LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2–0Finished
Lyon
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 19:30 GMTMatchday 8 · Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint Germain v Lyon match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 69%Paris Saint Germain win
  • 19%Draw
  • 12%Lyon win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

LyonLyon

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Ligue 1, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 183 of 235.
  • Lyon won 42 of 55 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
  • Paris Saint Germain won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Paris Saint Germain's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Paris Saint Germain 7, draws 1, Lyon 2

Goals: Paris Saint Germain 22, Lyon 12

DateMatchScore
19 Apr 2026Paris Saint Germain v Lyon1–2
9 Nov 2025Lyon v Paris Saint Germain2–3
23 Feb 2025Lyon v Paris Saint Germain2–3
15 Dec 2024Paris Saint Germain v Lyon3–1
25 May 2024Lyon v Paris Saint GermainCoupe de France1–2
21 Apr 2024Paris Saint Germain v Lyon4–1
3 Sep 2023Lyon v Paris Saint Germain1–4
2 Apr 2023Paris Saint Germain v Lyon0–1
18 Sep 2022Lyon v Paris Saint Germain0–1
9 Jan 2022Lyon v Paris Saint Germain1–1

Home and away

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonBarcelonaUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20264–2
  • WonLe Mans10 Oct 20263–1
  • WonSlovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20266–1
  • LostMonaco4 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnArsenalUEFA Champions League30 May 20261–1 PEN

Paris Saint Germain: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Lyon

Lyon away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • Lost1899 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20260–3
  • LostLens9 Oct 20261–2
  • WonAnderlechtUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnParis FC12 Sep 20260–0
  • WonToulouse22 Aug 20262–0

Lyon: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Paris Saint Germain
Last match
6 days before20 Oct 2026 · v Barcelona · UEFA Champions League
Next match
4 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Le Havre · Ligue 1
Lyon
Last match
4 days before22 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League
Next match
6 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Angers · Ligue 1

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Lyon

ScoreLyonLeague sides
Scored first42 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 55 matches641 won, 168 drawn, 115 lost in 924 matches
Conceded first7 won, 6 drawn, 18 lost in 31 matches115 won, 168 drawn, 641 lost in 924 matches
1 goal up at half-time18 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches317 won, 85 drawn, 43 lost in 445 matches
Level at half-time19 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 36 matches255 won, 282 drawn, 255 lost in 792 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes22 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches315 won, 84 drawn, 31 lost in 430 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches177 won, 288 drawn, 177 lost in 642 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes21 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches272 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 279 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes19 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches320 won, 80 drawn, 22 lost in 422 matches
Level after 70 minutes8 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches142 won, 304 drawn, 142 lost in 588 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches308 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 310 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches320 won, 66 drawn, 8 lost in 394 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches120 won, 342 drawn, 120 lost in 582 matches
Level after 15 minutes31 won, 17 drawn, 17 lost in 65 matches518 won, 362 drawn, 518 lost in 1398 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches267 won, 70 drawn, 62 lost in 399 matches
Level after 30 minutes21 won, 14 drawn, 13 lost in 48 matches353 won, 320 drawn, 353 lost in 1026 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLyonLeague sides
All matches43 scored, 31 conceded (93)662 scored, 662 conceded (1990)
When leading after 75 minutes15 scored, 16 conceded (46)277 scored, 225 conceded (712)
When level after 75 minutes13 scored, 7 conceded (23)160 scored, 160 conceded (566)
When trailing after 75 minutes15 scored, 8 conceded (24)225 scored, 277 conceded (712)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 20(league sides: 1,077 times, within 15 minutes 164, by full time 473)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 27 Oct 2024

Paris Saint GermainLyon
67Matches with xG67
158.82xG for111.20
155Goals scored117
63.99xG against89.39
65Goals conceded79

Paris Saint Germain

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Paris Saint Germain: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Strasbourg2.751.553–1
10 Oct 2026v Le Mans4.251.433–1
20 Sep 2026at Marseille4.331.802–1
13 Sep 2026at Stade Brestois 291.161.241–0
4 Sep 2026v Monaco2.320.511–2
28 Aug 2026at Lille1.441.272–2
23 Aug 2026at Rennes2.160.872–2
17 May 2026at Paris FC0.612.201–2
13 May 2026at Lens1.222.872–0
10 May 2026v Stade Brestois 291.490.171–0

Lyon

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Lyon: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026v Nice1.601.612–1
9 Oct 2026at Lens1.041.341–2
19 Sep 2026v Rennes3.131.374–0
12 Sep 2026at Paris FC0.500.300–0
4 Sep 2026v Auxerre2.850.713–1
29 Aug 2026v Le Havre1.750.691–1
22 Aug 2026at Toulouse0.702.772–0
17 May 2026v Lens1.911.540–4
10 May 2026at Toulouse1.541.131–2
3 May 2026v Rennes3.170.844–2

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Paris Saint GermainLyon
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
14Points in those matches14
14.65xPts11.29
18.41xG for11.57
8.67xG against8.79

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Paris Saint Germain and Lyon

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
    Ruled out
    O. Dembele (Thigh Injury) · K. Kvaratskhelia (Knee Injury) · Marquinhos (Thigh Injury) · N. Mendes (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Longoni (Injury)
  • LyonLyon
    Ruled out
    L. Openda (Leg Injury) · M. Ouedraogo (Knee Injury) · N. Tagliafico (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Hamdani (Inactive) · P. Sulc (Knee Injury)

Published 26 Oct 2026, 13:48 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures