Serie A
Parma
17:00
AS Roma
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Parma v AS Roma · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

No signal on this match

Most likely: AS Roma win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 17%Parma win
  • 24%Draw
  • 59%AS Roma win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ParmaParma

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. won3–0at Atalanta
  2. drew0–0v Udinese
  3. lost1–2at Lazio
  4. lost0–3v Torino
  5. lost0–3at Inter
AS RomaAS Roma

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. lost2–3at Manchester United
  2. won5–2at Udinese
  3. won4–2v Cagliari
  4. drew3–3at Napoli
  5. won4–0v Slovan Bratislava

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Parma won 16 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Nov 2024.
  • AS Roma won 50 of 58 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
  • AS Roma won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Parma's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Parma 0, draws 0, AS Roma 4

Goals: Parma 3, AS Roma 11

DateMatchScore
10 May 2026Parma v AS Roma2–3
29 Oct 2025AS Roma v Parma2–1
16 Feb 2025Parma v AS Roma0–1
22 Dec 2024AS Roma v Parma5–0

Home and away

Parma

Parma at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnUdinese28 Oct 20260–0
  • LostTorino19 Oct 20260–3
  • WonGenoa20 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnMonza6 Sep 20261–1
  • LostCremoneseCoppa Italia1 Sep 20260–2

Parma: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
AS Roma

AS Roma away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League3 Nov 20262–3
  • WonUdinese31 Oct 20265–2
  • DrawnNapoli24 Oct 20263–3
  • DrawnComo11 Oct 20260–0
  • WonTorino14 Sep 20262–0

AS Roma: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
24 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Parma
Last match
Not known
Next match
Not known
AS Roma
Last match
18 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Manchester United · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Parma

Since 23 Nov 2024

ScoreParmaLeague sides
Scored first16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first2 won, 9 drawn, 30 lost in 41 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 15 drawn, 16 lost in 39 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 18 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 3 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches35 won, 112 drawn, 380 lost in 527 matches
Level after 70 minutes9 won, 19 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches182 won, 450 drawn, 182 lost in 814 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches24 won, 97 drawn, 398 lost in 519 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 18 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches110 won, 492 drawn, 110 lost in 712 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 17 drawn, 22 lost in 54 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 16 drawn, 22 lost in 52 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreParmaLeague sides
All matches23 scored, 26 conceded (74)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (32)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 12 conceded (30)235 scored, 255 conceded (845)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 15(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

AS Roma

Since 24 Nov 2024

ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
Scored first50 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 58 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 18 lost in 36 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
1 goal up at half-time25 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches
Level at half-time18 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 37 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes31 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 36 matches380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes23 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches300 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 314 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes28 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 30 matches398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes28 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches340 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 344 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes18 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches210 won, 60 drawn, 42 lost in 312 matches
Level after 15 minutes37 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 64 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches299 won, 111 drawn, 63 lost in 473 matches
Level after 30 minutes25 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 49 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 28 conceded (95)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When leading after 75 minutes18 scored, 17 conceded (56)255 scored, 235 conceded (845)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 9 conceded (20)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 24(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

ParmaAS Roma
74Since 23 Nov 2024Matches with xG74Since 24 Nov 2024
68.16xG for115.96
64Goals scored129
114.21xG against78.93
101Goals conceded59

Parma

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Parma: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026at Atalanta0.523.023–0
28 Oct 2026v Udinese1.201.430–0
24 Oct 2026at Lazio0.871.821–2
19 Oct 2026v Torino1.611.580–3
10 Oct 2026at Inter0.462.420–3
20 Sep 2026v Genoa0.530.702–1
14 Sep 2026at Como1.152.981–2
6 Sep 2026v Monza0.731.721–1
29 Aug 2026at Juventus0.251.580–2
22 Aug 2026v Cagliari0.750.940–1

AS Roma

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AS Roma: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Udinese2.821.855–2
27 Oct 2026v Cagliari2.962.684–2
24 Oct 2026at Napoli1.962.513–3
17 Oct 2026v Genoa1.370.492–0
11 Oct 2026at Como1.081.350–0
19 Sep 2026v Inter1.662.862–2
14 Sep 2026at Torino1.850.862–0
5 Sep 2026v Atalanta2.970.702–1
31 Aug 2026at Lecce3.270.804–0
24 Aug 2026v Fiorentina3.070.354–0

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

ParmaAS Roma
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
8Points in those matches24
7.76xPts18.63
8.07xG for23.01
18.19xG against14.45

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Parma and AS Roma

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:58 GMT

All fixtures