14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Burnley · Championship
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 23 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Norwich

ScoreNorwichLeague sides
Scored first27 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 45 matches1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches
Conceded first8 won, 6 drawn, 29 lost in 43 matches221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 34 matches467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches
Level after 60 minutes9 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes4 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost in 23 matches68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 27 matches279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 2 drawn, 23 lost in 26 matches19 won, 121 drawn, 654 lost in 794 matches
Level after 15 minutes22 won, 13 drawn, 25 lost in 60 matches937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 45 matches669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreNorwichLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 23 conceded (91)1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 9 conceded (34)356 scored, 386 conceded (1286)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (22)323 scored, 323 conceded (1106)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 5 conceded (35)386 scored, 356 conceded (1286)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 52 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 20(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 23 Nov 2024

NorwichCardiff
91Matches with xG45
125.65xG for56.75
138Goals scored56
119.94xG against65.78
126Goals conceded73

Norwich

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Norwich: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
3 Nov 2026at Derby2.410.734–0
31 Oct 2026v Watford1.191.003–2
24 Oct 2026at Charlton1.750.873–1
17 Oct 2026v Portsmouth0.371.250–1
14 Oct 2026v Southampton1.262.160–1
10 Oct 2026at Swansea0.682.361–2
20 Sep 2026v Bolton0.691.103–4
12 Sep 2026at Middlesbrough1.762.383–4
9 Sep 2026v Birmingham1.011.632–1
5 Sep 2026at Sheffield Utd3.040.793–1

Cardiff

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Cardiff: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
4 Nov 2026v West Ham1.192.813–3
31 Oct 2026at Wolves0.961.660–3
24 Oct 2026v Birmingham2.400.911–0
17 Oct 2026at Middlesbrough0.912.782–2
13 Oct 2026v Watford3.671.465–1
10 Oct 2026at Blackburn1.052.421–2
19 Sep 2026v Charlton2.601.263–1
12 Sep 2026at Bolton1.790.480–1
8 Sep 2026v Stoke City2.920.751–1
5 Sep 2026at Portsmouth1.372.070–2

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

NorwichCardiff
14 of 15Matches with xG14 of 15
18Points in those matches15
19.82xPts20.24
21.88xG for24.58
20.77xG against23.02

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Norwich and Cardiff

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:43 GMT

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