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Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
0–1Finished
Cambuur
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 BSTMatchday 8

PEC Zwolle v Cambuur match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 41%PEC Zwolle win
  • 26%Draw
  • 33%Cambuur win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

CambuurCambuur

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • PEC Zwolle won 17 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 159 of 217.
  • Cambuur without a win in their last 5 away games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Cambuur's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: PEC Zwolle 1, draws 0, Cambuur 1

Goals: PEC Zwolle 5, Cambuur 5

DateMatchScore
12 Feb 2022Cambuur v PEC Zwolle3–4
6 Nov 2021PEC Zwolle v Cambuur1–2

Home and away

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostFeyenoord13 Sep 20260–7
  • LostNEC Nijmegen29 Aug 20261–3
  • LostAjax9 Aug 20260–2
  • LostFeyenoord17 May 20260–2
  • WonHeracles3 May 20261–0

PEC Zwolle: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Cambuur

Cambuur away

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnADO Den Haag19 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnTelstar6 Sep 20262–2
  • LostFortuna Sittard15 Aug 20261–3
  • LostDe GraafschapEerste Divisie17 Apr 20261–3
  • DrawnDen BoschEerste Divisie10 Apr 20261–1

Cambuur: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

PEC Zwolle
Last match
23 days before18 Sep 2026 · v Groningen · Eredivisie
Next match
7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie
Cambuur
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
Next match
7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

PEC Zwolle

ScorePEC ZwolleLeague sides
Scored first17 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches639 won, 222 drawn, 116 lost in 977 matches
Conceded first1 won, 7 drawn, 24 lost in 32 matches116 won, 222 drawn, 639 lost in 977 matches
Level at half-time4 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 27 matches227 won, 294 drawn, 227 lost in 748 matches
Level after 60 minutes2 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches163 won, 284 drawn, 163 lost in 610 matches
Level after 15 minutes12 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 44 matches477 won, 392 drawn, 477 lost in 1346 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches337 won, 312 drawn, 337 lost in 986 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePEC ZwolleLeague sides
All matches15 scored, 29 conceded (67)744 scored, 744 conceded (2036)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 6 conceded (22)328 scored, 236 conceded (758)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 11 conceded (20)180 scored, 180 conceded (520)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 12 conceded (25)236 scored, 328 conceded (758)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 14(league sides: 1,160 times, within 15 minutes 196, by full time 533)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 20 Oct 2024

PEC ZwolleCambuur
66Matches with xG—
76.82xG for—
83Goals scored—
116.85xG against—
128Goals conceded—

PEC Zwolle

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
PEC Zwolle: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Sep 2026at Groningen0.431.390–3
13 Sep 2026v Feyenoord0.193.400–7
4 Sep 2026at Sparta Rotterdam1.072.232–2
29 Aug 2026v NEC Nijmegen2.031.941–3
22 Aug 2026at Heerenveen1.550.852–0
16 Aug 2026at Twente0.682.081–3
9 Aug 2026v Ajax0.591.540–2
17 May 2026v Feyenoord0.803.210–2
3 May 2026v Heracles0.621.001–0
23 Apr 2026at PSV Eindhoven0.811.901–6

PEC Zwolle: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

PEC ZwolleCambuur
7 of 7Matches with xG6 of 7
4Points in those matches—
5.91xPts—
6.54xG for—
13.43xG against—

Cambuur: — Too few matches with xG so far (6 of 7).

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: PEC Zwolle and Cambuur

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • PEC ZwollePEC ZwolleF. Krastev (Achilles Tendon Injury) · Y. Namli (Knee Injury) · I. Cissoko (Injury) · R. Thomas (Injury)
  • CambuurCambuurW. Asselman (Injury) · D. Visser (Knee Injury) · N. Binder (Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 12:27 BST · not changed since

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