Parma v AS Roma · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: AS Roma win
How the match could end · our estimate
- 17%Parma win
- 24%Draw
- 59%AS Roma win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- won3–0at Atalanta
- drew0–0v Udinese
- lost1–2at Lazio
- lost0–3v Torino
- lost0–3at Inter
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- lost2–3at Manchester United
- won5–2at Udinese
- won4–2v Cagliari
- drew3–3at Napoli
- won4–0v Slovan Bratislava
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Parma won 16 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
- AS Roma won 50 of 58 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
- AS Roma won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Parma's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Parma 0, draws 0, AS Roma 4
Goals: Parma 3, AS Roma 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Parma v AS Roma | 2–3 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | AS Roma v Parma | 2–1 |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Parma v AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | AS Roma v Parma | 5–0 |
Home and away
Parma at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnUdinese28 Oct 20260–0
- LostTorino19 Oct 20260–3
- WonGenoa20 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnMonza6 Sep 20261–1
- LostCremoneseCoppa Italia1 Sep 20260–2
Parma: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
AS Roma away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- LostManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League3 Nov 20262–3
- WonUdinese31 Oct 20265–2
- DrawnNapoli24 Oct 20263–3
- DrawnComo11 Oct 20260–0
- WonTorino14 Sep 20262–0
AS Roma: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- Not known
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 18 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Manchester United · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Parma
Since 23 Nov 2024
| Score | Parma | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 9 drawn, 30 lost in 41 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 15 drawn, 16 lost in 39 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 18 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 3 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 35 won, 112 drawn, 380 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 19 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches | 182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 24 won, 97 drawn, 398 lost in 519 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 18 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches | 110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 17 drawn, 22 lost in 54 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 16 drawn, 22 lost in 52 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Parma | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 23 scored, 26 conceded (74) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (32) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (790) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 12 conceded (30) | 235 scored, 255 conceded (845) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 15(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
AS Roma
Since 24 Nov 2024
| Score | AS Roma | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 50 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 58 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 11 drawn, 18 lost in 36 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 25 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches |
| Level at half-time | 18 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 37 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 31 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 36 matches | 380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches | 300 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 314 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 28 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 30 matches | 398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches | 340 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 344 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches | 442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches |
| 1 goal up after 15 minutes | 18 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches | 210 won, 60 drawn, 42 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 37 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 64 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches | 299 won, 111 drawn, 63 lost in 473 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 25 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 49 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | AS Roma | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 34 scored, 28 conceded (95) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 18 scored, 17 conceded (56) | 255 scored, 235 conceded (845) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 9 conceded (20) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (790) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 24(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| AS Roma | ||
|---|---|---|
| 74Since 23 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 74Since 24 Nov 2024 |
| 68.16 | xG for | 115.96 |
| 64 | Goals scored | 129 |
| 114.21 | xG against | 78.93 |
| 101 | Goals conceded | 59 |
Parma
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | at Atalanta | 0.52 | 3.02 | 3–0 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | v Udinese | 1.20 | 1.43 | 0–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Lazio | 0.87 | 1.82 | 1–2 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | v Torino | 1.61 | 1.58 | 0–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Inter | 0.46 | 2.42 | 0–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Genoa | 0.53 | 0.70 | 2–1 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | at Como | 1.15 | 2.98 | 1–2 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Monza | 0.73 | 1.72 | 1–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Juventus | 0.25 | 1.58 | 0–2 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Cagliari | 0.75 | 0.94 | 0–1 |
AS Roma
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Udinese | 2.82 | 1.85 | 5–2 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | v Cagliari | 2.96 | 2.68 | 4–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Napoli | 1.96 | 2.51 | 3–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Genoa | 1.37 | 0.49 | 2–0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Como | 1.08 | 1.35 | 0–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Inter | 1.66 | 2.86 | 2–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | at Torino | 1.85 | 0.86 | 2–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Atalanta | 2.97 | 0.70 | 2–1 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | at Lecce | 3.27 | 0.80 | 4–0 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | v Fiorentina | 3.07 | 0.35 | 4–0 |
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| AS Roma | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 24 |
| 7.76 | xPts | 18.63 |
| 8.07 | xG for | 23.01 |
| 18.19 | xG against | 14.45 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Parma and AS Roma
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:58 GMT
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