LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
20:05
Estac Troyes
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 10 · Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

No signal on this match

Most likely: Paris Saint Germain win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 85%Paris Saint Germain win
  • 11%Draw
  • 4%Estac Troyes win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

  1. won6–0at Villarreal
  2. won5–1at Le Havre
  3. won2–0v Lyon
  4. won4–2v Barcelona
  5. won3–1at Strasbourg
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. won2–0v Le Mans
  2. drew0–0at Toulouse
  3. lost1–3v Lens
  4. lost0–2v Marseille
  5. lost0–2at Angers

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Ligue 1, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 186 of 238.
  • Paris Saint Germain won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Paris Saint Germain's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Paris Saint Germain 3, draws 1, Estac Troyes 0

Goals: Paris Saint Germain 11, Estac Troyes 7

DateMatchScore
7 May 2023Estac Troyes v Paris Saint Germain1–3
29 Oct 2022Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes4–3
8 May 2022Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes2–2
7 Aug 2021Estac Troyes v Paris Saint Germain1–2

Home and away

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonLyon26 Oct 20262–0
  • WonBarcelonaUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20264–2
  • WonLe Mans10 Oct 20263–1
  • WonSlovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20266–1
  • LostMonaco4 Sep 20261–2

Paris Saint Germain: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
20 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnToulouse25 Oct 20260–0
  • LostAngers19 Sep 20260–2
  • LostLille13 Sep 20260–2
  • WonLorient29 Aug 20262–1
  • LostGrenobleLigue 29 May 20260–1

Estac Troyes: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Paris Saint Germain
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known
Estac Troyes
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Le Mans · Ligue 1
Next match
13 days after20 Nov 2026 · v Le Havre · Ligue 1

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
67Matches with xG—
157.87xG for—
158Goals scored—
65.69xG against—
66Goals conceded—

Paris Saint Germain

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Paris Saint Germain: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
30 Oct 2026at Le Havre3.992.045–1
26 Oct 2026v Lyon1.040.712–0
17 Oct 2026at Strasbourg2.751.553–1
10 Oct 2026v Le Mans4.251.433–1
20 Sep 2026at Marseille4.331.802–1
13 Sep 2026at Stade Brestois 291.161.241–0
4 Sep 2026v Monaco2.320.511–2
28 Aug 2026at Lille1.441.272–2
23 Aug 2026at Rennes2.160.872–2
17 May 2026at Paris FC0.612.201–2

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
20Points in those matches8
18.55xPts10.89
23.44xG for11.68
11.42xG against13.65

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:18 GMT

All fixtures